Success Critical Factors on the Civil Construction Projects Management, Utilizing Artificial Neural Networks

Author(s):  
Mauro Luiz Erpen ◽  
André Luiz Aquere ◽  
Clóvis Neumann ◽  
Maria Cristina Bueno Coelho ◽  
Diego Patrick Nusrala Dias
2013 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 51-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayedh Alqahtani ◽  
Andrew Whyte

Industrial application of life-cycle cost analysis (LCCA) is somewhat limited, with techniques deemed overly theoretical, resulting in a reluctance to realise (and pass onto the client) the advantages to be gained from objective (LCCA) comparison of (sub)component material specifications. To address the need for a user-friendly structured approach to facilitate complex processing, the work described here develops a new, accessible framework for LCCA of construction projects; it acknowledges Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to compute the whole-cost(s) of construction and uses the concept of cost significant items (CSI) to identify the main cost factors affecting the accuracy of estimation. ANNs is a powerful means to handle non-linear problems and subsequently map between complex input/output data, address uncertainties. A case study documenting 20 building projects was used to test the framework and estimate total running costs accurately. Two methods were used to develop a neural network model; firstly a back-propagation method was adopted (using MATLAB SOFTWARE); and secondly, spread-sheet optimisation was conducted (using Microsoft Excel Solver). The best network was established as consisting of 19 hidden nodes, with the tangent sigmoid used as a transfer function of NNs model for both methods. The results find that in both neural network models, the accuracy of the developed NNs model is 1% (via Excel-solver) and 2% (via back-propagation) respectively.


Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michał Juszczyk ◽  
Agnieszka Leśniak ◽  
Krzysztof Zima

Cost estimates are essential for the success of construction projects. Neural networks, as the tools of artificial intelligence, offer a significant potential in this field. Applying neural networks, however, requires respective studies due to the specifics of different kinds of facilities. This paper presents the proposal of an approach to the estimation of construction costs of sports fields which is based on neural networks. The general applicability of artificial neural networks in the formulated problem with cost estimation is investigated. An applicability of multilayer perceptron networks is confirmed by the results of the initial training of a set of various artificial neural networks. Moreover, one network was tailored for mapping a relationship between the total cost of construction works and the selected cost predictors which are characteristic of sports fields. Its prediction quality and accuracy were assessed positively. The research results legitimatize the proposed approach.


2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (08) ◽  
pp. 819-832

This study is aimed at improving a formula that enables easy, correct, and fast estimation of an Early-Stage Cost of Buildings (ESCE). This formula, enabling estimation of ESCE, was developed by the authors based on artificial neural networks and gene expression programming. A quantity survey was conducted for a hundred construction projects, and a data set was created. This data set was analysed with many Artificial Neural Networks to determine the variables that affect ESCE. An algorithm configuration was made with Gene Expression Programming, and the ESCE formula was created using this algorithm configuration. This formula estimates ESCE with satisfactory precision. The use of the proposed formula in the early-stage building cost calculations is important not only for faster and easier cost calculation but also to prevent any differences that may arise due to the individual making the calculations.


2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (3) ◽  
pp. 252-255
Author(s):  
Hadi Fathipour Azar ◽  
Timo Saksala ◽  
Seyed-Mohammad Esmaiel Jalali

Prediction of the rate of penetration (ROP) is an important task in drilling economical assessments of mining and construction projects. In this paper, the predictability of the ROP for percussive drills was investigated using the artificial neural networks (ANNs) and the linear multivariate regression analysis. The “power pack” frequency, the revolution per minute (RPM), the feed pressure, the hammer frequency, and the impact energy were considered as input parameters. The results indicate that the ANN with the regression model predicts the ROP under different conditions with high accuracy. It also demonstrates that the ANN approach is a beneficial tool that can reduce cost, time and enhance structure reliability.


2021 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. e87737
Author(s):  
Alcineide Pessoa ◽  
Gean Sousa ◽  
Luiz Maués ◽  
Felipe Alvarenga ◽  
Débora Santos

The execution of public sector construction projects often requires the use of financial resources not foreseen during the tendering phase, which causes management problems. This study aims to present a computational model based on artificial intelligence, specifically on artificial neural networks, capable of forecasting the execution cost of construction projects for Brazilian educational public buildings. The database used in the training and testing of the neural model was obtained from the online system of the Ministry of Education. The neural network used was a multilayer perceptron as a backpropagation algorithm optimized through the gradient descent method. To evaluate the obtained results, the mean absolute percentage errors and the Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated. Some hypothesis tests were also carried out in order to verify the existence of significant differences between real values and those obtained by the neural network. The average percentage errors between predicted and actual values varied between 5% and 9%, and the correlation values reached 0,99. The results demonstrated that it is possible to use artificial intelligence as an auxiliary mechanism to plan construction projects, especially in the public sector.


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