Import Dependency and the Energy Transition: A New Risk Field of Security of Supply?

Author(s):  
Sebastian Strunz ◽  
Erik Gawel
2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 59-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Zhongying ◽  
Kaare Sandholt

Abstract China’s strong economic growth over the past 40 years has been followed by similar strong growth in energy consumption, based on coal. A continuation of this development is not sustainable, and China has set new ambitious targets for future energy systems development, which in reality calls for a genuine energy revolution in order to build a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient energy system towards 2035 and 2050. This paper looks at the mechanisms behind the energy transition, analysis of a concrete case for a sustainable energy system in 2050, and points to policy measures and instruments to ensure the necessary progress in this energy transition. The case shows that it is possible for China in 2050 to reduce CO2 emission to one-third of today’s emission while at the same time maintaining economic growth, improving security of supply, air quality, and economic efficiency of the power system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
KJ CSERES

AbstractWith the availability of cheaper technology and the rise of digitalisation, consumers can actively participate in markets and also offer their own services or self-/co-produce products and services. Active consumers are fundamental building-blocks of the European Union’s goal to achieve smart, sustainable and inclusive growth in Europe. In the energy sector active consumers play a key role in promoting competition, ensuring affordable energy prices and security of supply, as well as contributing to the EU’s environmental and climate goals. By engaging in more efficient energy use, consumers are crucial actors to manage the energy transition. However, the present legal framework does not fully facilitate this active role. The aim of this article is to answer the question how EU law conceptualises and supports the active role of consumers in the regulation of energy markets.


2009 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 209-214
Author(s):  
Edgard Gnansounou

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-90
Author(s):  
Paul Adrianus van Baal

Switzerland is considering implementing a strategic energy reserve, a novel policy instrument that remunerates power plant operators for storing a minimum amount of energy in reservoirs to convert into electricity when called upon. The policy is envisioned for the winter period, when the country’s large hydropower reservoirs tend to be nearly depleted. This study analyzes the impact of such a strategic energy reserve on security of supply, consumer costs, international trade, and sustainability. A hybrid simulation model is developed that combines agent-based modeling and system dynamics. The simulations show that the reserve can improve short-term security of supply but does not improve long-term security of supply as it does not impact domestic investments or reduce the import dependency in winter. The reserve leads to a slight increase in consumer costs, even when including the reduction in outage costs. A larger reserve is more effective at reducing the supply risk but is proportionally costly. Lastly, we find that the policy induces scarcity periods that would not have occurred otherwise, which means that the reserve should have a high strike price to ensure it is only called upon as a last resort. We conclude that there is no structural need for a strategic energy reserve, as it only increases short-term security of supply and does not contribute to solving the structural problem. Any implementation should be done on an ad hoc basis, conditional on a short-term generation adequacy assessment. This has the potential to minimize the associated costs while maximizing the benefits.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Milena Petkovic ◽  
Ying Chen ◽  
Inken Gamrath ◽  
Uwe Gotzes ◽  
Natalia Selini Hadjidimitrou ◽  
...  

AbstractAbout 23% of the German energy demand is supplied by natural gas. Additionally, for about the same amount Germany serves as a transit country. Thereby, the German network represents a central hub in the European natural gas transport network. The transport infrastructure is operated by transmissions system operators (TSOs). The number one priority of the TSOs is to ensure the security of supply. However, the TSOs have only very limited knowledge about the intentions and planned actions of the shippers (traders). Open Grid Europe (OGE), one of Germany’s largest TSO, operates a high-pressure transport network of about 12,000 km length. With the introduction of peak-load gas power stations, it is of great importance to predict in- and out-flow of the network to ensure the necessary flexibility and security of supply for the German Energy Transition (“Energiewende”). In this paper, we introduce a novel hybrid forecast method applied to gas flows at the boundary nodes of a transport network. This method employs an optimized feature selection and minimization. We use a combination of a FAR, LSTM and mathematical programming to achieve robust high-quality forecasts on real-world data for different types of network nodes.


2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-188
Author(s):  
Timmo Krüger

Die Umsetzung der Energiewende begleiten viele Konflikte um das Gemeinwohl, in denen sich zunehmend Phänomene einer Demokratiekrise zeigen. Das deliberative Demokratiemodell stößt hier an Grenzen. Der Schlüssel für eine konstruktive Bearbeitung von Klima- und Demokratiekrise liegt darin, die Konfrontation zwischen konkurrierenden Energiewende-Visionen zu forcieren. Es gilt, den pluralistischen Kern moderner Demokratien und die Legitimität von Konflikten anzuerkennen (conflictual consensus) und auf dieser Basis Konflikte um Gemeinwohlziele auszutragen.In government policy, security of supply, affordability and the protection of the climate and the environment are postulated as equal goals of the German energy transition (Energiewende). There is no explicit prioritization of these supposed goals. This leads to problems both in terms of the success of the Energiewende itself, and in terms of its effects on the political culture. Conflicts over the implementation of the Energiewende increasingly reveal a crisis of democracy, which cannot be adequately responded to in negotiations over concrete energy projects. A one-sided focus on the deliberative model of democracy further exacerbates the symptoms of a democratic crisis. From a radical democratic perspective, the key to constructively addressing both climatic and democratic challenges is to encourage a confrontation between competing Energiewende visions in a way that is compatible with a pluralistic understanding of democracy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 137-150
Author(s):  
Bruno Henrique Santos ◽  
João Abel Peças Lopes

Portugal has developed a national roadmap for hydrogen deployment as a key element of the Portuguese energy transition towards carbon neutrality, with a major contribution towards the electrification of society, generating synergies between the electric and gas systems. Considering the government goals for hydrogen injection within natural gas infrastructures for 2025 and 2030, as long as the indicative trajectories for 2040 and 2050, the authors used the natural gas forecast of the security of supply official report in order to obtain the hydrogen demand and power plant capacity, evaluating the system effort to meet public policy goals. Several alternative scenarios were developed for sensitive analysis, in order to assess the different strategies of hydrogen deployment, considering production from an electrolyzer. Regarding the current Portuguese situation and every scenario outcome, the authors stated that major efforts must be undertaken in order to develop full-scale hydrogen projects in order to meet the national goals.


Author(s):  
José Ángel Gimeno ◽  
Eva Llera Sastresa ◽  
Sabina Scarpellini

Currently, self-consumption and distributed energy facilities are considered as viable and sustainable solutions in the energy transition scenario within the European Union. In a low carbon society, the exploitation of renewables for self-consumption is closely tied to the energy market at the territorial level, in search of a compromise between competitiveness and the sustainable exploitation of resources. Investments in these facilities are highly sensitive to the existence of favourable conditions at the territorial level, and the energy policies adopted in the European Union have contributed positively to the distributed renewables development and the reduction of their costs in the last decade. However, the number of the installed facilities is uneven in the European Countries and those factors that are more determinant for the investments in self-consumption are still under investigation. In this scenario, this paper presents the main results obtained through the analysis of the determinants in self-consumption investments from a case study in Spain, where the penetration of this type of facilities is being less relevant than in other countries. As a novelty of this study, the main influential drivers and barriers in self-consumption are classified and analysed from the installers' perspective. On the basis of the information obtained from the installers involved in the installation of these facilities, incentives and barriers are analysed within the existing legal framework and the potential specific lines of the promotion for the effective deployment of self-consumption in an energy transition scenario.


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