Results of a 36-hour storm surge prediction of the North Sea for 3 January 1976 on the basis of numerical models

1979 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 89-99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Günter Fischer
1978 ◽  
Vol 1 (16) ◽  
pp. 56
Author(s):  
Manfred Engel

The present state of the development of an operative storm surge prediction system in Germany is described. It is based on numerical models of the atmosphere and the North Sea. First simulations of the storm surge on Jan. 3, 1976 yield the result, that the observed water levels along the North Sea coasts can be recalculated quite well using a meteorological input derived from observations, Whereas the forecasted water levels, using the predicted geostrophic winds of the atmospheric model, are too low since the pressure gradients are too weak. A series of storm surge recalculations with observed and predicted meteorological data shall answer the question, wether parameter fits, applied to the predicted wind stress, lead to satisfying results, suitable for practical applications.


1992 ◽  
Vol 12 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 213-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.K. Verboom ◽  
J.G. de Ronde ◽  
R.P. van Dijk

1983 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 317-329 ◽  
Author(s):  
H.H. Peeck ◽  
R. Proctor ◽  
C. Brockmann

2019 ◽  
Vol 49 ◽  
pp. 187-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony James Kettle

Abstract. Storm Tilo on 8–9 November 2007 ranks among the serious winter storms in northern Europe over the past 30 years. Its low pressure centre passed across the northern North Sea, and this led to a cold air outbreak in northwest Europe. Strong north winds across the North Sea contributed to a high storm surge that was serious for coastal regions in eastern England, the Netherlands and Germany. Storm winds and unusually high waves caused shipping accidents and damage to some offshore energy infrastructure. This report presents an outline of the met-ocean conditions and a short overview of storm impacts on societal and energy infrastructure. The progress of the storm surge around the North Sea is analysed using data from the national tide gauge networks. A spectral analysis of the water level data is used to isolate the long period storm surge and short period oscillations (i.e., <4.8 h) from the tidal signal. The calculated skew surge is compared with literature reports for this storm and also with another serious North Sea storm from 31 October–1 November 2006 (Storm Britta). The short period oscillations are compared with the platform and shipping incident reports for the 2 d storm period. The results support previous reports of unusual wave and water level dynamics during some severe regional winter storms.


1983 ◽  
Vol 6 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 267-291 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. P. Mathisen ◽  
Ø. Johansen

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony Kettle

&lt;p&gt;Storm Xaver impacted the northern Europe on 5-6 December 2013. &amp;#160;It developed southeast of Greenland and passed north of Scotland and across southern Norway on a trajectory that led to a cold air outbreak across the North Sea and intense convection activity in northern Europe.&amp;#160; Strong sustained north winds led to a high storm surge that impacted all countries bordering the North Sea. &amp;#160;Storm Xaver was a century scale event with certain locations around the North Sea reporting their highest ever water levels since the start of modern records.&amp;#160; Media reports from the time of the storm chronicle the scale of the disruptions, including many cancelled flights, interrupted rail networks, closed bridges and roads, coastal building collapses, and power blackouts across northern Europe. &amp;#160;Much of this was due to the strong winds, but coastal storm surge flooding was important in the UK, and it led to interrupted port operations around the North Sea.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The storm was important for energy infrastructure and particularly for wind energy infrastructure.&amp;#160; In the northern North Sea, petroleum platforms were evacuated and operations closed ahead of the storm as a precautionary measure.&amp;#160; A number of onshore wind turbines were badly damaged by high winds and lightning strikes in the UK and Germany.&amp;#160; Over the North Sea, wind speeds exceeded the turbine shutdown threshold of 25 m/s for an extended period of time, with economic impacts from the loss of power generation.&amp;#160;&amp;#160; In the German Bight, the FINO1 offshore wind energy research platform was damaged at the 15 m level by large waves. &amp;#160;This was the third report of storm damage to this platform after Storm Britta in 2006 and Storm Tilo in 2007. &amp;#160;Researchers have highlighted the need to reassess&amp;#160; the design criteria for offshore wind turbines based on these kinds of extreme meteorological events. &amp;#160;For the offshore wind industry, an important element of energy meteorology is to characterize both the evolving wind and wave fields during severe storms as both elements contribute to turbine loads and potential damage.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The present conference contribution presents a literature review of the major events during Storm Xaver and impacts on energy infrastructure.&amp;#160; Tide gauge records are reanalyzed to trace the progress of the storm surge wave around the North Sea.&amp;#160; A spectral analysis is used to separate the long period storm surge component, diurnal/semidiurnal tide, and short period components in the original water level record. &amp;#160;The short period component of the tide gauge record is important as it may be linked with infragravity waves that have been implicated in certain cases of offshore infrastructure damage in addition to coastal erosion. &amp;#160;Discussion is made of offshore wave records during the storm.&amp;#160; Storm Xaver is compared with two damaging offshore storms in 2006 and 2007.&lt;/p&gt;


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