Technological forecasting plays a key role in mitigating the pandemic

Abstract This paper presents the implementation of a modified Genetic Programming (GP) method in forecasting fixed broadband telecommunications penetration percentage in Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. The specific GP method combines the use of known diffusion models for technological forecasting purposes, such as Logistic, Gompertz and Bass and the GP. The combination method produces both time dependant and causal models with high performance statistical indicators. Also, multiple approaches to forecasting can be implemented, mainly with no big datasets.

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PROBLEMS OF FORECASTING INDICATORS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE EDUCATIONAL PROCESS IN THE REGION

EKONOMIKA I UPRAVLENIE: PROBLEMY, RESHENIYA ◽

10.36871/ek.up.p.r.2021.02.01.021 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 1 (2) ◽

pp. 174-182

Author(s):

A. D. BURYKIN ◽

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V. Ya. SERBA ◽

R. A. GASYMOV ◽

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...

Keyword(s):

Local Governments ◽

Educational Process ◽

Innovative Development ◽

Education Development ◽

Basic Principles ◽

Technological Forecasting ◽

Forecasting Methods ◽

Educational Processes ◽

Methodological Aspects

The article deals with the theoretical and methodological aspects of the development of methods for assessing the effectiveness of the educational process in the region. Indicators of the development of educational processes are analyzed from the perspective of long-term scientific and technical forecasting. Based on the analysis of the strategic documents, the problems existing in this area of strategic planning and the factors that hinder the innovative development of the education system in the region are identified. The basic principles and approaches to scientific and technological forecasting are defined. The main groups of scientific forecasts and the main directions of education development in Russia are identified. The considered forecasting methods are recommended for use in the work of state authorities and local governments, depending on the complexity of the implementation and the adequacy of the method, the requirements for the information base of the project.

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Mapping Innovation Diplomacy in Denmark and Sweden

The Hague Journal of Diplomacy ◽

10.1163/1871191x-bja10078 ◽

2021 ◽

pp. 1-32

Author(s):

Didzis Kļaviņš

Keyword(s):

Systems Approach ◽

Innovation Systems ◽

Foreign Affairs ◽

Structured Interviews ◽

New Approach ◽

Technological Forecasting ◽

Innovation Diplomacy ◽

Innovation Approach ◽

The Empirical Analysis

Summary The aim of this article is to identify and map innovation diplomacy actions in Denmark and Sweden using the ‘functions of innovation systems’ approach. Based on Hekkert et al.’s seven key system functions (Marko P. Hekkert, Roald A. A. Suurs, Simona O. Negro, Stefan Kuhlmann and Ruud E. H. M. Smits, ‘Functions of Innovation Systems: A New Approach for Analysing Technological Change’, Technological Forecasting & Social Change 74 (4) (2007), 413-432), the article assess the role of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) in meeting governments’ innovation targets. The empirical analysis, including twelve semi-structured interviews with seventeen career diplomats, reveals the key initiatives that countries are taking in furthering their homeland’s innovation aims or ambitions. The study also asks whether the ‘diplomacy for innovation’ approach of both Scandinavian MFAs are consistent with the ‘whole-of-government’ and ‘whole-of-society’ approaches.

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