scholarly journals Understanding Bjerknes Compensation in Meridional Heat Transports and the Role of Freshwater in a Warming Climate

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (12) ◽  
pp. 4791-4806 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qianzi Yang ◽  
Yingying Zhao ◽  
Qin Wen ◽  
Jie Yao ◽  
Haijun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Phase Changes ◽  
Box Model ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
The North ◽  
Warming Climate ◽  
Transient Period ◽  
The North Atlantic

The Bjerknes compensation (BJC) under global warming is studied using a simple box model and a coupled Earth system model. The BJC states the out-of-phase changes in the meridional atmosphere and ocean heat transports. Results suggest that the BJC can occur during the transient period of global warming. During the transient period, the sea ice melting in the high latitudes can cause a significant weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC), resulting in a cooling in the North Atlantic. The meridional contrast of sea surface temperature would be enhanced, and this can eventually enhance the Hadley cell and storm-track activities in the Northern Hemisphere. Accompanied by changes in both ocean and atmosphere circulations, the northward ocean heat transport in the Atlantic is decreased while the northward atmosphere heat transport is increased, and the BJC occurs in the Northern Hemisphere. Once the freshwater influx into the North Atlantic Ocean stops, or the ocean even loses freshwater because of strong heating in the high latitudes, the AMOC would recover. Both the atmosphere and ocean heat transports would be enhanced, and they can eventually recover to the state of the control run, leading to the BJC to become invalid. The above processes are clearly demonstrated in the coupled model CO2 experiment. Since it is difficult to separate the freshwater effect from the heating effect in the coupled model, a simple box model is used to understand the BJC mechanism and freshwater’s role under global warming. In a warming climate, the freshwater flux into the ocean can cool the global surface temperature, mitigating the temperature rise. Box model experiments indicate clearly that it is the freshwater flux into the North Atlantic that causes out-of-phase changes in the atmosphere and ocean heat transports, which eventually plays a stabilizing role in global climate change.

scholarly journals North Atlantic warming over six decades drives decreases in krill abundance with no associated range shift

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Edwards ◽  
Pierre Hélaouët ◽  
Eric Goberville ◽  
Alistair Lindley ◽  
Geraint A. Tarling ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Range Shift ◽  
The Core ◽  
Krill Abundance ◽  
The North ◽  
Living Space ◽  
Warming Climate ◽  
Two Temperatures ◽  
The North Atlantic

AbstractIn the North Atlantic, euphausiids (krill) form a major link between primary production and predators including commercially exploited fish. This basin is warming very rapidly, with species expected to shift northwards following their thermal tolerances. Here we show, however, that there has been a 50% decline in surface krill abundance over the last 60 years that occurred in situ, with no associated range shift. While we relate these changes to the warming climate, our study is the first to document an in situ squeeze on living space within this system. The warmer isotherms are shifting measurably northwards but cooler isotherms have remained relatively static, stalled by the subpolar fronts in the NW Atlantic. Consequently the two temperatures defining the core of krill distribution (7–13 °C) were 8° of latitude apart 60 years ago but are presently only 4° apart. Over the 60 year period the core latitudinal distribution of euphausiids has remained relatively stable so a ‘habitat squeeze’, with loss of 4° of latitude in living space, could explain the decline in krill. This highlights that, as the temperature warms, not all species can track isotherms and shift northward at the same rate with both losers and winners emerging under the ‘Atlantification’ of the sub-Arctic.

scholarly journals Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) in CMIP5 Models: RCP and Historical Simulations

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (18) ◽  
pp. 7187-7197 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Cheng ◽  
John C. H. Chiang ◽  
Dongxiao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
First Century ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
The North ◽  
Intercomparison Project ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Twenty First Century

Abstract The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) simulated by 10 models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) for the historical (1850–2005) and future climate is examined. The historical simulations of the AMOC mean state are more closely matched to observations than those of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP3). Similarly to CMIP3, all models predict a weakening of the AMOC in the twenty-first century, though the degree of weakening varies considerably among the models. Under the representative concentration pathway 4.5 (RCP4.5) scenario, the weakening by year 2100 is 5%–40% of the individual model's historical mean state; under RCP8.5, the weakening increases to 15%–60% over the same period. RCP4.5 leads to the stabilization of the AMOC in the second half of the twenty-first century and a slower (then weakening rate) but steady recovery thereafter, while RCP8.5 gives rise to a continuous weakening of the AMOC throughout the twenty-first century. In the CMIP5 historical simulations, all but one model exhibit a weak downward trend [ranging from −0.1 to −1.8 Sverdrup (Sv) century−1; 1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1] over the twentieth century. Additionally, the multimodel ensemble–mean AMOC exhibits multidecadal variability with a ~60-yr periodicity and a peak-to-peak amplitude of ~1 Sv; all individual models project consistently onto this multidecadal mode. This multidecadal variability is significantly correlated with similar variations in the net surface shortwave radiative flux in the North Atlantic and with surface freshwater flux variations in the subpolar latitudes. Potential drivers for the twentieth-century multimodel AMOC variability, including external climate forcing and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the implication of these results on the North Atlantic SST variability are discussed.

Greenland melting signatures in model simulations and oceanic observations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophie Stolzenberger ◽  
Roelof Rietbroek ◽  
Claudia Wekerle ◽  
Bernd Uebbing ◽  
Jürgen Kusche
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
The North ◽  
Sea Level Anomalies ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

<p>The impact of Greenland freshwater on oceanic variables in the North Atlantic has been controversially discussed in the past. Within the framework of the German research project GROCE (Greenland Ice Sheet Ocean Interaction), we present a comprehensive study using ocean modelling results including and excluding the Greenland freshwater flux. The aim of this study is whether signatures of Greenland ice sheet melting found in ocean model simulations are visible in the observations. Therefore, we estimate changes in temperature, salinity, steric heights and sea level anomalies since the 1990s. The observational database includes altimetric and gravimetric satellite data as well as Argo floats. We will discuss similarities/differences between model simulations and observations for smaller regions around Greenland in the North Atlantic. As these experiments are available for two different horizontal resolutions, we will furthermore be able to assess the effects of an increased model resolution.</p>

scholarly journals Nonlinear Response of the Stratosphere and the North Atlantic-European Climate to Global Warming

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (9) ◽  
pp. 4255-4263 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Manzini ◽  
A. Yu. Karpechko ◽  
L. Kornblueh
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Nonlinear Response ◽  
The North ◽  
European Climate ◽  
The North Atlantic

Modelling Wave-Current-Turbulence Interactions for Tidal Energy Applications

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vengatesan Venugopal ◽  
Arne Vögler
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Tidal Current ◽  
Current Model ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Wave Model ◽  
Tidal Energy ◽  
The North ◽  
Wave Parameters ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Coupled Wave

Abstract This paper presents the nature of turbulence parameters produced from 3-dimensional numerical simulations using an ocean scale wave-tidal current model applied to tidal energy sites in the Orkney waters in the United Kingdom. The MIKE 21/3 coupled wave-current model is chosen for this study. The numerical modelling study is conducted in two stages. First, a North Atlantic Ocean large-scale wave model is employed to simulate wave parameters. Spatial and temporal wind speeds extracted from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) is utilised to drive the North Atlantic wave model. Secondly, the wave parameters produced from the North Atlantic model are used as boundary conditions to run a coupled wave-tidal current model. A turbulence model representing the turbulence and eddy viscosity within the coupled model is chosen and the turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) due to wave-current interactions are computed. The coupled model is calibrated with Acoustic Doppler and Current Profiler (ADCP) measurements deployed close to a tidal energy site in the Inner Sound of the Pentland Firth. The model output parameters such as the current speed, TKE, horizontal and vertical eddy viscosities, significant wave height, peak wave period and wave directions are presented, and, their characteristics are discussed in detail.

scholarly journals The North Atlantic Warming Hole as Part of a Century-Long Fluctuating Phenomenon

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arnold Taylor
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Temperature Change ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Meridional Circulation ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
The North ◽  
Published Evidence ◽  
North Atlantic Climate ◽  
The North Atlantic

Despite global warming, a region of the North Atlantic has been observed to cool, a phenomenon known as theáNorth Atlantic Warming Holeá(NAWH). The causes of the NAWH remain under debate but its emergence has been linked to a slowdown of the meridional circulation leading to a reduced ocean heat transport into the warming hole region. This note uses previously published evidence to suggest that the pattern of temperature change is not unique but may have been a recurring feature during the last century and a half, fluctuating between a positive and negative phase. It appears global warming has amplified one of these phases in the North Atlantic climate.

scholarly journals Rapid and sustained environmental responses to global warming: The Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum in the eastern North Sea

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ella W. Stokke ◽  
Morgan T. Jones ◽  
Lars Riber ◽  
Haflidi Haflidason ◽  
Ivar Midtkandal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
North Sea ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Clay Fraction ◽  
The North ◽  
Thermal Maximum ◽  
The North Sea ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM; ~ 55.9 Ma) was a period of rapid and sustained global warming associated with significant carbon emissions. It coincided with the North Atlantic opening and emplacement of the North Atlantic Igneous Province (NAIP), suggesting a possible causal relationship. Only a very limited number of PETM studies exist from the North Sea, despite its ideal position for tracking the impact of both changing climate and the NAIP explosive and effusive activity. Here we present sedimentological, mineralogical, and geochemical proxy data from Denmark in the eastern North Sea, exploring the environmental response to the PETM. An increase in the chemical index of alteration and a kaolinite content up to 50 % of the clay fraction indicate an influx of terrestrial input shortly after the PETM onset and during the recovery, likely due to an intensified hydrological cycle. The volcanically derived minerals zeolite and smectite comprise up to 36 % and 90 % of the bulk and clay mineralogy respectively, highlighting the NAIPs importance as a sediment source for the North Sea and in increasing the rate of silicate weathering during the PETM. XRF element core scans also reveal possible hitherto unknown NAIP ash deposition both prior to and during the PETM. Geochemical proxies show that an anoxic environment persisted during the PETM body, possibly reaching euxinic conditions in the upper half with high concentrations of Mo (> 30 ppm), S (~ 4 wt %), and pyrite (~ 7 % of bulk), and low Th/U (

scholarly journals Climate feedbacks induced by the North Atlantic freshwater forcing in a coupled model of intermediate complexity

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Flávio Barbosa Justino ◽  
Jeferson Prietsch Machado
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Thermohaline Circulation ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
The North ◽  
Poleward Heat Transport ◽  
Freshwater Forcing ◽  
Oceanic Response ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Tropics

Based on coupled model simulations (ECBilt-Clio), we investigate the atmospheric and oceanic response to sustained freshwater input into the North Atlantic under the glacial maximum background state. The results demonstrate that a weakening of the thermohaline circulation triggered by weaker density flux leads to rapid changes in global sea-ice volume and reduced poleward heat transport in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). In the Southern Hemisphere (SH), however, the oceanic heat transport increases substantially. This in turn leads to strong cooling over the North Atlantic whereas the SH extratropical region warms up. The suppression of the NADW also drastically changes the atmospheric circulation. The associated northward wind anomalies over the North Atlantic increase the warm air advection from the tropics and induce the transport of tropical saltier water to mid-latitudes. This negative atmospheric-oceanic feedback should play an important role to resume the NADW, after the freshwater forcing ends up.

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