The term structure effects of individual stock investor sentiment on excess returns

Author(s):  
Jinfang Li
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qurat ul Ain ◽  
Tamoor Azam ◽  
Tahir Yousaf ◽  
Muhammad Zeeshan Zafar ◽  
Yasmeen Akhtar

This study examines two stock market anomalies and provides strong evidence of the day-of-the-week effect in the Chinese A-share market during the COVID-19 pandemic. Specifically, we examined the Quality minus Junk (QMJ) strategy return on Monday and FridayQuality stocks mean portfolio deciles that earn higher excess returns. As historical evidences suggest that less distressed/safe stocks earn higher excess returns (Dichev, 1998).. The QMJ factor is similar to the division of speculative and non-speculative stocks described by Birru (2018). Our findings provide evidence that the QMJ strategy gains negative returns on Fridays for both anomalies because the junk side is sensitive to an elevated mood and, thus, performs better than the quality side of portfolios on Friday. Our findings are also consistent with the theory of investor sentiment which asserts that investors are more optimistic when their mood is elevated, and generally individual mood is better on Friday than on other days of the week. Therefore, the speculative stocks earned higher sustainable stock returns during higher volatility in Chinese market due to COVID-19. Intrinsically, new evidence emerges on an inclined strategy to invest in speculative stocks on Fridays during the COVID-19 pandemic to gain sustainable excess returns in the Chinese A-share market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fassas ◽  
Hourvouliades

Our work relates to the literature supporting that the VIX also mirrors investor sentiment and, thus, contains useful information regarding future S&P500 returns. The objective of this empirical analysis is to verify if the shape of the volatility futures term structure has signaling effects regarding future equity price movements, as several investors believe. Our findings generally support the hypothesis that the VIX term structure can be employed as a contrarian market timing indicator. The empirical analysis of this study has important practical implications for financial market practitioners, as it shows that they can use the VIX futures term structure not only as a proxy of market expectations on forward volatility, but also as a stock market timing tool.


2017 ◽  
Vol 125 (1) ◽  
pp. 163-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam Goliński ◽  
Peter Spencer

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