Early Stage Cost Estimation of Buildings Construction Projects using Artificial Neural Networks

2010 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Arafa ◽  
Mamoun Alqedra
Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michał Juszczyk ◽  
Agnieszka Leśniak ◽  
Krzysztof Zima

Cost estimates are essential for the success of construction projects. Neural networks, as the tools of artificial intelligence, offer a significant potential in this field. Applying neural networks, however, requires respective studies due to the specifics of different kinds of facilities. This paper presents the proposal of an approach to the estimation of construction costs of sports fields which is based on neural networks. The general applicability of artificial neural networks in the formulated problem with cost estimation is investigated. An applicability of multilayer perceptron networks is confirmed by the results of the initial training of a set of various artificial neural networks. Moreover, one network was tailored for mapping a relationship between the total cost of construction works and the selected cost predictors which are characteristic of sports fields. Its prediction quality and accuracy were assessed positively. The research results legitimatize the proposed approach.


2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (08) ◽  
pp. 819-832

This study is aimed at improving a formula that enables easy, correct, and fast estimation of an Early-Stage Cost of Buildings (ESCE). This formula, enabling estimation of ESCE, was developed by the authors based on artificial neural networks and gene expression programming. A quantity survey was conducted for a hundred construction projects, and a data set was created. This data set was analysed with many Artificial Neural Networks to determine the variables that affect ESCE. An algorithm configuration was made with Gene Expression Programming, and the ESCE formula was created using this algorithm configuration. This formula estimates ESCE with satisfactory precision. The use of the proposed formula in the early-stage building cost calculations is important not only for faster and easier cost calculation but also to prevent any differences that may arise due to the individual making the calculations.


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 854
Author(s):  
Nevena Rankovic ◽  
Dragica Rankovic ◽  
Mirjana Ivanovic ◽  
Ljubomir Lazic

Software estimation involves meeting a huge number of different requirements, such as resource allocation, cost estimation, effort estimation, time estimation, and the changing demands of software product customers. Numerous estimation models try to solve these problems. In our experiment, a clustering method of input values to mitigate the heterogeneous nature of selected projects was used. Additionally, homogeneity of the data was achieved with the fuzzification method, and we proposed two different activation functions inside a hidden layer, during the construction of artificial neural networks (ANNs). In this research, we present an experiment that uses two different architectures of ANNs, based on Taguchi’s orthogonal vector plans, to satisfy the set conditions, with additional methods and criteria for validation of the proposed model, in this approach. The aim of this paper is the comparative analysis of the obtained results of mean magnitude relative error (MMRE) values. At the same time, our goal is also to find a relatively simple architecture that minimizes the error value while covering a wide range of different software projects. For this purpose, six different datasets are divided into four chosen clusters. The obtained results show that the estimation of diverse projects by dividing them into clusters can contribute to an efficient, reliable, and accurate software product assessment. The contribution of this paper is in the discovered solution that enables the execution of a small number of iterations, which reduces the execution time and achieves the minimum error.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julie Chi Chow ◽  
Tsair-Wei Chien ◽  
Lin-Yen Wang ◽  
Willy Chou

Abstract Background: Dengue fever (DF) is an important public health issue in Asia. However, the disease is extremely hard to detect using traditional dichotomous (i.e., absent vs. present) evaluations of symptoms. Convolution neural network (CNN) and artificial neural networks(ANN) can improve prediction accuracy on account of its usage of a large number of parameters for modeling. A hypothesis using a combined scheme of algorithms, including convolutional neural networks(CNN), artificial neural networks(ANN), K-nearest Neighbors Algorithm(KNN), and logis-tical regression(LR), was made to improve the prediction DF accuracy for children. Methods: We extracted 19 feature variables of DF-related symptoms from 177 pediatric patients (69 diagnosed with DF). A 11-variables were eligible by observing the statistical significance in predicting DF risk. The prediction accuracy was based on two training (80%) and testing (20%) sets on model accuracy of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) greater than 0.80 and 0.70, respectively, for discriminating DF+ and DF− in the two sets. Two scenarios of the combined scheme and individual algorithms were compared using the training set to predict the testing set. Results: We observed that (i) k-nearest neighbors algorithm has poorer AUC(<0.50), (ii)LR has relatively higher AUC(=0.70), and (ii) the three alternatives have almost equal AUC(=0.68), but smaller than the individual algorithms of NaiveBayes, Logistic regression in raw data and NaiveBayes in normalized data. Conclusion: An LR-based APP was designed to detect DF in children. The 11-item model is suggested to develop the APP for helping patients, family members, and clinicians discriminate DF from other febrile illnesses at an early stage.


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