Weak Form Efficiency of Selected European Stock Markets: Alternative Testing Approaches

Author(s):  
Giuseppina Albano ◽  
Michele La Rocca ◽  
Cira Perna
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 285
Author(s):  
Shafir Zaman

Investors need to have an idea about stock market before making investment whether the stock markets are efficient or not to take investment decision in stock market. For that reason, measurement of market efficiency of stock market bears significance to investors. Bearing it in mind, the study is undertaken to find out the existence of weak form efficiency prevails in largest stock market of Bangladesh. In order to get perfect result Parametric and Non Parametric tests were conducted of DSE & CSE for 2013 to 2017. It was found from all tests that Dhaka and Chittagong Stock exchange are not weak form efficient. Therefore, the result of the study will act as a helping hand to researchers to find out the reason of Bangladesh stock market not being weak form efficient as well as providing measurement to make the stock market weak form efficient.


2017 ◽  
Vol 17(32) (3) ◽  
pp. 81-92
Author(s):  
Anna Górska ◽  
Monika Krawiec

The Efficient Market Hypothesis received much attention in the late 1970s. Those early studies focused on examining the efficiency of stock markets, however since that time the researchers’ interest has shifted to commodity markets. The studies usually focus on the markets of oil and of agricultural products, mainly grains. The efficiency of soft commodities market is also examined but not to the same extent. Majority of investigations focus on single products of this category. Thus the aim of our paper is to extend the research and to analyze the weak-form efficiency of six soft commodities: coffee, cocoa, sugar, cotton, frozen concentrated orange juice and rubber. Data under consideration covers daily spot prices of the commodities in the period 2007-2016. Having calculated their logarithmic returns we perform the following statistical tests: runs test, autocorrelation test, Box-Pierce and Box –Ljung tests. As the results obtained are not homogenous, this opens a door to further investigations with the use of different methodology.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adefemi A. Obalade ◽  
Paul-Francois Muzindutsi

This chapter reviews empirical studies on weak form of efficiency with the aim of establishing whether the African market is inefficient or adaptive. The reviewed studies are categorised based on their methodological approaches to compare the power of linear and non-linear models in testing for weak-form efficiency. The studies on calendar anomalies, an indication of weak-form inefficiency, are reviewed to assess whether these anomalies are adaptive as portrayed by the relatively recent theory of adaptive market hypothesis (AMH). The scope of reviewed studies is also extended to developed and emerging markets to gain a broad comparison of the findings. This review revealed that non-linear dependence has been revealed in stock returns suggesting that non-linear models are best fit to test for the stock market efficiency. Reviewed studies produced contradictory findings with some supporting and others rejecting weak-form efficiency. Thus, most studies support the AMH, which suggests that market efficiencies and anomalies are time changing. This chapter concludes that most of the existing studies on AMH have been carried out in markets other than Africa, and hence, further empirical studies on the evolving and changing nature of efficiency in African stock markets are recommended.


Author(s):  
Jacek Karasiński

<p>The purpose of this article is to examine how the weak-form efficiency of the European stock markets has changed over the years. The study focuses its attention not on answering the question if the markets were efficient but on explaining how efficiency evolved. With a process based on the random walk model proposed by Louis Bachelier in 1900 still commonly applied in this research, market efficiency was examined using three different tests of the normality of the distribution for the returns of 20 selected European stock market indexes. The tests were performed for each year and for additional two-year sub-periods during the 20-year research period (1999–2018). Moreover, the tests were run for one-, two-, three- and four-day returns’ intervals. The study allowed for a partial rejection of the research hypothesis, finding that on a long-term basis the efficiency of European stock markets tends to improve. Indeed, the results indicate that overall efficiency tended to improve but only since the end of the 2008 global financial crisis. From the very beginning of the research period until 2008, overall efficiency was shown to decrease.</p>


2009 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kian-Ping Lim ◽  
Muzafar Shah Habibullah ◽  
Melvin J. Hinich

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