Sectoral Impacts of International Labour Migration and Population Ageing in the Czech Republic

The process of ageing of the population is one of the negative demographic phenomena of the developed countries’ population. The basic reasons are the decrease of the birth-rate and a longer lifespan of people. These trends can also be seen in the Czech Republic on the state as well as the regional levels. Our contribution wants to analyze the differences in the age of population and the rapidity of the ageing process in the particular Czech regions. The database of the analysis comes from 12 selected demographic indicators related to the ageing process in the period 1998–2007. Based on the factor analysis, out of 12 indicators, we chose the ageing index and the ratio of productive population, where by the means of cluster analysis, we created groups of regions with the similar age of population as of 1<sup>st</sup> December 2007 and the similar rapidity of ageing process in the period 1998–2007. The graphs showing the regions by the level reached by the indicator and the respective average growth coefficient are included in the contribution. The analysis concludes by setting the order of regions by the age of their population and the rapidity of the ageing process independently as well as by the age and the process of ageing together.

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Economic impacts of demographics ageing of Czech population

Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis ◽

10.11118/actaun200654060117 ◽

2006 ◽

Vol 54 (6) ◽

pp. 117-124 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Bohumil Minařík ◽

Jiří Pešl

Keyword(s):

Czech Republic ◽

Population Policy ◽

Population Ageing ◽

The Other ◽

Individual Responsibility ◽

Sources Of Information ◽

The Czech Republic ◽

Demographic Situation ◽

Retirement System ◽

Other Hand

Through the last fifteen years, the Czech Republic rank among the advanced European countries. It has brought both positives and negatives. The most problematic are questions of a population ageing as a result of the natural increase of inhabitants. In this article, there are presented sources of information and basic methodical instruments and related demographic indicators. This article is dealing with an actual demographic situation in the Czech Republic and its anticipated development until 2050 year in reference to a natality, mortality and foreign migration. In the last fifteen years, the mortality decreased significantly (from 12.5 in 1990 to 10.5 in 2004) and expectation of life (men: from 67.5 in 1990 to 72.6 in 2004, women: from 76.0 to 79.4) on one hand, but on the other hand, the total fertility decreased dramatically (from 1.89 in 1990 to 1.20 in 2004). Until 2050 year is supposed to increase the average age of population at about ten years and a rate of age category over 65 years should grow to double of actual situation. On the other hand, medial variety of prediction is supposed (beyond a certain temporary decrease) to increase of total fertility to a value of 1.62 at average birth mother age over 29 years. The outcome of this work will be another expressive downgrade of demographic situation and extreme pressure to the retirement system. The other part of work is dealing with causes and consequences of population ageing, for example in reference to a labour market and unemployment, but also in reference to educational system, health and retirement system. This article also recapitulates relevant continuity of the unfavourable demographic situation solution, especially in the point of main political subject view in the Czech Republic. There are mainly different options of population policy, a pressure to a decrease of a population education and especially a retirement reform. The particular proposals are influenced by a different point of political subjects view to the world and a rate of individual responsibility and country in it.

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