Opposite phase changes of precipitation annual cycle over land and ocean under global warming

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengfei Song ◽  
Jian Lu ◽  
Ruby Leung ◽  
Fukai Liu
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Opposite Phase

Contrasting Phase Changes of Precipitation Annual Cycle Between Land and Ocean Under Global Warming

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (20) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fengfei Song ◽  
Jian Lu ◽  
L. Ruby Leung ◽  
Fukai Liu
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Phase Changes

scholarly journals Understanding Bjerknes Compensation in Meridional Heat Transports and the Role of Freshwater in a Warming Climate

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (12) ◽  
pp. 4791-4806 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianzi Yang ◽  
Yingying Zhao ◽  
Qin Wen ◽  
Jie Yao ◽  
Haijun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Box Model ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Warming Climate ◽  
Transient Period ◽  
The North Atlantic

The Bjerknes compensation (BJC) under global warming is studied using a simple box model and a coupled Earth system model. The BJC states the out-of-phase changes in the meridional atmosphere and ocean heat transports. Results suggest that the BJC can occur during the transient period of global warming. During the transient period, the sea ice melting in the high latitudes can cause a significant weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), resulting in a cooling in the North Atlantic. The meridional contrast of sea surface temperature would be enhanced, and this can eventually enhance the Hadley cell and storm-track activities in the Northern Hemisphere. Accompanied by changes in both ocean and atmosphere circulations, the northward ocean heat transport in the Atlantic is decreased while the northward atmosphere heat transport is increased, and the BJC occurs in the Northern Hemisphere. Once the freshwater influx into the North Atlantic Ocean stops, or the ocean even loses freshwater because of strong heating in the high latitudes, the AMOC would recover. Both the atmosphere and ocean heat transports would be enhanced, and they can eventually recover to the state of the control run, leading to the BJC to become invalid. The above processes are clearly demonstrated in the coupled model CO2 experiment. Since it is difficult to separate the freshwater effect from the heating effect in the coupled model, a simple box model is used to understand the BJC mechanism and freshwater’s role under global warming. In a warming climate, the freshwater flux into the ocean can cool the global surface temperature, mitigating the temperature rise. Box model experiments indicate clearly that it is the freshwater flux into the North Atlantic that causes out-of-phase changes in the atmosphere and ocean heat transports, which eventually plays a stabilizing role in global climate change.

scholarly journals Role of North Pacific Mixed Layer in the Response of SST Annual Cycle to Global Warming

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (23) ◽  
pp. 9451-9458 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changlin Chen ◽  
Guihua Wang
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
North Pacific Ocean ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Ecological Impacts ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Pacific

Abstract The annual cycle of sea surface temperature (SST) in the North Pacific Ocean is examined in terms of its response to global warming based on climate model simulations from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). As the global ocean warms up, the SST in the North Pacific generally tends to increase and the warming is greater in summer than in winter, leading to a significant intensification of SST annual cycle. The mixed layer temperature equation is used to examine the mechanism of this intensification. Results show that the decrease of mixed layer depth (MLD) in summer is the main reason behind the intensification of SST annual cycle. Because the MLD in summer is much shallower than that in winter, the incoming net heat flux is trapped in a thinner surface layer in summer, causing a warmer summer SST and the amplification of SST annual cycle. The change of the SST annual cycle in the North Pacific may have profound ecological impacts.

scholarly journals Long term variability of the annual hydrological regime and sensitivity to temperature phase shifts in Saxony/Germany

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 811-853 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Renner ◽  
C. Bernhofer
Keyword(s):  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Change Point ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Hydrological Regime ◽  
River Basins ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Temperature Phase ◽  
Snow Melt ◽  
Hydrological Regimes

Abstract. The timing of the seasons strongly effects ecosystems and human activities. Recently, there is increasing evidence of changes in the timing of the seasons, such as earlier spring seasons detected in phenological records, advanced seasonal timing of surface temperature, earlier snow melt or streamflow timing. For water resources management there is a need to quantitatively describe the variability in the timing of hydrological regimes and to understand how climatic changes control the seasonal water budget of river basins on the regional scale. In this study, changes of the annual cycle of hydrological variables are analysed for 27 river basins in Saxony/Germany. Thereby monthly series of basin runoff ratios, the ratio of runoff and basin precipitation are investigated for changes and variability of their annual periodicity over the period 1930–2009. Approximating the annual cycle by the means of harmonic functions gave acceptable results, while only two parameters, phase and amplitude, are required. It has been found that the annual phase of runoff ratio, representing the timing of the hydrological regime, is subject to considerable year-to-year variability, being concurrent with basins in similar hydro-climatic conditions. Two distinct basin classes have been identified, whereby basin elevation has been found to be the delimiting factor. An increasing importance of snow on the basin water balance with elevation is apparent and mainly governs the temporal variability of the annual timing of hydrological regimes. Further there is evidence of coincident changes in trend direction (change points in 1971 and 1988) in snow melt influenced basins. In these basins the timing of the runoff ratio is significantly correlated with the timing of temperature, and effects on runoff by temperature phase changes are even amplified. Interestingly, temperature effects may explain the low frequent variability of the second change point until today. However, the first change point can not be explained by temperature alone and other causes have to be considered.

scholarly journals Future Intensification of the Water Cycle with an Enhanced Annual Cycle over Global Land Monsoon Regions

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (17) ◽  
pp. 5437-5452 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenxia Zhang ◽  
Tianjun Zhou ◽  
Lixia Zhang ◽  
Liwei Zou
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Annual Cycle ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
East Asian Monsoon ◽  
Wet Season ◽  
Evaporative Demand ◽  
Median Response ◽  
Total Runoff ◽  
Global Land

Abstract An integrated picture of the future changes in the water cycle is provided focusing on the global land monsoon (GLM) region, based on multimodel projections under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). We investigate the reservoirs (e.g., precipitable water, soil moisture) and water fluxes (e.g., precipitation P, evaporation E, precipitation minus evaporation P − E, and total runoff) of the water cycle. The projected intensification of the water cycle with global warming in the GLM region is reflected in robust increases in annual-mean P (multimodel median response of 0.81% K−1), E (0.57% K−1), P − E (1.58% K−1), and total runoff (2.08% K−1). Both surface (−0.83% K−1) and total soil moisture (−0.26% K−1) decrease as a result of increasing evaporative demand. Regionally, the Northern Hemispheric (NH) African, South Asian, and East Asian monsoon regions would experience an intensified water cycle, as measured by the coherent increases in P, P − E, and runoff, while the NH American monsoon region would experience a weakened water cycle. Changes in the monthly fields are more remarkable and robust than in the annual mean. An enhanced annual cycle (by ~3%–5% K−1) with a phase delay from the current climate in P, P − E, and runoff is projected, featuring an intensified water cycle in the wet season while little changes or slight weakening in the dry season. The increased seasonality and drier soils throughout the year imply increasing flood and drought risks and agricultural yields reduction. Limiting global warming to 1.5°C, the low warming target set by the Paris Agreement, could robustly reduce additional hydrological risks from increased seasonality as compared to higher warming thresholds.

The Interpretation of Crystal Lattice Images

1972 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 550-551
Author(s):  
J. M. Cowley ◽  
Sumio Iijima
Keyword(s):  
Crystal Orientation ◽  
Diffraction Theory ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Electron Wave ◽  
Crystal Lattices ◽  
Heavy Atoms ◽  
Lattice Images ◽  
The Right ◽  
Intuitive Interpretation ◽  
Suitable Approximation

The imaging of detailed structures of crystal lattices with 3 to 4Å resolution, given the correct conditions of microscope defocus and crystal orientation and thickness, has been used by Iijima (this conference) for the study of new types of crystal structures and the defects in known structures associated with fluctuations of stoichiometry. The image intensities may be computed using n-beam dynamical diffraction theory involving several hundred beams (Fejes, this conference). However it is still important to have a suitable approximation to provide an immediate rough estimate of contrast and an evaluation of the intuitive interpretation in terms of an amplitude object.For crystals 100 to 150Å thick containing moderately heavy atoms the phase changes of the electron wave vary by about 10 radians suggesting that the “optimum defocus” theory of amplitude contrast for thin phase objects due to Scherzer and others can not apply, although it does predict the right defocus for optimum imaging.

Modelling ecosystem adaptation and dangerous rates of global warming

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 221-231 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Millington ◽  
Peter M. Cox ◽  
Jonathan R. Moore ◽  
Gabriel Yvon-Durocher
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Diffusion Rate ◽  
Individual Species ◽  
Genetic Evolution ◽  
Rates Of Change ◽  
Rapid Climate Change ◽  
Warming Climate ◽  
Intraspecies Competition ◽  
High Trait

Abstract We are in a period of relatively rapid climate change. This poses challenges for individual species and threatens the ecosystem services that humanity relies upon. Temperature is a key stressor. In a warming climate, individual organisms may be able to shift their thermal optima through phenotypic plasticity. However, such plasticity is unlikely to be sufficient over the coming centuries. Resilience to warming will also depend on how fast the distribution of traits that define a species can adapt through other methods, in particular through redistribution of the abundance of variants within the population and through genetic evolution. In this paper, we use a simple theoretical ‘trait diffusion’ model to explore how the resilience of a given species to climate change depends on the initial trait diversity (biodiversity), the trait diffusion rate (mutation rate), and the lifetime of the organism. We estimate theoretical dangerous rates of continuous global warming that would exceed the ability of a species to adapt through trait diffusion, and therefore lead to a collapse in the overall productivity of the species. As the rate of adaptation through intraspecies competition and genetic evolution decreases with species lifetime, we find critical rates of change that also depend fundamentally on lifetime. Dangerous rates of warming vary from 1°C per lifetime (at low trait diffusion rate) to 8°C per lifetime (at high trait diffusion rate). We conclude that rapid climate change is liable to favour short-lived organisms (e.g. microbes) rather than longer-lived organisms (e.g. trees).

Global Warming

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Houghton
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document