Multi-source information fusion and deep-learning-based characteristics measurement for exploring the effects of peer engagement on stock price synchronicity

2021 ◽  
Vol 69 ◽  
pp. 1-21
Author(s):  
Lin Li ◽  
Feng Zhu ◽  
Hui Sun ◽  
Yiyi Hu ◽  
Yunyun Yang ◽  
...  
Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 80
Author(s):  
Sai Xu ◽  
Huazhong Lu ◽  
Christopher Ference ◽  
Qianqian Zhang

The objective of this study was to find an efficient method for measuring the total soluble solid content (TSSC) and water content of “Luogang” orange. Quick, accurate, and nondestructive detection tools (VIS/NIR spectroscopy, NIR spectroscopy, machine vision, and electronic nose), four data processing methods (Savitzky–Golay (SG), genetic algorithm (GA), multi-source information fusion (MIF), convolutional neural network (CNN) as the deep learning method, and a partial least squares regression (PLSR) modeling method) were compared and investigated. The results showed that the optimal TSSC detection method was based on VIS/NIR and machine vision data fusion and processing and modeling by SG + GA + CNN + PLSR. The R2 and RMSE of the TSSC detection results were 0.8580 and 0.4276, respectively. The optimal water content detection result was based on VIS/NIR data and processing and modeling by SG + GA + CNN + PLSR. The R2 and RMSE of the water content detection results were 0.7013 and 0.0063, respectively. This optimized method largely improved the internal quality detection accuracy of “Luogang” orange when compared to the data from a single detection tool with traditional data processing method, and provides a reference for the accuracy improvement of internal quality detection of other fruits.


Author(s):  
Nan Jing ◽  
Qi Liu ◽  
Hefei Wang

Deep learning technology has been widely used in the financial industry, primarily for improving financial time series prediction based on stock prices. To solve the problem of low fitting and poor accuracy in traditional stock price prediction models, this paper proposes a stock price prediction model based on stock price synchronicity and deep learning methods, which applied the stock price synchronicity theory in stock price trend analysis. This paper first uses the affinity propagation algorithm to build stock clusters, and then, based on convolution neural network (CNN), and feature weight to construct the stock price synchronicity factor. At last, the long short-term memory (LSTM) network with multifactor is built for stock price trend analysis. According to the theory of stock price synchronicity, the affinity propagation algorithm can find the potential related stocks of the target stock. The spatial data analysis ability of the CNN model provides a guarantee for the application in stock price synchronicity factor analysis. The LSTM model can better analyze the information contained in the stock price time series and predict the future price. The experimental results show that, compared with the traditional multilayer neural network model, the LSTM model has better accuracy in the trend prediction of the stock price. Simultaneously, the application of stock price synchronicity effectively improves the performance of the multifactor LSTM network.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Kofi Nti ◽  
Adebayo Felix Adekoya ◽  
Benjamin Asubam Weyori

AbstractThe stock market is very unstable and volatile due to several factors such as public sentiments, economic factors and more. Several Petabytes volumes of data are generated every second from different sources, which affect the stock market. A fair and efficient fusion of these data sources (factors) into intelligence is expected to offer better prediction accuracy on the stock market. However, integrating these factors from different data sources as one dataset for market analysis is seen as challenging because they come in a different format (numerical or text). In this study, we propose a novel multi-source information-fusion stock price prediction framework based on a hybrid deep neural network architecture (Convolution Neural Networks (CNN) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)) named IKN-ConvLSTM. Precisely, we design a predictive framework to integrate stock-related information from six (6) heterogeneous sources. Secondly, we construct a base model using CNN, and random search algorithm as a feature selector to optimise our initial training parameters. Finally, a stacked LSTM network is fine-tuned by using the tuned parameter (features) from the base-model to enhance prediction accuracy. Our approach's emperical evaluation was carried out with stock data (January 3, 2017, to January 31, 2020) from the Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE). The results show a good prediction accuracy of 98.31%, specificity (0.9975), sensitivity (0.8939%) and F-score (0.9672) of the amalgamated dataset compared with the distinct dataset. Based on the study outcome, it can be concluded that efficient information fusion of different stock price indicators as a single data source for market prediction offer high prediction accuracy than individual data sources.


2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omar Farooq ◽  
Mohammed Bouaddi ◽  
Mohamed Douch

2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 153-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyan Jiang ◽  
Donghua Zhou ◽  
Joseph H. Zhang

SYNOPSIS Against the backdrop of the Chinese Directive 40 (China's Reg FD) issued in 2007 as an attempt to curb insider trading and to level the information playing field, this study investigates whether analysts' private information acquisition influences the extent to which firm-specific information is impounded into stock prices, i.e., stock price synchronicity, and how the restrictions on selective disclosures imposed by Directive 40 have shaped the relationship between analyst information acquisition and synchronicity. Using a pre-Directive 40 sample, we show that synchronicity is negatively related to analysts' private information acquisition, which provides support for the “information advantage” argument of analysts' information production. However, the ability of analysts' private information acquisition in improving firm-specific information incorporated into stock price is mitigated post-Directive 40 due to a restriction on selective disclosures and/or private communication. Moreover, we find that this regulatory impact varies for firms being followed by affiliated analysts versus non-affiliated analysts. JEL Classifications: G14; G15; G17; G18.


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