Evaluation of mean and intraseasonal variability of Indian summer monsoon simulation in ECHAM5: identification of possible source of bias

2013 ◽  
Vol 43 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 389-406 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Abhik ◽  
P. Mukhopadhyay ◽  
B. N. Goswami
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability

Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wave Train and the Indian Monsoon*

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (15) ◽  
pp. 3751-3767 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinghua Ding ◽  
Bin Wang
Keyword(s):  
High Pressure ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
The Other ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Central Asian ◽  
Northeastern Atlantic

Abstract This study investigated the most recurrent coupled pattern of intraseasonal variability between midlatitude circulation and the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). The leading singular vector decomposition (SVD) pattern reveals a significant, coupled intraseasonal variation between a Rossby wave train across the Eurasian continent and the summer monsoon convection in northwestern India and Pakistan (hereafter referred to as NISM). The wave train associated with an active phase of NISM rainfall displays two high pressure anomalies, one located over central Asia and the other over northeastern Asia. They are accompanied by increased rainfall over the western Siberia plain and northern China and decreased rainfall over the eastern Mediterranean Sea and southern Japan. The circulation of the wave train shows a barotropic structure everywhere except the anomalous central Asian high, located to the northwest of India, where a heat-induced baroclinic circulation structure dominates. The time-lagged SVD analysis shows that the midlatitude wave train originates from the northeastern Atlantic and traverses Europe to central Asia. The wave train enhances the upper-level high pressure and reinforces the convection over the NISM region; meanwhile, it propagates farther toward East Asia along the waveguide provided by the westerly jet. After an outbreak of NISM convection, the anomalous central Asian high retreats westward. Composite analysis suggests a coupling between the central Asian high and the convective fluctuation in the NISM. The significance of the midlatitude–ISM interaction is also revealed by the close resemblance between the individual empirical orthogonal functions and the coupled (SVD) modes of the midlatitude circulation and the ISM. It is hypothesized that the eastward and southward propagation of the wave train originating from the northeastern Atlantic contributes to the intraseasonal variability in the NISM by changing the intensity of the monsoonal easterly vertical shear and its associated moist dynamic instability. On the other hand, the rainfall variations over the NISM reinforce the variations of the central Asian high through the “monsoon–desert” mechanism, thus reenergizing the downstream propagation of the wave train. The coupling between the Eurasian wave train and NISM may be instrumental for understanding their interaction and can provide a way to predict the intraseasonal variations of the Indian summer monsoon and East Asian summer monsoon.

scholarly journals The role of potential vorticity anomalies in the Somali Jet on Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability

2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 4149-4169 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Rai ◽  
M. Joshi ◽  
A. P. Dimri ◽  
A. G. Turner
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
Somali Jet

scholarly journals Tropical and mid-latitude teleconnections interacting with the Indian summer monsoon rainfall: a theory-guided causal effect network approach

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giorgia Di Capua ◽  
Marlene Kretschmer ◽  
Reik V. Donner ◽  
Bart van den Hurk ◽  
Ramesh Vellore ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Teleconnection Pattern ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Circumglobal Teleconnection

Abstract. The alternation of active and break phases in Indian summer monsoon (ISM) rainfall at intraseasonal timescales characterizes each ISM season. Both tropical and mid-latitude drivers influence this intraseasonal ISM variability. The circumglobal teleconnection observed in boreal summer drives intraseasonal variability across the mid-latitudes, and a two-way interaction between the ISM and the circumglobal teleconnection pattern has been hypothesized. We use causal discovery algorithms to test the ISM circumglobal teleconnection hypothesis in a causal framework. A robust causal link from the circumglobal teleconnection pattern and the North Atlantic region to ISM rainfall is identified, and we estimate the normalized causal effect (CE) of this link to be about 0.2 (a 1 standard deviation shift in the circumglobal teleconnection causes a 0.2 standard deviation shift in the ISM rainfall 1 week later). The ISM rainfall feeds back on the circumglobal teleconnection pattern, however weakly. Moreover, we identify a negative feedback between strong updraft located over India and the Bay of Bengal and the ISM rainfall acting at a biweekly timescale, with enhanced ISM rainfall following strong updraft by 1 week. This mechanism is possibly related to the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. The updraft has the strongest CE of 0.5, while the Madden–Julian oscillation variability has a CE of 0.2–0.3. Our results show that most of the ISM variability on weekly timescales comes from these tropical drivers, though the mid-latitude teleconnection also exerts a substantial influence. Identifying these local and remote drivers paves the way for improved subseasonal forecasts.

scholarly journals Role of Indian and Pacific SST in Indian Summer Monsoon Intraseasonal Variability

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (12) ◽  
pp. 2915-2930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deepthi Achuthavarier ◽  
V. Krishnamurthy
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Singular Spectrum Analysis ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract Three regionally coupled experiments are conducted to examine the role of Indian and Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in Indian summer monsoon intraseasonal variability using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction’s Climate Forecast System, a coupled general circulation model. Regional coupling is employed by prescribing daily mean or climatological SST in either the Indian or the Pacific basin while allowing full coupling elsewhere. The results are compared with a fully coupled control simulation. The intraseasonal modes are isolated by applying multichannel singular spectrum analysis on the daily precipitation anomalies. It is found that the amplitude of the northeastward-propagating mode is weaker when the air–sea interaction is suppressed in the Indian Ocean. The intraseasonal mode is not resolved clearly when the Indian Ocean SST is reduced to daily climatology. Intraseasonal composites of low-level zonal wind, latent heat flux, downward shortwave radiation, and SST provide a picture consistent with the proposed mechanisms of air–sea interaction for the northward propagation. The Pacific SST variability does not seem to be critical for the existence of this mode. The northwestward-propagating mode is obtained in the cases where the Indian Ocean was prescribed by daily mean or daily climatological SST. Intraseasonal SST composites corresponding to this mode are weak.

scholarly journals Impact of Northward-Propagating Intraseasonal Variability on the Onset of Indian Summer Monsoon

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 126-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhou ◽  
Raghu Murtugudde
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Indian Subcontinent ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
Monsoon Index ◽  
Process Understanding ◽  
Simple Regression Model ◽  
Predictive Understanding

Abstract The onset of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) has a pronounced interannual variability, part of which originates from the large-scale circulation and its thermodynamic properties. While the northward-propagating intraseasonal variabilities (ISVs) are a prominent characteristic of the ISM, they tend to initiate an early onset by transferring moisture and momentum from the deep tropics to the Indian subcontinent. However, not all early onsets of ISM are attributable to strong ISVs and not all strong ISVs can lead to early ISM onsets. With a daily Indian monsoon index and a simple regression model, the onsets of ISM from 1982 to 2011 are separated into two groups. The years in which the early onsets of ISM are closely related to the northward-propagating ISVs are categorized as the ISVO years, and the other years in which the ISM onsets are not closely related to ISVs are categorized as non-ISVO years. The former category is the focus of this study. Before the onset of ISM in the ISVO years, the convective features are prominent, such as a cyclone over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) and the associated strong convection. The ocean–atmosphere interaction is found to be important for the northward-propagating ISVs before the ISM onset in the ISVO years. Evidence shows that warm SST anomalies drive the atmosphere and lead to atmospheric instability and convection. This reinforces the more recent view that the ocean does not just play a passive role in the northward-propagating ISVs. This process understanding helps shape the path to enhancing predictive understanding and monsoon prediction skills with obvious implications for the prediction of El Niño–Southern Oscillation.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document