Failure probability estimation of steam turbine blades by enhanced Monte Carlo Method

2015 ◽  
Vol 56 ◽  
pp. 80-88 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.A. Rodríguez ◽  
J.C. Garcia ◽  
E. Alonso ◽  
Y. El Hamzaoui ◽  
J.M. Rodríguez ◽  
...  
2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 1360-1365
Author(s):  
Jian Quan Ma ◽  
Guang Jie Li ◽  
Shi Bo Li ◽  
Pei Hua Xu

Take a typical cross-section of rockfill embankment slope in Yaan-Luku highway as the research object, reliability analysis is studied under the condition of water table of 840.85m, 851.50m, and loading condition of natural state and horizontal seismic acceleration of 0.2g, respectively. Raw data use Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (K-S test) to determine the distribution type of parametric variation. And the parameters were sampling with Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method and Monte Carlo (MC) method, respectively, to obtain state function and determine safety factors and reliability indexes. A conclusion is drawn that the times of simulation based on LHS method were less than Monte Carlo method. Also the convergence of failure probability is better than the Monte Carlo method. The safety factor is greater than one and the failure probability has reached to 35.45% in condition of earthquake, which indicating that the instability of rockfill embankment slope is still possible.


2007 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 295-301
Author(s):  
A. I. Danilin ◽  
S. I. Adamov ◽  
A. Zh. Chernyavskii ◽  
M. I. Serpokrylov

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dingjun Li ◽  
Peng Jiang ◽  
Fan Sun ◽  
Xiaohu Yuan ◽  
Jianpu Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract The water-droplet erosion of low-pressure steam turbine blades under wet steam environments can alter the vibration characteristics of the blade, and lead to its premature failure. Using high-velocity oxygen-fuel (HVOF) sprayed water-droplet erosion resistant coating is beneficial in preventing the erosion failure, while the erosion behavior of such coatings is still not revealed so far. Here, we examined the water-droplet erosion resistance of Cr3C2–25NiCr and WC–10Co–4Cr HVOF sprayed coatings using a pulsed water jet device with different impingement angles. Combined with microscopic characterization, indentation, and adhesion tests, we found that: (1) both of the coatings exhibited a similar three-stage erosion behavior, from the formation of discrete erosion surface cavities and continuous grooves to the broadening and deepening of the groove, (2) the erosion rate accelerates with the increasing impingement angle of the water jet; besides, the impingement angle had a nonlinear effect on the cumulative mass loss, and 30° sample exhibited the smallest mass loss per unit area (3) an improvement in the interfacial adhesion strength, fracture toughness, and hardness of the coating enhanced the water-droplet erosion resistance. These results provide guidance pertaining to the engineering application of water erosion protective coatings on steam turbine blades.


JOM ◽  
1989 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 31-35
Author(s):  
R.R. Jaffee

2009 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. I. Nikitin ◽  
A. M. Smyslov ◽  
A. S. Lisyanskii ◽  
M. K. Smyslova ◽  
O. N. Simin ◽  
...  

2004 ◽  
Vol 261-263 ◽  
pp. 561-566
Author(s):  
Li Xing Huo ◽  
Min Liu ◽  
You Feng Zhang ◽  
Fang Juan Qi

To increase the accuracy of R-F method, it is necessary to solve the problems of the linear expansion of failure function and non-normal variables. In this paper, the improved FOSM method was applied to calculate the failure probability of welded pipes with cracks. The examples show that this method is simple, efficient and accurate for reliability safety assessment of welded pipes with cracks. It can save more time than the Monte Carlo method does, so that the improved FOSM method is recommended for general engineering reliability safety assessment of welded pipes with cracks.


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