Abstract. Decision making on water resources management at ungauged, especially
large-scale watersheds relies on hydrological modeling. Physically based
distributed hydrological models require complicated setup, calibration, and
validation processes, which may delay their acceptance among decision makers.
This study presents an approach to develop a simple decision support
tool (DST) for decision makers and economists to evaluate multiyear impacts
of land use change and best management practices (BMPs) on water quantity and quality for ungauged
watersheds. The example DST developed in the present study was based on
statistical equations derived from Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
simulations and applied to a small experimental watershed in northwest New
Brunswick. The DST was subsequently tested against field measurements and
SWAT simulations for a larger watershed. Results from DST could reproduce
both field data and model simulations of annual stream discharge and sediment
and nutrient loadings. The relative error of mean annual discharge and
sediment, nitrate–nitrogen, and soluble-phosphorus loadings were −6, −52,
27, and −16 %, respectively, for long-term simulation. Compared with
SWAT, DST has fewer input requirements and can be applied to multiple
watersheds without additional calibration. Also, scenario analyses with DST
can be directly conducted for different combinations of land use and BMPs
without complex model setup procedures. The approach in developing DST can be
applied to other regions of the world because of its flexible structure.