scholarly journals Default and determinacy under quantitative easing

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Romanidis ◽  
Dimitrios P. Tsomocos
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
State Space ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Defaultable Bond ◽  
Full State ◽  
States Of Nature

AbstractWe show that the path of inflation under quantitative easing policies that target interest rates, is determinate in the presence of default. We achieve this through different payoff profiles that a collateralised defaultable bond achieves in different states of nature with distinct default outcomes. In the model, heterogeneous households trade this bond and other shorter maturity risk-free bonds to maximize their intertemporal utility of consumption and labour. The differentiated payoffs of the collateralised bond, in an equilibrium with active default, span the full state space giving determinacy of prices and inflation as an outcome. This, implies that quantitative easing as implemented by the ECB in the recent years, can control the stochastic path of inflation.

Conclusions

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yilmaz Akyüz
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Zero Bound

The preceding chapters have examined the deepened integration of emerging and developing economies (EDEs) into the international financial system in the new millennium and their changing vulnerabilities to external financial shocks. They have discussed the role that policies in advanced economies played in this process, including those that culminated in the global financial crisis and the unconventional monetary policy of zero-bound interest rates and quantitative easing adopted in response to the crisis, as well as policies in EDEs themselves....

AN EXTENSION OF THE BRODY–HUGHSTON–MACRINA APPROACH TO MODELING OF DEFAULTABLE BONDS

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (03) ◽  
pp. 557-589 ◽  
Author(s):  
MAREK RUTKOWSKI ◽  
NANNAN YU
Keyword(s):  
Credit Risk ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Explicit Expression ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Derivative Securities ◽  
Risk Modeling ◽  
European Option ◽  
Bond Price ◽  
Information Process ◽  
Defaultable Bond

The innovative information-based framework for credit risk modeling, proposed recently by Brody, Hughston, and Macrina, is extended to a more general and practically important setup of random interest rates. We first introduce the market model, and we derive an explicit expression for defaultable bond price. Next, the dynamics of the information process and dynamics of defaultable bond are found for both deterministic and random interest rates. Finally, the valuation and hedging of derivative securities are briefly examined. In particular, the valuation formula for a European option on a defaultable bond is established.

scholarly journals The Effects of Quantitative Easing Announcements on the Mortgage Market: An Event Study Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Event Study ◽  
The United States ◽  
Mortgage Market ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Mortgage Rate ◽  
Mortgage Securities ◽  
The Impact ◽  
T Distribution

This paper uses event study analysis to estimate the impact of the United States Federal Reserve Bank’s (Fed) quantitative easing (QE) announcements on the mortgage market during the zero lower bound (ZLB) period. A total of 35 QE announcements are identified and their effects are evaluated. The best-fitting integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (IGARCH) model with skewed t distribution is used to measure the QE announcement effects on daily changes of the 30-year mortgage rate, the 30-year Treasury rate and the spread between them. Announcements suggesting the start of a new round of QE reduced the mortgage rate tremendously, while the effects of further news diminished. Announcements of an increase in mortgage-backed security purchases decreased the mortgage rate more than the Treasury rate and reduced the credit risk of holding mortgage securities over Treasury securities. The delayed effects of QE announcements on the mortgage rate were less than short-run effects but persistent. We also find that the previous literature overestimates QE effects on interest rates in general.

scholarly journals The Effects of Quantitative Easing on Interest Rates: Channels and Implications for Policy

2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 (2) ◽  
pp. 215-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arvind Krishnamurthy ◽  
Annette Vissing-Jorgensen
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Easing

The Response of Interest Rates to US and UK Quantitative Easing

2012 ◽  
Vol 122 (564) ◽  
pp. F385-F414 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens H. E. Christensen ◽  
Glenn D. Rudebusch
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Quantitative Easing

ECB's QE will buoy EM bond markets

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Large Current

Subject Opposite forces are shaping investor sentiment towards EM assets. Significance Investor sentiment towards emerging market (EM) assets is being shaped by the conflicting forces of a strong dollar and the launch of a sovereign quantitative easing (QE) programme by the ECB. While the latter is likely to encourage investment into higher-yielding assets, such as EM debt, the former will keep the currencies of developing economies under strain, particularly those most sensitive to a rise in US interest rates due to heavier reliance on capital inflows to finance large current account deficits, such as Turkey and South Africa. Impacts EM bonds will benefit from ECB-related inflows, while the strength of the dollar will keep local currencies under strain. Higher-yielding EMs will benefit the most from the ECB's bond-buying scheme since they provide the greatest scope for 'carry trades'. The collapse in oil prices is forcing EM central banks to turn increasingly dovish, putting further strain on local currencies.

Japan will stay the course on monetary easing

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Quantitative Easing ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Bank Of Japan ◽  
Target Date ◽  
Low Levels ◽  
Global Economic Growth ◽  
First Time

Subject Monetary policy in Japan. Significance The monetary policy board of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) at its last meeting abandoned its prediction of when the nation will reach its 2% inflation target, the first time it has omitted a target date since Governor Haruhiko Kuroda introduced his policy of radical monetary easing five years ago. Impacts Japan’s interest rates will remain at historically low levels for at least two more years. The yen will remain relatively weak as other countries’ central banks end their quantitative easing programmes. A weak currency plus widespread global economic growth will create strong demand for Japanese exports.

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