El Niño forecasting based on the global atmospheric oscillation

Author(s):  
Ilya V. Serykh ◽  
Dmitry M. Sonechkin
Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1443
Author(s):  
Ilya V. Serykh ◽  
Dmitry M. Sonechkin

The interannual variability of the global mean monthly anomalies of near-surface air temperature, sea-level pressure, wind speed near the surface, amount of precipitation and total cloudiness was investigated. The amplitudes of the anomalies of these hydrometeorological characteristics between opposite phases of the Global Atmospheric Oscillation (GAO) were calculated. The regional element of the GAO in the tropics of the Indian and Pacific Oceans is the Southern Oscillation. The results show that the oscillations of these characteristics are associated with the GAO not only in the tropical belt of the Earth but also in the middle and high latitudes, especially in the Arctic and northern Eurasia. The physical mechanism by which the transition of the GAO from the negative to the positive phase influences the weakening of the Pacific trade winds, and, as a consequence, the onset of El Niño is described.


2020 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
K. Legal ◽  
P. Plantin
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  

2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
K. Legal ◽  
P. Plantin
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  

Author(s):  
C. Thévenin-Lemoine ◽  
F. Accadbled ◽  
J. Sales de Gauzy
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
MASROOR ALI KHAN ◽  
KHALID AL GHAMDI ◽  
JAZEM A. MEHYOUB ◽  
RAKHSHAN KHAN

The focus of this study is to find the relationship between El Nino and dengue fever cases in the study area.Mosquito density was recorded with the help of light traps and through aspirators collection. Climate data were obtained from National Meteorology and Environment centre. (Year wise El Nino and La Nina data are according to NOAA & Golden Gate Weather Services). Statistical methods were used to establish the correlation coefficient between different factors. A high significant relationship was observed between Relative Humidity and Dengue fever cases, but Aedes abundance had no significant relationship with either Relative humidity and Temperature. Our conclusion is that the El Nino does not affect the dengue transmission and Aedes mosquito abundance in this region, which is supported by earlier works.


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