scholarly journals The ABC of simulation estimation with auxiliary statistics

2018 ◽  
Vol 205 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-139 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Jacques Forneron ◽  
Serena Ng
Author(s):  
Aaron M Berger ◽  
Jonathan J Deroba ◽  
Katelyn M Bosley ◽  
Daniel R Goethel ◽  
Brian J Langseth ◽  
...  

Abstract Fisheries policy inherently relies on an explicit definition of management boundaries that delineate the spatial extent over which stocks are assessed and regulations are implemented. However, management boundaries tend to be static and determined by politically negotiated or historically identified population (or multi-species) units, which create a potential disconnect with underlying, dynamic population structure. The consequences of incoherent management and population or stock boundaries were explored through the application of a two-area spatial simulation–estimation framework. Results highlight the importance of aligning management assessment areas with underlying population structure and processes, especially when fishing mortality is disproportionate to vulnerable biomass among management areas, demographic parameters (growth and maturity) are not homogenous within management areas, and connectivity (via recruitment or movement) unknowingly exists among management areas. Bias and risk were greater for assessments that incorrectly span multiple population segments (PSs) compared to assessments that cover a subset of a PS, and these results were exacerbated when there was connectivity between PSs. Directed studies and due consideration of critical PSs, spatially explicit models, and dynamic management options that help align management and population boundaries would likely reduce estimation biases and management risk, as would closely coordinated management that functions across population boundaries.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 5684
Author(s):  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Lingzhi Xie ◽  
Hao Tian ◽  
Mo Chen ◽  
...  

PV windows can potentially produce electricity, reduce the air-conditioning load, and provide natural light. Cross-seasonal experimental tests for long period could eliminate the gap between real outdoor test and simulation estimation. In this research, the lighting-thermal-electricity performance of high-efficiency c-silicon PV windows was tested, and the improvement has been put forward according to the conditions. The long-term experiment was conducted cross different seasons, including summer, autumn, and winter seasons. The highest average power generation, 50W/m2, could be found in autumn. The average outside surface temperature of the PV window would reach 48 °C in sunny days in the autumn, which was higher than other seasons. Although the c-Si PV window maybe block the partial daylighting, the daylighting requirement still could be satisfied with the most days. Furthermore, the average Useful Daylight Illuminance was the highest in summer up to 0.79, and the average illumination uniform could be achieved at a high level in all seasons. For the improvement suggestions, some measures could be taken to reduce the indoor cooling load in summer. During winter, appropriate inner shading measures might be taken to prevent excessive illumination in the building, and allow the electricity and thermal performance of PV window.


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