Wind Power Forecasting Using Support Vector Machine Model in RStudio

Author(s):  
Archana Pawar ◽  
V. S. Jape ◽  
Seema Mathew
Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 6319
Author(s):  
Chia-Sheng Tu ◽  
Chih-Ming Hong ◽  
Hsi-Shan Huang ◽  
Chiung-Hsing Chen

This paper presents a short-term wind power forecasting model for the next day based on historical marine weather and corresponding wind power output data. Due the large amount of historical marine weather and wind power data, we divided the data into clusters using the data regression (DR) algorithm to get meaningful training data, so as to reduce the number of modeling data and improve the efficiency of computing. The regression model was constructed based on the principle of the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM). We carried out wind speed forecasting for one hour and one day and used the correlation between marine wind speed and the corresponding wind power regression model to realize an indirect wind power forecasting model. Proper parameter settings for LSSVM are important to ensure its efficiency and accuracy. In this paper, we used an enhanced bee swarm optimization (EBSO) to perform the parameter optimization for LSSVM, which not only improved the forecast model availability, but also improved the forecasting accuracy.


2013 ◽  
Vol 448-453 ◽  
pp. 1825-1828 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Li ◽  
Xin Wang ◽  
Yi Hui Zheng ◽  
Li Xue Li ◽  
Li Dan Zhou ◽  
...  

In order to improve the rate and accuracy of wind power forecasting, the Least-Square Support Vector Machine method (LSSVM) is presented. LSSVM adopts equality constraints and defines the least-square system as the objective function, which can simplify the forecasting method to a large extent, as well as accelerate the rate of wind power forecasting. Through the analysis of the original load data, a reasonable choice on training set and test sample set is made in the simulation. Besides, many factors, such as, the temperature, wind direction, wind speed and power previous, are taken into consideration. The result shows that LSSVM is more effective than that of SVM.


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