Background:
Intracerebral Hemorrhage (ICH) accounts for 10% of strokes annually in the United States (US). Up-to-date trends in disease burden and regional variation remain unknown; especially after a dramatic increase in the use of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) since 2010. Our study reports updated incidence, mortality and mortality to incidence ratio (MIR) data related to ICH across the US.
Methods:
This observational study utilized the Global Burden of Disease database to determine age-standardized incidence (ASIR), death (ASDR) and MIR rates for ICH overall and for each state in the US from 1990-2017. All analyses were stratified by sex. Trends were analyzed using Joinpoint regression analysis, with presentation of estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) in ASIRs, ASDRs and MIRs over the observation period.
Results:
We observed an overall decrease in ASIRs, ASDRs and MIRs in both genders from 1990-2017, apart from female ASIRs and ASDRs in West Virginia and Kentucky. In 2017, the mean ASIR per 100,000 population for men was 25.67 and 19.17 for women. The 2017 mean ASDRs per 100,000 population for men and women were 13.96 and 11.35, respectively. The District of Columbia had the greatest decreases in ASIR EAPCs for males at -41.25% and females at -40.58%, and the greatest decreases in ASDR EAPCs for both males and females at -55.38% and -48.51%, respectively. The overall MIR during the study period decreased in males by -12.12% and females by -7.43%. However, MIR increased in males from 2014-2017 (EAPC +2.2% [95% CI +0.9%-+3.5%]) and in females from 2011-2017 (EAPC +1.0% [CI +0.7%-+1.4%]).
Conclusion:
This report reveals overall decreasing trends in incidence, mortality and MIR from 1990-2017. Notably, no significant change in mortality was found in the last 6 years of the study period, and MIR worsened in males from 2014-2017 and in females from 2011-2017, suggesting decreased ICH related survival lately. The substitution of vitamin K antagonists with DOACs is one possible explanation for a downtrend in incidence despite an aging population and increased use of anticoagulants. Limited access to reversal agents for DOACs is a potential reason for increase in MIR, however concrete deductions cannot be made owing to the observational nature of the study.
Incidence and Mortality Trends of Atrial Fibrillation/Atrial Flutter in the United States 1990 to 2017
