Effect of net foreign assets on persistency of time-varying risk premium: Evidence from the Dollar-Yen exchange rate

2017 ◽  
Vol 49 ◽  
pp. 255-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Makoto Shimizu
2002 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 1057-1097 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michele Cavallo ◽  
Fabio Ghironi

2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lucy Dobano

This paper studies the evolution of the daily exchange rates volatilities of five european currencies against the US dollar. The aim of this paper is to perform whether there are common factors in the evolution of these exchange rates flexibles during stability and unstability periods. Several alternative models have been proposed in the literature o to the model time varying volatilities. In this paper, we fit two parametric models, GARCH and GJR-GARCH for the years 1992 to 1993 and 1995 to 1997. We will show how these models within-sample estimates of volatility can be captured asymetric effects of news, specially in periods with high speculation. Summarizing, we can conclude that these results have the atractive over the exchange rate flexible markets, particularly in the risk premium exchange rate manage.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-17
Author(s):  
Foluso Ololade Oluwole ◽  
John Adebayo Oloyede

This research tested the monetary approach to Balance of Payment in developing countries of West Africa in order to affirm whether the specified relationship in the approach depicts correctly the actual behaviour of the economies. Time series and cross-sectional data that ranges from 1970 – 2016 were used. The empirical results of the fixed effect model established a significant positive relationship between net domestic credit, interest rate and exports; an insignificant positive relationship between capital movements, imports, income and the dependent variable. Exchange rate, however, had a significant negative relationship with the net foreign assets, while inflation had an insignificant but negative relationship with net foreign assets. The pairwise causality tests indicated a unidirectional relationship between exchange rate, net domestic credit and net foreign assets while the other variables move independently and cannot granger cause net foreign assets. Hence, the study concludes that the Polak model is valid in the West Africa Monetary Zone despite the fact that they are no more operating a fixed exchange rate system. The study suggests that the attention of the monetary authorities and the governments should not only be on decreasing the money supply in the economy, since an increase in net domestic credits has a positive impact on the net foreign assets provided it is channeled towards domestic production.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Bitar ◽  
Martin Boileau

Abstract In the context of a managed float regime, we adopt the portfolio balance view to show the effects of the net foreign assets of an economy and its gross international reserves level on interest rate differentials. We argue that the interest rate differential can be explained by three components, where the components are the expected depreciation of the domestic currency, a default risk premium, and a portfolio balance premium. Our theoretical analysis suggests that the interest differential is a convex function of the level of gross international reserves. In particular, the differential and gross reserves are inversely related at low levels of reserves, but positively at higher levels. We evaluate our framework for the case of Lebanon. We find that the differential is inversely related to both net foreign assets and gross international reserves. These findings are then confirmed with data from Indonesia and Mexico.


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