Regional short-term forecast of total column ozone

1995 ◽  
Vol 29 (10) ◽  
pp. 1155-1163 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Vogel ◽  
D. Spänkuch ◽  
E. Schulz ◽  
U. Feister ◽  
W. Döhler
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yves J. Rochon ◽  
Michael Sitwell ◽  
Young-Min Cho

Abstract. The impact of assimilating total column ozone datasets from single and multiple satellite data sources with and without bias correction has been examined with a version of the Environment and Climate Change Canada variational assimilation and forecasting system. The assimilated and evaluated data sources include the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 instruments on the MetOp-A and MetOp-B satellites (GOME-2A and GOME-2B), the total column ozone mapping instrument of the Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite (OMPS-NM) on the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) satellite, and the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) instrument on the Aura research satellite. Ground-based Brewer and Dobson spectrophotometers, and filter ozonometers, as well as the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet satellite instrument (SBUV/2), served as independent validation sources for total column ozone. Regional and global mean differences of the OMI-TOMS data with measurements from the three ground-based instrument types for the three evaluated two month periods were found to be within 1 %, except for the polar regions with the largest differences from the comparatively small dataset in Antarctica exceeding 3 %. Values from SBUV/2 summed partial columns were typically larger than OMI-TOMS on average by 0.6 to 1.2 ± 0.7 %, with smaller differences than with ground-based over Antarctica. OMI-TOMS was chosen as the reference used in the bias correction instead of the ground-based observations due to OMI’s significantly better spatial and temporal coverage and interest in near-real time assimilation. Bias corrections as a function of latitude and solar zenith angle were performed with a two-week moving window using colocation with OMI-TOMS and three variants of differences with short-term forecasts. These approaches are shown to yield residual biases of less than 1 %, with the rare exceptions associated with bins with less data. These results were compared to a time-independent bias correction estimation that used colocations as a function of ozone effective temperature and solar zenith angle which, for the time period examined, resulted in larger changes in residual biases as a function of time for some cases. Assimilation experiments for the July-August 2014 period show a reduction of global and temporal mean biases for short-term forecasts relative to ground-based Brewer and Dobson data from a maximum of about 2.3 % in the absence of bias correction to less than 0.3 % in size when bias correction is included. Both temporally averaged and time varying mean differences of forecasts with OMI-TOMS are reduced to within 1 % for nearly all cases when bias corrected observations are assimilated for the latitudes where satellite data is present. The impact of bias correction on the standard deviations and anomaly correlation coefficients of forecast differences to OMI-TOMS is noticeable but small compared to the impact of introducing any total column ozone assimilation. The assimilation of total column ozone data can result in some improvement, as well as some deterioration, in the vertical structure of forecasts when comparing to Aura-MLS and ozonesonde profiles. The most significant improvement in the vertical domain from the assimilation of total column ozone alone is seen in the anomaly correlation coefficients in the tropical lower stratosphere, which increases from a minimum of 0.1 to about 0.6. Nonetheless, it is made evident that the quality of the vertical structure is most improved when also assimilating ozone profile data, which only weakly affects the total column short-term forecasts.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (14) ◽  
pp. 9431-9451 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yves J. Rochon ◽  
Michael Sitwell ◽  
Young-Min Cho

Abstract. Bias estimations and corrections of total column measurements are applied and evaluated with ozone data from satellite instruments providing near-real-time products during summer 2014 and 2015 and winter 2015. The developed standalone bias-correction system can be applied in near-real-time chemical data assimilation and long-term reanalysis. The instruments to which these bias corrections were applied include the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment-2 instruments on the MetOp-A and MetOp-B satellites (GOME-2A and GOME-2B), the total column ozone mapping instrument of the Ozone Mapping Profiler Suite (OMPS-NM) on the Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (S-NPP) satellite, and the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) instrument on the Aura research satellite. The OMI data set based on the TOMS version 8.5 retrieval algorithm was chosen as the reference used in the bias correction of the other satellite-based total column ozone data sets. OMI data were chosen for this purpose instead of ground-based observations due to OMI's significantly better spatial and temporal coverage, as well as interest in near-real-time assimilation. Ground-based Brewer and Dobson spectrophotometers, and filter ozonometers, as well as the Solar Backscatter Ultraviolet satellite instrument (SBUV/2), served as independent validation sources of total column ozone data. Regional and global mean differences of the OMI-TOMS data with measurements from the three ground-based instrument types for the three evaluated 2-month periods were found to be within 1 %, except for the polar regions, where the largest differences from the comparatively small data set in Antarctica exceeded 3 %. Values from SBUV/2 summed partial columns were typically larger than OMI-TOMS on average by 0.6 % to 1.2 %, with smaller differences than with ground-based observations over Antarctica. Bias corrections as a function of latitude and solar zenith angle were performed for GOME-2A/B and OMPS-NM using colocation with OMI-TOMS and three variants of differences with short-term model forecasts. These approaches were shown to yield residual biases of less than 1 %, with the rare exceptions associated with bins with less data. These results were compared to a time-independent bias-correction estimation that used colocations as a function of ozone effective temperature and solar zenith angle which, for the time period examined, resulted in larger residual biases for bins whose bias varies more in time. The impact of assimilating total column ozone data from single and multiple satellite data sources with and without bias correction was examined with a version of the Environment and Climate Change Canada variational assimilation and forecasting system. Assimilation experiments for July–August 2014 show a reduction of global mean biases for short-term forecasts relative to ground-based Brewer and Dobson observations from a maximum of about 2.3 % in the absence of bias correction to less than 0.3 % in size when bias correction is included. Both temporally averaged and time-varying mean differences of forecasts with OMI-TOMS were reduced to within 1 % for nearly all cases when bias-corrected observations are assimilated for the latitudes where satellite data are present.


2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 4487-4505 ◽  
Author(s):  
K.-L. Chang ◽  
S. Guillas ◽  
V. E. Fioletov

Abstract. Total column ozone variations estimated using ground-based stations provide important independent source of information in addition to satellite-based estimates. This estimation has been vigorously challenged by data inhomogeneity in time and by the irregularity of the spatial distribution of stations, as well as by interruptions in observation records. Furthermore, some stations have calibration issues and thus observations may drift. In this paper we compare the spatial interpolation of ozone levels using the novel stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) approach with the covariance-based kriging. We show how these new spatial predictions are more accurate, less uncertain and more robust. We construct long-term zonal means to investigate the robustness against the absence of measurements at some stations as well as instruments drifts. We conclude that time series analyzes can benefit from the SPDE approach compared to the covariance-based kriging when stations are missing, but the positive impact of the technique is less pronounced in the case of drifts.


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