scholarly journals Strain-Based Reliability Analysis of Dented Pipelines Using a Response Surface Method

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed K. Abdelmoety ◽  
Muntaseer Kainat ◽  
Nader Yoosef-Ghodsi ◽  
Yong Li ◽  
Samer Adeeb
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Surface Method

scholarly journals Creep-Based Reliability Evaluation of Turbine Blade-Tip Clearance with Novel Neural Network Regression

Materials ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 3552 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun-Yi Zhang ◽  
Jing-Shan Wei ◽  
Ze Wang ◽  
Zhe-Shan Yuan ◽  
Cheng-Wei Fei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
High Pressure ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Tip Clearance ◽  
Strong Nonlinearity ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Blade Tip ◽  
Blade Tip Clearance

To reveal the effect of high-temperature creep on the blade-tip radial running clearance of aeroengine high-pressure turbines, a distributed collaborative generalized regression extremum neural network is proposed by absorbing the heuristic thoughts of distributed collaborative response surface method and the generalized extremum neural network, in order to improve the reliability analysis of blade-tip clearance with creep behavior in terms of modeling precision and simulation efficiency. In this method, the generalized extremum neural network was used to handle the transients by simplifying the response process as one extremum and to address the strong nonlinearity by means of its nonlinear mapping ability. The distributed collaborative response surface method was applied to handle multi-object multi-discipline analysis, by decomposing one “big” model with hyperparameters and high nonlinearity into a series of “small” sub-models with few parameters and low nonlinearity. Based on the developed method, the blade-tip clearance reliability analysis of an aeroengine high-pressure turbine was performed subject to the creep behaviors of structural materials, by considering the randomness of influencing parameters such as gas temperature, rotational speed, material parameters, convective heat transfer coefficient, and so forth. It was found that the reliability degree of the clearance is 0.9909 when the allowable value is 2.2 mm, and the creep deformation of the clearance presents a normal distribution with a mean of 1.9829 mm and a standard deviation of 0.07539 mm. Based on a comparison of the methods, it is demonstrated that the proposed method requires a computing time of 1.201 s and has a computational accuracy of 99.929% over 104 simulations, which are improvements of 70.5% and 1.23%, respectively, relative to the distributed collaborative response surface method. Meanwhile, the high efficiency and high precision of the presented approach become more obvious with the increasing simulations. The efforts of this study provide a promising approach to improve the dynamic reliability analysis of complex structures.

scholarly journals Reliability-Based Topology Optimization Using Stochastic Response Surface Method with Sparse Grid Design

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinghai Zhao ◽  
Xiaokai Chen ◽  
Zheng-Dong Ma ◽  
Yi Lin
Keyword(s):  
Topology Optimization ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Computational Efficiency ◽  
Sparse Grid ◽  
Stochastic Response ◽  
Stochastic Response Surface Method ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Grid Design

A mathematical framework is developed which integrates the reliability concept into topology optimization to solve reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) problems under uncertainty. Two typical methodologies have been presented and implemented, including the performance measure approach (PMA) and the sequential optimization and reliability assessment (SORA). To enhance the computational efficiency of reliability analysis, stochastic response surface method (SRSM) is applied to approximate the true limit state function with respect to the normalized random variables, combined with the reasonable design of experiments generated by sparse grid design, which was proven to be an effective and special discretization technique. The uncertainties such as material property and external loads are considered on three numerical examples: a cantilever beam, a loaded knee structure, and a heat conduction problem. Monte-Carlo simulations are also performed to verify the accuracy of the failure probabilities computed by the proposed approach. Based on the results, it is demonstrated that application of SRSM with SGD can produce an efficient reliability analysis in RBTO which enables a more reliable design than that obtained by DTO. It is also found that, under identical accuracy, SORA is superior to PMA in view of computational efficiency.

Response surface method strategies coupled with NLFEA for structural reliability analysis of prestressed bridges

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia J. Sarmiento Nova ◽  
Jaime Gonzalez-Libreros ◽  
Gabriel Sas ◽  
Rafael A. Sanabria Díaz ◽  
Maria C. A. Texeira da Silva ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Material Behavior ◽  
Nonlinear Material ◽  
State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Highly Nonlinear

<p>The Response Surface Method (RSM) has become an essential tool to solve structural reliability problems due to its accuracy, efficacy, and facility for coupling with Nonlinear Finite Element Analysis (NLFEA). In this paper, some strategies to improve the RSM efficacy without compromising its accuracy are tested. Initially, each strategy is implemented to assess the safety level of a highly nonlinear explicit limit state function. The strategy with the best results is then identified and used to carry out a reliability analysis of a prestressed concrete bridge, considering the nonlinear material behavior through NLFEA simulation. The calculated value of &#120573; is compared with the target value established in Eurocode for ULS. The results showed how RSM can be a practical methodology and how the improvements presented can reduce the computational cost of a traditional RSM giving a good alternative to simulation methods such as Monte Carlo.</p>

Seismic reliability analysis of reinforced concrete bridge pier using efficient response surface method–based simulation

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 2326-2339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shyamal Ghosh ◽  
Swarup Ghosh ◽  
Subrata Chakraborty
Keyword(s):  
Least Squares ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Time History ◽  
Bridge Pier ◽  
Direct Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Seismic Reliability ◽  
Surface Method

Seismic reliability analysis of bridge structures during and succeeding an earthquake event is of significant importance. The more accurate and robust approach of seismic reliability analysis is based on direct Monte Carlo simulation technique. But it is computationally challenging due to the requirement of large number of nonlinear time history analyses. The response surface method–based metamodeling approach is a viable alternative in such situation. This study explores the advantage of moving least squares method–based adaptive response surface method compared to the usually applied least squares method–based response surface method for improved seismic reliability analysis of multi-span bridge pier. The nonlinear time history analyses of the bridge pier are performed in the OpenSees with fibre sections considering a ground motion bin corresponding to the specified hazard level of the bridge site. The seismic reliability analysis results obtained by the usual least squares method and the proposed moving least squares method–based response surface method are compared with that of obtained by more accurate direct Monte Carlo simulation technique to elucidate the effectiveness of the proposed approach.

scholarly journals Gaussian Process-Based Response Surface Method for Slope Reliability Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Hu ◽  
Guo-shao Su ◽  
Jianqing Jiang ◽  
Yilong Xiao
Keyword(s):  
Gaussian Process ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Gp Model

A new response surface method (RSM) for slope reliability analysis was proposed based on Gaussian process (GP) machine learning technology. The method involves the approximation of limit state function by the trained GP model and estimation of failure probability using the first-order reliability method (FORM). A small amount of training samples were firstly built by the limited equilibrium method for training the GP model. Then, the implicit limit state function of slope was approximated by the trained GP model. Thus, the implicit limit state function and its derivatives for slope stability analysis were approximated by the GP model with the explicit formulation. Furthermore, an iterative algorithm was presented to improve the precision of approximation of the limit state function at the region near the design point which contributes significantly to the failure probability. Results of four case studies including one nonslope and three slope problems indicate that the proposed method is more efficient to achieve reasonable accuracy for slope reliability analysis than the traditional RSM.

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