scholarly journals Predicting Short-Term Mortality and Long-Term Survival for Hospitalized US Patients with Alcoholic Hepatitis

2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (7) ◽  
pp. 1594-1602 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer A. Cuthbert ◽  
Sami Arslanlar ◽  
Jay Yepuri ◽  
Marc Montrose ◽  
Chul W. Ahn ◽  
...  
2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward J Nevins ◽  
Jakub Chmelo ◽  
Joshua Brown ◽  
Pooja Prasad ◽  
Alexander W Phillips

Abstract Background Outcomes following oesophagectomy for oesophageal cancer continue to improve, but complications are common and can result in significant morbidity. Post-operative complications are known to impact upon peri-operative and short-term survival but the effect on long-term survival remains unclear. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of post-operative complications on long-term survival following oesophagectomy. Methods A contemporaneously maintained database from a single centre was reviewed. All patients who underwent oesophagectomy between January 2010 and January 2019 were included. Patients were separated into three groups, those who experienced no or very minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 0 or 1), minor complications (Clavien-Dindo 2), and major complications (Clavien-Dindo 3-4). Those who died during the index hospital admission were excluded to correct for short-term mortality effects. Overall survival was analysed using Kaplan-Meier and log rank testing. Results Seven hundred and twenty-three patients underwent oesophagectomy during this time. Seventeen (2.4%) died during their index hospital stay, and were excluded from the survival analysis. The 30- and 90- day mortality was 1.1% (8/723) and 2.4% (17/723) respectively. There were 43.2% (305/706), 30.2% (213/706) and 26.6% (188/706) in the Clavien-Dindo 0-1, Clavien-Dindo 2, and Clavien-Dindo 3-4 group respectively. Median survival across the three groups was equivalent (50, 57 and 51 months). Across all three groups, overall long-term survival rates were equivalent at 1 (87.5%, 84.9%, 83.5%), 5 (44.2%, 48.9%, 44.7%) and 10 years (36.7%, 36.0%, 36.7%) (p = 0.730). Conclusions Long term survival is not affected by complications, irrespective of severity, following oesophagectomy.


1984 ◽  
Vol 311 (23) ◽  
pp. 1464-1470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles L. Mendenhall ◽  
Sharon Anderson ◽  
Pedro Garcia-Pont ◽  
Stephen Goldberg ◽  
Thomas Kiernan ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 31 (03) ◽  
Author(s):  
M Lainscak ◽  
S von Haehling ◽  
A Sandek ◽  
I Keber ◽  
M Kerbev ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 28 (7) ◽  
pp. 2015-2031 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Liu ◽  
Xiao Lin ◽  
Xuelin Huang

In oncology clinical trials, both short-term response and long-term survival are important. We propose an urn-based adaptive randomization design to incorporate both of these two outcomes. While short-term response can update the randomization probability quickly to benefit the trial participants, long-term survival outcome can also change the randomization to favor the treatment arm with definitive therapeutic benefit. Using generalized Friedman’s urn, we derive an explicit formula for the limiting distribution of the number of subjects assigned to each arm. With prior or hypothetical knowledge on treatment effects, this formula can be used to guide the selection of parameters for the proposed design to achieve desirable patient number ratios between different treatment arms, and thus optimize the operating characteristics of the trial design. Simulation studies show that the proposed design successfully assign more patients to the treatment arms with either better short-term tumor response or long-term survival outcome or both.


Author(s):  
Raquel López-Vilella ◽  
Ignacio Sánchez-Lázaro ◽  
Azucena Pajares Moncho ◽  
Mónica Talavera Peregrina ◽  
Manuel Pérez Guillén ◽  
...  

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