scholarly journals The importance of the exchange rate regime in limiting current account imbalances in sub-Saharan African countries

2015 ◽  
Vol 53 ◽  
pp. 36-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Blaise Gnimassoun
Author(s):  
Diby Francois Kassi ◽  
Gang Sun ◽  
Ding Ning ◽  
Akadje Jean Roland Edjoukou ◽  
Yobouet Thierry Gnangoin

This paper examines the asymmetrical relationship between exchange rate and consumer prices in 40 Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries from 1990q1 to 2017q4. The exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to consumer prices is estimated for each country by using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lags (NARDL) framework and dynamic panel estimators robust to cross-sectionally correlated errors. Firstly, our findings suggest an asymmetrical ERPT in the SSA region during the short-term, whereas there are mixed results across sub-regions in the long-term. Next, we find incomplete and significant ERPT to consumer prices in the entire SSA region which is higher during the depreciation of the local currency than after appreciations. Third, we find nonlinear ERPT with respect to the size of the exchange rate. The pass-through is higher during large exchange rate changes than after small changes.  Finally, we find that the pass-through is greater in the countries with fixed exchange rate regime (CFA franc zone) having low inflationary environment than in the other SSA countries with flexible exchange rate regime and high inflation levels. As a result, policymakers should take into account these asymmetries and non-linearities to improve the credibility of monetary policy, strengthen trade liberalization and establish competitive market structures in the Sub-Saharan region.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugene Kouassi ◽  
Soro Kolotioloman ◽  
James Sharka Juana

Abstract This paper gives an overview of current accounts sustainability in forty African countries over the 1980–2016 period. The paper goes through by testing if this sustainability depends on regional blocs, income levels or exchange rate regimes. For this purpose, the paper employs a formal theoretical framework, recent cointegration techniques like threshold cointegration to test for long-run relationship between variables. Results reveal that although exports and imports plus interest payments on external debt are cointegrated in African economies, the current accounts are weakly sustainable in 45% of African economies and unsustainable in only 8%. Among regional blocs, income level and exchange rate regime groupings, only exchange rate regime groupings have a significant effect on current account sustainability. Since current account is strong sustainable in countries operating flexible and intermediate exchange rate regimes than countries operating fixed regimes.JEL Codes: F32, C23, C22


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abayomi Toyin Onanuga ◽  
Sheriffdeen Adewale Tella

Abstract Household consumption expenditure in Africa to the world aggregate is comparatively little, considering the population of the region. But empirical credence that elucidates estimated elasticities of the exchange rate, lending rate, and consumption relations remains dimply discerned in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) amidst a high population growth rate. Therefore, this paper present new insights into the causative structure of the cost of consumer credit and exchange rate management as leverage for mass consumption in Africa. We rely on the mean group estimator to analyse the panel data with a sample of 37 African countries in 2008 through 2017. We found that lending and exchange rate induces positive changes in household consumption in SSA. Efficient management of the cost of consumer credit and stability of the exchange rate may significantly improve consumption in the region. Policy implications were discussed.JEl Classification: E21; E43; F31; C21; C23


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