Countermeasures Selection via Evidence Theory

2013 ◽  
pp. 218-222
Author(s):  
Giusj Digioia ◽  
Chiara Foglietta ◽  
Gabriele Oliva ◽  
Stefano Panzieri
Keyword(s):  
Evidence Theory

Fault Classification of Hydroelectric Generating Unit Based on Improved Evidence Theory

2014 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiatang Cheng ◽  
Li Ai ◽  
Zhimei Duan ◽  
Yan Xiong
Keyword(s):  
Fault Diagnosis ◽  
Information Fusion ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Fault Classification ◽  
Fusion Method ◽  
Inconsistent Result ◽  
High Conflict

Aiming at the problem of the conventional vibration fault diagnosis technology with inconsistent result of a hydroelectric generating unit, an information fusion method was proposed based on the improved evidence theory. In this algorithm, the original evidence was amended by the credibility factor, and then the synthesis rule of standard evidence theory was utilized to carry out information fusion. The results show that the proposed method can obtain any definitive conclusion even if there is high conflict evidence in the synthesis evidence process, and may avoid the divergent phenomenon when the consistent evidence is fused, and is suitable for the fault classification of hydroelectric generating unit.

scholarly journals Rolling Bearing Fault Prediction Method Based on QPSO-BP Neural Network and Dempster–Shafer Evidence Theory

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (5) ◽  
pp. 1094 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lanjun Wan ◽  
Hongyang Li ◽  
Yiwei Chen ◽  
Changyun Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Working Conditions ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Rolling Bearing ◽  
Fault Prediction ◽  
Fault Classification ◽  
Bearing Fault ◽  
Hidden Layer

To effectively predict the rolling bearing fault under different working conditions, a rolling bearing fault prediction method based on quantum particle swarm optimization (QPSO) backpropagation (BP) neural network and Dempster–Shafer evidence theory is proposed. First, the original vibration signals of rolling bearing are decomposed by three-layer wavelet packet, and the eigenvectors of different states of rolling bearing are constructed as input data of BP neural network. Second, the optimal number of hidden-layer nodes of BP neural network is automatically found by the dichotomy method to improve the efficiency of selecting the number of hidden-layer nodes. Third, the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network are optimized by QPSO algorithm, which can improve the convergence speed and classification accuracy of BP neural network. Finally, the fault classification results of multiple QPSO-BP neural networks are fused by Dempster–Shafer evidence theory, and the final rolling bearing fault prediction model is obtained. The experiments demonstrate that different types of rolling bearing fault can be effectively and efficiently predicted under various working conditions.

scholarly journals An improved conflicting-evidence combination method based on the redistribution of the basic probability assignment

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zezheng Yan ◽  
Hanping Zhao ◽  
Xiaowen Mei
Keyword(s):  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Combination Method ◽  
Probability Assignment ◽  
Basic Probability Assignment ◽  
Combination Methods ◽  
Conflicting Evidence ◽  
Basic Probability ◽  
The Right ◽  
Conflict Intensity ◽  
Dempster’S Rule Of Combination

AbstractDempster–Shafer evidence theory is widely applied in various fields related to information fusion. However, the results are counterintuitive when highly conflicting evidence is fused with Dempster’s rule of combination. Many improved combination methods have been developed to address conflicting evidence. Nevertheless, all of these approaches have inherent flaws. To solve the existing counterintuitive problem more effectively and less conservatively, an improved combination method for conflicting evidence based on the redistribution of the basic probability assignment is proposed. First, the conflict intensity and the unreliability of the evidence are calculated based on the consistency degree, conflict degree and similarity coefficient among the evidence. Second, the redistribution equation of the basic probability assignment is constructed based on the unreliability and conflict intensity, which realizes the redistribution of the basic probability assignment. Third, to avoid excessive redistribution of the basic probability assignment, the precision degree of the evidence obtained by information entropy is used as the correction factor to modify the basic probability assignment for the second time. Finally, Dempster’s rule of combination is used to fuse the modified basic probability assignment. Several different types of examples and actual data sets are given to illustrate the effectiveness and potential of the proposed method. Furthermore, the comparative analysis reveals the proposed method to be better at obtaining the right results than other related methods.

scholarly journals Conflict Data Fusion in a Multi-Agent System Premised on the Base Basic Probability Assignment and Evidence Distance

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (7) ◽  
pp. 820
Author(s):  
Jingyu Liu ◽  
Yongchuan Tang
Keyword(s):  
Data Fusion ◽  
Evidence Theory ◽  
Multi Agent System ◽  
Agent System ◽  
Combination Rules ◽  
Probability Assignment ◽  
Basic Probability Assignment ◽  
Reasonable Evidence ◽  
Basic Probability ◽  
Multi Agent

The multi-agent information fusion (MAIF) system can alleviate the limitations of a single expert system in dealing with complex situations, as it allows multiple agents to cooperate in order to solve problems in complex environments. Dempster–Shafer (D-S) evidence theory has important applications in multi-source data fusion, pattern recognition, and other fields. However, the traditional Dempster combination rules may produce counterintuitive results when dealing with highly conflicting data. A conflict data fusion method in a multi-agent system based on the base basic probability assignment (bBPA) and evidence distance is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the new bBPA and reconstructed BPA are used to construct the initial belief degree of each agent. Then, the information volume of each evidence group is obtained by calculating the evidence distance so as to modify the reliability and obtain more reasonable evidence. Lastly, the final evidence is fused with the Dempster combination rule to obtain the result. Numerical examples show the effectiveness and availability of the proposed method, which improves the accuracy of the identification process of the MAIF system.

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