Optimal pricing decision for supply chains with risk sensitivity and human estimation

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 1717-1730 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weimin Ma ◽  
Rong Cheng ◽  
Hua Ke ◽  
Zhang Zhao
Author(s):  
Zheng Liu ◽  
Hangxin Guo ◽  
Yuanjun Zhao ◽  
Bin Hu ◽  
Xiaodong Ji ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Hanbali Hamza

Abstract This paper investigates the benefits of incorporating diversification effects into the pricing process of insurance policies from two different business lines. The paper shows that, for the same risk reduction, insurers pricing policies jointly can have a competitive advantage over those pricing them separately. However, the choice of competitiveness constrains the underwriting flexibility of joint pricers. The paper goes a step further by modelling explicitly the relationship between premiums and the number of customers in each line. Using the total collected premiums as a criterion to compare the competing strategies, the paper provides conditions for the optimal pricing decision based on policyholders’ sensitivity to price discounts. The results are illustrated for a portfolio of annuities and assurances. Further, using non-life data from the Brazilian insurance market, an empirical exploration shows that most pairs satisfy the condition for being priced jointly, even when pairwise correlations are high.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jingwei Guo ◽  
Lutian Li ◽  
Ji Zhang ◽  
Qi Shen ◽  
Zhongqi Xie ◽  
...  

For railway freight pricing, this paper proposes a new tradable rail freight option (RFO). A multiphase trigeminal tree pricing model is established to analyze the optimal pricing decision of RFO. The main parameters of the model are identified theoretically through nonparametric Ito stochastic approach. The paper expands the theory of railway freight pricing. The aim of this paper is to construct the railway freight option theory to help railway transportation enterprise cope with fierce competition and challenge from other modes of transportation in China. The most significant feature of this method is its simplicity in analyzing the optimal pricing decision using only the algebraic category and Ito’s lemma.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Lingzhi Shao

Many dual-channel suppliers need to make appropriate strategies for their upgraded products in the presence of strategic consumers. This paper develops a two-period dynamic game framework to explore the optimal pricing and upgrade the channel choice when the supplier introduces new upgraded products to a market populated by strategic consumers. The results show that, under any upgrade channel choice, the strategic consumers’ behavior has impacts on supplier and retailer’s pricing decisions and reduces their profit. The supplier could choose appropriate upgrade channel to improve his performance according to the consumers’ patience and innovation level of upgrade products. The supplier should choose pure offline channel to upgrade products when the innovation level of upgraded product B is relatively small. With the sufficiently high innovation level, the supplier should adopt pure offline channel to upgrade products when consumers’ patience is low and uses dual-channel upgrade strategy when the patience is high enough.


2020 ◽  
pp. 135481661989695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuting Chen ◽  
Rong Zhang ◽  
Bin Liu

The rise of the sharing economy has changed the traditional way of providing service to consumers. Airbnb is the most successful peer-to-peer model in the hospitality industry. This article investigates how to conduct strategic dynamic pricing in a competitive market by considering market conditions, quality, and risk sensitivity. Our research yields three main conclusions. First, we observe that the higher the risk level suppliers face, the more profit they will get; the lower the risk level consumers face, the more utilities they obtain. Second, we find that fixed pricing may be optimal or near-optimal for the platform when market size is small, the accommodation quality is better, and consumers’ reliability is low. Otherwise, a flexible pricing strategy is optimal. Finally, we extend the research into dynamic pricing decision in presence of Bayesian social learning and propose that the less-perfect accommodation requires social learning more urgently. In tourism peak period, social learning has less positive impact when the Airbnb accommodation is much perfect. These conclusions provide useful guidance on how the Airbnb and hotel can take advantage of the competitive market.


Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Xu ◽  
Lili Zhou ◽  
Qi Chen

Fashionable clothing is susceptible to seasonality, fashion popularity, and other factors. The decline in the fashion level for fashion apparel will cause its market value to continuously decrease, reducing market demand and creating a backlog of apparel inventory. Under such a circumstance, the apparel retailer chooses to maintain the fashion of the goods by providing experiential services or enhancing product design capabilities. This paper focuses on the discussions on the issue of whether experience service and design efforts are complements or substitutes. The major objective is to simultaneously determine the experience service investment and the optimal selling price to maximize the total profit. First, a Cobb–Douglas utility function is used to derive a demand function that depends on the price and fashion level. Four kinds of inventory models are further established to obtain optimal pricing and inventory ordering strategies. Second, an algorithm is presented to search for the optimal solutions of the proposed model. Finally, a numerical example is provided to perform a sensitivity analysis of the key parameters and to discuss specific managerial insights. The numerical examples show that both the experiential services and the enhanced fashion design can effectively reduce the apparel company’s inventory and increase profits. When the two strategies are combined, they will produce complementary or substitution effects, which depend on the deterioration rate of the fashion level of the apparel. If the deterioration rate is less than a critical value, the interaction of experiential services and design investment has a complementarity effect.


Author(s):  
Junhai Ma ◽  
Wandong Lou ◽  
Zongxian Wang

The bullwhip effect (BE) affects not only the revenue of the retailer but also the revenue of the manufacture. Thus, a lot of retailers and manufacturers aim to attenuate the negative impact of the BE. In this research, two parallel supply chains distributing two substitutable products with price-sensitive demands are considered, the order-up-to inventory policy, as well as the MMSE forecasting method, are employed by retailers in these chains. The retailer’s price-setting follows the first-order vector autoregressive process, suggesting that its pricing decision depends on its previous price as well as its rival’s price, owing to the BE. The analytical expression of the BE is calculated by the statistical method. Besides, the effects of pricing strategy and product substitution on the BE are studied through simulation. A conclusion can be drawn that the BE of the two parallel supply chains will be affected by lead time, product substitution rate, and pricing coefficient. Of particular interest is that the BE can be efficiently alleviated by adopting a price strategy with many correlations and a small coefficient of autocorrelation.


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