Artificial NARX Neural Network Model of Wind Speed: Case of Istanbul-Avcilar

Author(s):  
Huseyin Calik ◽  
Namik Ak ◽  
Ibrahim Guney
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali H. Dhafer ◽  
Fauzias Mat Nor ◽  
Wahidah Hashim ◽  
Nuradli Ridzwan Shah ◽  
Khairil Faizal Bin Khairi ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Sun ◽  
Wenheng Su ◽  
Weixuan Liu ◽  
Hui Cao ◽  
Dong Guo ◽  
...  

In recent years, there has been increased interest in the use of bus IC card data to analyze bus transit time characteristics, and the prediction is no longer confined to rail traffic passenger flow prediction and traditional traffic flow prediction. Research on passenger flow forecast for the bus IC card has been increasing year by year. Based on the bus IC card data of Qingdao City, this paper first analyzes the characteristics of one-day passenger flow and passenger flow during subperiods and conducts a separate study on the characteristics of the elderly. The results show that the travel of the elderly is also affected by the weekday and the weekend. Then, based on the ARIMA model and the NARX neural network model, the passenger flow forecasting (10-minute interval) is carried out using the IC card data of No. 1 bus for 5 weekdays. The prediction results show that the NARX neural network model is effective in the short-term prediction of bus passenger flow, and especially, it is more accurate in the peak hour and large-scale data prediction.


2019 ◽  
Vol 52 (29) ◽  
pp. 222-227 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shereen Abouelazayem ◽  
Ivan Glavinić ◽  
Thomas Wondrak ◽  
Jaroslav Hlava

2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 840-845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Bing Xu ◽  
Jun He ◽  
Jian Ping Wang

Wind speed forecast is a non-linear and non-smooth problem. nonlinear and non-stationary are two kinds of mathematical problem, it is difficult to model with a single method, so that, a wavelet neural network model is set, the non-linear process of wind speed is forecast by neural networks and the non-stationary process of wind speed is decomposed into quasi-stationary at different frequency scales by multi-scale characteristics of wavelet transforms. wavelet combined with neural network model avoid the neural network model that can not handle non-stationary questions .while, the effect of indefinite inputs are removed by embedding dimension of phase space to determine neural networks inputs. The simulation results show that phase space reconstruction of wavelet neural network is more accuracy than the ordinary BP neural network. It could be well applied in wind speed forecasts.


Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zina Boussaada ◽  
Octavian Curea ◽  
Ahmed Remaci ◽  
Haritza Camblong ◽  
Najiba Mrabet Bellaaj

IEEE Access ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 28150-28161 ◽  
Author(s):  
Molla S. Hossain Lipu ◽  
Mahammad A. Hannan ◽  
Aini Hussain ◽  
Mohamad H. M. Saad ◽  
Afida Ayob ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (23) ◽  
pp. 6535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kim ◽  
Seong ◽  
Choi

Accurate calculations and predictions of heating and cooling loads in buildings play an important role in the development and implementation of building energy management plans. This study aims to improve the forecasting accuracy of cooling load predictions using an optimized nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) neural network model. The preprocessing of training data and optimization of parameters were investigated for model optimization. In predictive models of cooling loads, the removal of missing values and the adjustment of structural parameters have been shown to help improve the predictive performance of a neural network model. In this study, preprocessing the training data eliminated missing values for times when the heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning system is not running. Also, the structural and learning parameters were adjusted to optimize the model parameters.


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