Electoral Volatility in Latin America, 1932–2018

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott Mainwaring ◽  
Yen-Pin Su
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Electoral Volatility

Electoral Volatility in Latin America

2018 ◽  
Vol 80 (3) ◽  
pp. 1017-1022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mollie J. Cohen ◽  
Facundo E. Salles Kobilanski ◽  
Elizabeth J. Zechmeister
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Electoral Volatility

scholarly journals The Role of International Factors in Electoral Volatility in Latin America: An Examination of Structural Adjustment

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 215824402110178
Author(s):  
Michelle Kuenzi ◽  
Hafthor Erlingsson ◽  
John P. Tuman
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Structural Adjustment ◽  
Party System ◽  
Economic Voting ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Electoral Volatility

Does structural adjustment increase party system instability in Latin America? We employ the Latin American Presidential and Legislative Elections (LAPALE) database ( http://www.lapaledata.com ) and our own original data set for structural adjustment to assess the effects of structural adjustment and other economic, social, and political variables on legislative volatility in 18 Latin American countries during the period of 1982 to 2016. The results of our study indicate that structural adjustment results in higher levels of within-system electoral volatility and support a broad version of economic voting theory. Extra-system electoral volatility is driven primarily by institutional and demographic factors. Our findings also highlight the importance of disaggregating electoral volatility as within-system volatility and extra-system volatility appear to be largely driven by different factors, or in different ways by the same factors.

scholarly journals Indigenous Parties and Democracy in Latin America

2005 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 161-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raúl L. Madrid
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Political Participation ◽  
Political Violence ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Party System ◽  
Indigenous Populations ◽  
Electoral Volatility ◽  
Latin American History ◽  
Ethnic Parties ◽  
First Time

AbstractIn recent years, important indigenous parties have emerged for the first time in Latin American history. Although some analysts view this development with trepidation, this essay argues that the indigenous parties in Latin America are unlikely to exacerbate ethnic conflict or create the kinds of problems that have been associated with some ethnic parties in other regions. To the contrary, the emergence of major indigenous parties in Latin America may actually help deepen democracy in the region. These parties will certainly improve the representativeness of the party system in the countries where they arise. They should also increase political participation and reduce party system fragmentation and electoral volatility in indigenous areas. They may even increase the acceptance of democracy and reduce political violence in countries with large indigenous populations.

Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

1999 ◽  
Vol 93 (3) ◽  
pp. 575-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth M. Roberts ◽  
Erik Wibbels
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Voting ◽  
Party Systems ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
Time Series Regression ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Electoral Volatility ◽  
Democratic Regimes ◽  
High Level

Three different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary Latin America: economic voting, institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems, and the structure and organization of class cleavages. A pooled cross-sectional time-series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 Latin American countries during the 1980s and 1990s. Institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility, while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility. The results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short-term economic perturbations, the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems, and relatively fluid cleavage structures.

Party system volatility, regeneration and de-institutionalization in Western Europe (1945–2015)

2015 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 376-388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Chiaramonte ◽  
Vincenzo Emanuele
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Data Analysis ◽  
Eastern Europe ◽  
Party System ◽  
Western Europe ◽  
Central And Eastern Europe ◽  
Electoral Volatility ◽  
Political Actors ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Party System Institutionalization

Despite a great flourishing of studies about Latin America and Central and Eastern Europe, the issue of party system institutionalization has been widely neglected in Western Europe, where the presence of stable and predictable patterns of interactions among political actors has been generally taken for granted for a long time. Nevertheless, party system institutionalization is not something that can be gained once and for all. This article proposes a theoretical reconceptualization and a new empirical operationalization of party system (de-)institutionalization. Furthermore, it tests the presence of patterns of de-institutionalization in Western Europe from 1945 to (March) 2015 (336 elections in 19 countries) by using an original database of electoral volatility and of its internal components (regeneration and alteration). Data analysis shows that Western Europe is facing great electoral instability and party system regeneration and that many countries have experienced sequences of party system de-institutionalization, especially in the last two decades.

The Genesis and Internal Dynamics of El Salvador's People's Revolutionary Army, 1970–1976

2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 102-129
Author(s):  
ALBERTO MARTÍN ÁLVAREZ ◽  
EUDALD CORTINA ORERO
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
El Salvador ◽  
Early Years ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Internal Dynamics ◽  
Internal Coherence ◽  
The 1960S

AbstractUsing interviews with former militants and previously unpublished documents, this article traces the genesis and internal dynamics of the Ejército Revolucionario del Pueblo (People's Revolutionary Army, ERP) in El Salvador during the early years of its existence (1970–6). This period was marked by the inability of the ERP to maintain internal coherence or any consensus on revolutionary strategy, which led to a series of splits and internal fights over control of the organisation. The evidence marshalled in this case study sheds new light on the origins of the armed Salvadorean Left and thus contributes to a wider understanding of the processes of formation and internal dynamics of armed left-wing groups that emerged from the 1960s onwards in Latin America.

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