A modified certainty coefficient method (M-CF) for debris flow susceptibility assessment: A case study for the Wenchuan earthquake meizoseismal areas

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1286-1297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Wang ◽  
Yan Yu ◽  
Shun Yang ◽  
Gui-hong Lu ◽  
Guo-qiang Ou
2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 365-383 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongchao Li ◽  
Jianping Chen ◽  
Yiwei Zhang ◽  
Shengyuan Song ◽  
Xudong Han ◽  
...  

CATENA ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 210 ◽  
pp. 105929
Author(s):  
Pasquale Marino ◽  
Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian ◽  
Xuanmei Fan ◽  
Roberto Greco

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 483-496 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. L. Liu ◽  
S. J. Zhang ◽  
H. J. Yang ◽  
L. Q. Zhao ◽  
Y. H. Jiang ◽  
...  

Abstract. The activities of debris flow (DF) in the Wenchuan earthquake-affected area significantly increased after the earthquake on 12 May 2008. The safety of the lives and property of local people is threatened by DFs. A physics-based early warning system (EWS) for DF forecasting was developed and applied in this earthquake area. This paper introduces an application of the system in the Wenchuan earthquake-affected area and analyzes the prediction results via a comparison to the DF events triggered by the strong rainfall events reported by the local government. The prediction accuracy and efficiency was first compared with a contribution-factor-based system currently used by the weather bureau of Sichuan province. The storm on 17 August 2012 was used as a case study for this comparison. The comparison shows that the false negative rate and false positive rate of the new system is, respectively, 19 and 21 % lower than the system based on the contribution factors. Consequently, the prediction accuracy is obviously higher than the system based on the contribution factors with a higher operational efficiency. On the invitation of the weather bureau of Sichuan province, the authors upgraded their prediction system of DF by using this new system before the monsoon of Wenchuan earthquake-affected area in 2013. Two prediction cases on 9 July 2013 and 10 July 2014 were chosen to further demonstrate that the new EWS has high stability, efficiency, and prediction accuracy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (3 Part A) ◽  
pp. 1563-1570
Author(s):  
Zhi-Long Zhang ◽  
Jing Xie ◽  
De-Ke Yu ◽  
Zhi-Jie Wen

This paper addresses a debris flow disaster in Yingxiu town after the Wenchuan earthquake. Through site investigation and data review, the geography and geological environment of the basin and the development, formation conditions and activity characteristics of the debris flow in the basin are analyzed. Calculate and analyze the characteristics of the debris flow, such as gravity, flow velocity and impact force. According to the management idea of combination of blocking and discharging, this paper proposes to arrange three blocking dams in the main ditch, construct drainage gullies in the downstream accumulation section, and prevent and control the aqueduct in the intersection of the main ditch and the G213 national road, which will be similar to the earthquake in the future. It is provided as a reference for research and prevention of the debris flow.


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