Forecast of Traffic Accidents Based on Components Extraction and an Autoregressive Neural Network with Levenberg-Marquardt

2014 ◽  
pp. 82-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lida Barba ◽  
Nibaldo Rodríguez
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Levenberg Marquardt ◽  
Autoregressive Neural Network

Comparison of an Artificial Neural Network and a Multiple Linear Regression in Predicting the Heat of Combustion of Diesel Fuel Based on Hydrocarbon Groups

2020 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 66-74
Author(s):  
Younis M. Younis ◽  
Salman H. Abbas ◽  
Farqad T. Najim ◽  
Firas Hashim Kamar ◽  
Gheorghe Nechifor
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Diesel Fuel ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Second Step ◽  
Heating Value ◽  
Network Training ◽  
Marquardt Algorithm ◽  
Levenberg Marquardt ◽  
Propagation Network

A comparison between artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models was employed to predict the heat of combustion, and the gross and net heat values, of a diesel fuel engine, based on the chemical composition of the diesel fuel. One hundred and fifty samples of Iraqi diesel provided data from chromatographic analysis. Eight parameters were applied as inputs in order to predict the gross and net heat combustion of the diesel fuel. A trial-and-error method was used to determine the shape of the individual ANN. The results showed that the prediction accuracy of the ANN model was greater than that of the MLR model in predicting the gross heat value. The best neural network for predicting the gross heating value was a back-propagation network (8-8-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.98502 for the test data. In the same way, the best neural network for predicting the net heating value was a back-propagation network (8-5-1), using the Levenberg�Marquardt algorithm for the second step of network training. R = 0.95112 for the test data.

A New Unit Root Test for Unemployment Hysteresis Based on the Autoregressive Neural Network*

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
OlaOluwa S. Yaya ◽  
Ahamuefula E. Ogbonna ◽  
Fumitaka Furuoka ◽  
Luis A. Gil‐Alana
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Autoregressive Neural Network

Predicting Seepage of Earth Dams Using Neural Network and Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 403-408 ◽  
pp. 3081-3085 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Ying Miao ◽  
Jin Kui Chu ◽  
Jing Qiao ◽  
Ling Han Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Field Data ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Earth Dam ◽  
Earth Dams ◽  
Gradient Descent Algorithm ◽  
Levenberg Marquardt ◽  
Lm Algorithm ◽  
Good Agreement

Measurements of seepage are fundamental for earth dam surveillance. However, it is difficult to establish an effective and practical dam seepage prediction model due to the nonlinearity between seepage and its influencing factors. Genetic Algorithm for Levenberg-Marquardt(GA-LM), a new neural network(NN) model has been developed for predicting the seepage of an earth dam in China using 381 databases of field data (of which 366 in 2008 were used for training and 15 in 2009 for testing). Genetic algorithm(GA) is an ecological system algorithm, which was adopted to optimize the NN structure. Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm was originally designed to serve as an intermediate optimization algorithm between the Gauss-Newton(GN) method and the gradient descent algorithm, which was used to train NN. The predicted seepage values using GA-LM model are in good agreement with the field data. It is demonstrated here that the model is capable of predicting the seepage of earth dams accurately. The performance of GA-LM has been compared with that of conventional Back-Propagation(BP) algorithm and LM algorithm with trial-and-error approach. The comparison indicates that the GA-LM model can offer stronger and better performance than conventional NNs when used as a quick interpolation and extrapolation tool.

SOH estimation method for lithium-ion batteries based on nonlinear autoregressive neural network model with exogenous input

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Yanbo Che ◽  
Yibin Cai ◽  
Hongfeng Li ◽  
Yushu Liu ◽  
Mingda Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Lithium Ion Batteries ◽  
Equivalent Circuit ◽  
Equivalent Circuit Model ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Circuit Model ◽  
Variable Order ◽  
Nonlinear Correlation ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive ◽  
Autoregressive Neural Network

Abstract The working state of lithium-ion batteries must be estimated accurately and efficiently in the battery management system. Building a model is the most prevalent way of predicting the battery's working state. Based on the variable order equivalent circuit model, this paper examines the attenuation curve of battery capacity with the number of cycles. It identifies the order of the equivalent circuit model using Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Based on the correlation between capacity and resistance, the paper concludes that there is a nonlinear correlation between model parameters and state of health (SOH). The nonlinear autoregressive neural network with exogenous input (NARX) is used to fit the nonlinear correlation for capacity regeneration. Then, the self-adaptive weight particle swarm optimization (SWPSO) method is suggested to train the neural network. Finally, single-battery and multi-battery tests are planned to validate the accuracy of the SWPSO-NARX estimate of SOH. The experimental findings indicate that the SOH estimate effect is significant.

scholarly journals Intelligent Method for Identifying Driving Risk Based on V2V Multisource Big Data

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinshuan Peng ◽  
Yiming Shao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Accidents ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Time Window ◽  
Driving Behavior ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Accurate Identification ◽  
Risky Driving ◽  
Bayesian Filter ◽  
Identification Rate

Risky driving behavior is a major cause of traffic conflicts, which can develop into road traffic accidents, making the timely and accurate identification of such behavior essential to road safety. A platform was therefore established for analyzing the driving behavior of 20 professional drivers in field tests, in which overclose car following and lane departure were used as typical risky driving behaviors. Characterization parameters for identification were screened and used to determine threshold values and an appropriate time window for identification. A neural network-Bayesian filter identification model was established and data samples were selected to identify risky driving behavior and evaluate the identification efficiency of the model. The results obtained indicated a successful identification rate of 83.6% when the neural network model was solely used to identify risky driving behavior, but this could be increased to 92.46% once corrected by the Bayesian filter. This has important theoretical and practical significance in relation to evaluating the efficiency of existing driver assist systems, as well as the development of future intelligent driving systems.

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