scholarly journals Finite State Graphon Games with Applications to Epidemics

Author(s):  
Alexander Aurell ◽  
René Carmona ◽  
Gökçe Dayanıklı ◽  
Mathieu Laurière

AbstractWe consider a game for a continuum of non-identical players evolving on a finite state space. Their heterogeneous interactions are represented with a graphon, which can be viewed as the limit of a dense random graph. A player’s transition rates between the states depend on their control and the strength of interaction with the other players. We develop a rigorous mathematical framework for the game and analyze Nash equilibria. We provide a sufficient condition for a Nash equilibrium and prove existence of solutions to a continuum of fully coupled forward-backward ordinary differential equations characterizing Nash equilibria. Moreover, we propose a numerical approach based on machine learning methods and we present experimental results on different applications to compartmental models in epidemiology.

1967 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 192-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. N. Darroch ◽  
E. Seneta

In a recent paper, the authors have discussed the concept of quasi-stationary distributions for absorbing Markov chains having a finite state space, with the further restriction of discrete time. The purpose of the present note is to summarize the analogous results when the time parameter is continuous.


1996 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 523-535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Søren Asmussen ◽  
Offer Kella

We consider a dam in which the release rate depends both on the state and some modulating process. Conditions for the existence of a limiting distribution are established in terms of an associated risk process. The case where the release rate is a product of the state and the modulating process is given special attention, and in particular explicit formulas are obtained for a finite state space Markov modulation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 953-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Möhle ◽  
Morihiro Notohara

AbstractAn extension of a convergence theorem for sequences of Markov chains is derived. For every positive integer N let (XN(r))r be a Markov chain with the same finite state space S and transition matrix ΠN=I+dNBN, where I is the unit matrix, Q a generator matrix, (BN)N a sequence of matrices, limN℩∞cN= limN→∞dN=0 and limN→∞cN∕dN=0. Suppose that the limits P≔limm→∞(I+dNQ)m and G≔limN→∞PBNP exist. If the sequence of initial distributions PXN(0) converges weakly to some probability measure μ, then the finite-dimensional distributions of (XN([t∕cN))t≥0 converge to those of the Markov process (Xt)t≥0 with initial distribution μ, transition matrix PetG and limN→∞(I+dNQ+cNBN)[t∕cN]


2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 1114-1132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernhard C. Geiger ◽  
Christoph Temmel

A lumping of a Markov chain is a coordinatewise projection of the chain. We characterise the entropy rate preservation of a lumping of an aperiodic and irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space by the random growth rate of the cardinality of the realisable preimage of a finite-length trajectory of the lumped chain and by the information needed to reconstruct original trajectories from their lumped images. Both are purely combinatorial criteria, depending only on the transition graph of the Markov chain and the lumping function. A lumping is strongly k-lumpable, if and only if the lumped process is a kth-order Markov chain for each starting distribution of the original Markov chain. We characterise strong k-lumpability via tightness of stationary entropic bounds. In the sparse setting, we give sufficient conditions on the lumping to both preserve the entropy rate and be strongly k-lumpable.


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