A Robust Optimization Approach for the Operating Room Planning Problem with Uncertain Surgery Duration

Author(s):  
Bernardetta Addis ◽  
Giuliana Carello ◽  
Elena Tànfani
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 958-974 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaithanya Bandi ◽  
Diwakar Gupta

Problem definition: We consider two problems faced by an operating room (OR) manager: (1) how many baseline (core) staff to hire for OR suites, and (2) how to schedule surgery requests that arrive one by one. The OR manager has access to historical case count and case length data, and needs to balance the fixed cost of baseline staff and variable cost of overtime, while satisfying surgeons’ preferences. Academic/practical relevance: ORs are costly to operate and generate about 70% of hospitals’ revenues from surgical operations and subsequent hospitalizations. Because hospitals are increasingly under pressure to reduce costs, it is important to make staffing and scheduling decisions in an optimal manner. Also, hospitals need to leverage data when developing algorithmic solutions, and model tradeoffs between staffing costs and surgeons’ preferences. We present a methodology for doing so, and test it on real data from a hospital. Methodology: We propose a new criterion called the robust competitive ratio for designing online algorithms. Using this criterion and a robust optimization approach to model the uncertainty in case mix and case lengths, we develop tractable optimization formulations to solve the staffing and scheduling problems. Results: For the staffing problem, we show that algorithms belonging to the class of interval classification algorithms achieve the best robust competitive ratio, and develop a tractable approach for calculating the optimal parameters of our proposed algorithm. For the scheduling phase, which occurs one or two days before each surgery day, we demonstrate how a robust optimization framework may be used to find implementable schedules while taking into account surgeons’ preferences such as back-to-back and same-OR scheduling of cases. We also perform numerical experiments with real and synthetic data, which show that our approach can significantly reduce total staffing cost. Managerial implications: We present algorithms that are easy to implement and tractable. These algorithms also allow the OR manager to specify the size of the uncertainty set and to control overtime costs while meeting surgeons’ preferences.


2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masoud Rabbani ◽  
Neda Manavizadeh ◽  
Niloofar Sadat Hosseini Aghozi

Purpose – This paper aims to consider a multi-site production planning problem with failure in rework and breakdown subject to demand uncertainty. Design/methodology/approach – In this new mathematical model, at first, a feasible range for production time is found, and then the model is rewritten considering the demand uncertainty and robust optimization techniques. Here, three evolutionary methods are presented: robust particle swarm optimization, robust genetic algorithm (RGA) and robust simulated annealing with the ability of handling uncertainties. Firstly, the proposed mathematical model is validated by solving a problem in the LINGO environment. Afterwards, to compare and find the efficiency of the proposed evolutionary methods, some large-size test problems are solved. Findings – The results show that the proposed models can prepare a promising approach to fulfill an efficient production planning in multi-site production planning. Results obtained by comparing the three proposed algorithms demonstrate that the presented RGA has better and more efficient solutions. Originality/value – Considering the robust optimization approach to production system with failure in rework and breakdown under uncertainty.


Processes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (8) ◽  
pp. 507
Author(s):  
Lima ◽  
Relvas ◽  
Barbosa-Póvoa ◽  
Morales

The oil industry operates in a very uncertain marketplace, where uncertain conditions can engender oil production fluctuations, order cancellation, transportation delays, etc. Uncertainty may arise from several sources and inexorably affect its management by interfering in the associated decision-making, increasing costs and decreasing margins. In this context, companies often must make fast and precise decisions based on inaccurate information about their operations. The development of mathematical programming techniques in order to manage oil networks under uncertainty is thus a very relevant and timely issue. This paper proposes an adjustable robust optimization approach for the optimization of the refined products distribution in a downstream oil network under uncertainty in market demands. Alternative optimization techniques are studied and employed to tackle this planning problem under uncertainty, which is also cast as a non-adjustable robust optimization problem and a stochastic programing problem. The proposed models are then employed to solve a real case study based on the Portuguese oil industry. The results show minor discrepancies in terms of network profitability and material flows between the three approaches, while the major differences are related to problem sizes and computational effort. Also, the adjustable model shows to be the most adequate one to handle the uncertain distribution problem, because it balances more satisfactorily solution quality, feasibility and computational performance.


2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (5) ◽  
pp. 1819-1841
Author(s):  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Mahjoub Dridi ◽  
Abdellah El Moudni

This paper addresses an operating room planning problem with surgical demands from both the elective patients and the non-elective ones. A dynamic waiting list is established to prioritize and manage the patients according to their urgency levels and waiting times. In every decision period, sequential decisions are taken by selecting high-priority patients from the waiting list to be scheduled. With consideration of random arrivals of new patients and uncertain surgery durations, the studied problem is formulated as a novel Markov decision process model with dead ends. The objective is to optimize a combinatorial cost function involving patient waiting times and operating room over-utilizations. Considering that the conventional dynamic programming algorithms have difficulties in coping with large-scale problems, we apply several adapted real-time dynamic programming algorithms to solve the proposed model. In numerical experiments, we firstly apply different algorithms to solve the same instance and compare the computational efficiencies. Then, to evaluate the effects of dead ends on the policy and the computation, we conduct simulations for multiple instances with the same problem scale but different dead ends. Experimental results indicate that incorporating dead ends into the model helps to significantly shorten the patient waiting times and improve the computational efficiency.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdelmoaty ◽  
Wessam Mesbah ◽  
Mohammad A. M. Abdel-Aal ◽  
Ali T. Alawami

In the recent electricity market framework, the profit of the generation companies depends on the decision of the operator on the schedule of its units, the energy price, and the optimal bidding strategies. Due to the expanded integration of uncertain renewable generators which is highly intermittent such as wind plants, the coordination with other facilities to mitigate the risks of imbalances is mandatory. Accordingly, coordination of wind generators with the evolutionary Electric Vehicles (EVs) is expected to boost the performance of the grid. In this paper, we propose a robust optimization approach for the coordination between the wind-thermal generators and the EVs in a virtual<br>power plant (VPP) environment. The objective of maximizing the profit of the VPP Operator (VPPO) is studied. The optimal bidding strategy of the VPPO in the day-ahead market under uncertainties of wind power, energy<br>prices, imbalance prices, and demand is obtained for the worst case scenario. A case study is conducted to assess the e?effectiveness of the proposed model in terms of the VPPO's profit. A comparison between the proposed model and the scenario-based optimization was introduced. Our results confirmed that, although the conservative behavior of the worst-case robust optimization model, it helps the decision maker from the fluctuations of the uncertain parameters involved in the production and bidding processes. In addition, robust optimization is a more tractable problem and does not suffer from<br>the high computation burden associated with scenario-based stochastic programming. This makes it more practical for real-life scenarios.<br>


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