A Systemic Approach for Early Warning in Crisis Prevention and Management

Human Systems Engineering and Design II - Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ◽

10.1007/978-3-030-27928-8_78 ◽

2019 ◽

pp. 517-522

Author(s):

Achim Kuwertz ◽

Maximilian Moll ◽

Jennifer Sander ◽

Stefan Pickl

Keyword(s):

Early Warning ◽

Systemic Approach ◽

Crisis Prevention

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Selection of Early Warning Indicator to Identify Distress in The Corporate Sector: Crisis Prevention Strengthening Efforts

Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan ◽

10.21098/bemp.v20i3.857 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 20 (3) ◽

pp. 343-374 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Arlyana Abubakar ◽

Rieska Indah Astuti ◽

Rini Oktapiani

Keyword(s):

Early Warning ◽

Financial Distress ◽

Statistical Error ◽

Financial Reports ◽

Early Warning Indicator ◽

Financial Condition ◽

Crisis Prevention ◽

Equity Ratio ◽

The Stability ◽

Selection Of

This study aims to develop an Early Warning Indicator (EWI) that can provideearly signals in the presence of pressure on the financial condition of the corporatesector. Thus, efforts to prevent deeper deterioration can be anticipated earlier inorder to maintain the stability of the financial system. In the first stage, based on thecompany’s financial reports, the probable indicators are grouped into four categoriesi.e. liquidity indicator, solvency indicator, profitability indicator and activity indicator.The indicators, selected as EWI, are the indicators that can predict the occurrence ofcorporate distress events, in the Q1 of 2009, with the minimum statistical error. Theresults of the statistical evaluation showed that in terms of aggregate, the indicators ofDebt to Equity Ratio (DER), Current Ratio (CR), Quick Ratio (QR), Debt to Asset Ratio(DAR), Solvability Ratio (SR) and Debt Service Ratio (DSR) signal within a year beforea distress event occurs in the Q1 of 2009. Thus, these indicators can be considered asEWI in the presence of corporate financial distress.

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osce Engagement in the Conflict Circle in Kyrgyzstan

Security and Human Rights ◽

10.1163/18750230-02501003 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 25 (1) ◽

pp. 33-45

Author(s):

Janyl Bokonbaeva

Keyword(s):

Conflict Management ◽

Early Warning ◽

The South ◽

Crisis Prevention ◽

Post Conflict ◽

Effectiveness And Efficiency

This article examines the osce engagement in conflict cycle during June 2010 events in the south of Kyrgyzstan. osce has been actively involved in conflict cycle’s main segment areas, such as early warning, conflict management and post-conflict rehabilitation in Kyrgyzstan. Although there are certain critical observations to be made concerning osce effectiveness and efficiency in its engagement strategy, commitment to be present and to perform adequately on the part of the Organization has been firm. osce is fully capable of strengthening its’ potential for better crisis prevention in Kyrgyzstan. A solid, long-term prioritization of conflict cycle is needed not only on the part of osce, but also from all other key international actors.

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