Hybrid neural network models for hydrologic time series forecasting

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 585-592 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashu Jain ◽  
Avadhnam Madhav Kumar

Recently, the stock market prediction has become one of the essential application areas of time-series forecasting research. The successful prediction of the stock market can be better guided to the investors to maximize their profit and to minimize the risk of investment. The stock market data are very much complex, non-linear and dynamic. Due to this reason, still, it is a challenging task. In recent time, deep learning method has become one of the most popular machine learning methods for time-series forecasting due to their temporal feature extraction capabilities. In this paper, we have proposed a novel Deep Learning-based Integrated Stacked Model (DISM) that integrates both the 1D Convolution neural network and LSTM recurrent neural network to find the spatial and temporal features from the stock market data. Our proposed DISM is applied to forecast the stock market. Here, we have also compared our proposed DISM with the single structured stacked LSTM, and 1D Convolution neural network models, and some other statistical models. We have observed that our proposed DISM produces better results in terms of accuracy and stability.


Author(s):  
Sai Van Cuong ◽  
M. V. Shcherbakov

The research of the problem of automatic high-frequency time series forecasting (without expert) is devoted. The efficiency of high-frequency time series forecasting using different statistical and machine learning modelsis investigated. Theclassical statistical forecasting methods are compared with neural network models based on 1000 synthetic sets of high-frequency data. The neural network models give better prediction results, however, it takes more time to compute compared to statistical approaches.


Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Julio Cesar Monica ◽  
Daniela Sanchez ◽  
Oscar Castillo

In this paper, a multiple ensemble neural network model with fuzzy response aggregation for the COVID-19 time series is presented. Ensemble neural networks are composed of a set of modules, which are used to produce several predictions under different conditions. The modules are simple neural networks. Fuzzy logic is then used to aggregate the responses of several predictor modules, in this way, improving the final prediction by combining the outputs of the modules in an intelligent way. Fuzzy logic handles the uncertainty in the process of making a final decision about the prediction. The complete model was tested for the case of predicting the COVID-19 time series in Mexico, at the level of the states and the whole country. The simulation results of the multiple ensemble neural network models with fuzzy response integration show very good predicted values in the validation data set. In fact, the prediction errors of the multiple ensemble neural networks are significantly lower than using traditional monolithic neural networks, in this way showing the advantages of the proposed approach.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dipayan Biswas ◽  
P. Sooryakiran ◽  
V. Srinivasa Chakravarthy

AbstractRecurrent neural networks with associative memory properties are typically based on fixed-point dynamics, which is fundamentally distinct from the oscillatory dynamics of the brain. There have been proposals for oscillatory associative memories, but here too, in the majority of cases, only binary patterns are stored as oscillatory states in the network. Oscillatory neural network models typically operate at a single/common frequency. At multiple frequencies, even a pair of oscillators with real coupling exhibits rich dynamics of Arnold tongues, not easily harnessed to achieve reliable memory storage and retrieval. Since real brain dynamics comprises of a wide range of spectral components, there is a need for oscillatory neural network models that operate at multiple frequencies. We propose an oscillatory neural network that can model multiple time series simultaneously by performing a Fourier-like decomposition of the signals. We show that these enhanced properties of a network of Hopf oscillators become possible by operating in the complex-variable domain. In this model, the single neural oscillator is modeled as a Hopf oscillator, with adaptive frequency and dynamics described over the complex domain. We propose a novel form of coupling, dubbed “power coupling,” between complex Hopf oscillators. With power coupling, expressed naturally only in the complex-variable domain, it is possible to achieve stable (normalized) phase relationships in a network of multifrequency oscillators. Network connections are trained either by Hebb-like learning or by delta rule, adapted to the complex domain. The network is capable of modeling N-channel Electroencephalogram time series with high accuracy and shows the potential as an effective model of large-scale brain dynamics.


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