A model for online failure prognosis subject to two failure modes based on belief rule base and semi-quantitative information

2014 ◽  
Vol 70 ◽  
pp. 221-230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-Jie Zhou ◽  
Chang-Hua Hu ◽  
Xiao-Xia Han ◽  
Hua-Feng He ◽  
Xiao-Dong Ling ◽  
...  
2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bangcheng Zhang ◽  
Xiaojing Yin ◽  
Zhanli Wang ◽  
Xiaoxia Han ◽  
Zhi Gao

Fault prediction is an effective and important approach to improve the reliability and reduce the risk of accidents for complex electromechanical systems. In order to use the quantitative information and qualitative knowledge efficiently to predict the fault, a new model is proposed on the basis of belief rule base (BRB). Moreover, an evidential reasoning (ER) based optimal algorithm is developed to train the fault prediction model. The screw failure in computer numerical control (CNC) milling machine servo system is taken as an example and the fault prediction results show that the proposed method can predict the behavior of the system accurately with combining qualitative knowledge and some quantitative information.


2012 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 6140-6149 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-Jie Zhou ◽  
Chang-Hua Hu ◽  
Wen-Bin Wang ◽  
Bang-Cheng Zhang ◽  
Dong-Ling Xu ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 419-436 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhe Wang ◽  
Peili Qiao ◽  
Zhiyong Luo ◽  
Guanglu Sun ◽  
Guangze Wang

This paper establishes a novel reliability assessment method for industrial control system (ICS). Firstly, the qualitative and quantitative information were integrated by evidential reasoning(ER) rule. Then, an ICS reliability assessment model was constructed based on belief rule base (BRB). In this way, both expert experience and historical data were fully utilized in the assessment. The model consists of two parts, a fault assessment model and a security assessment model. In addition, the initial parameters were optimized by covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES) algorithm, making the proposed model in line with the actual situation. Finally, the proposed model was compared with two other popular prediction methods through case study. The results show that the proposed method is reliable, efficient and accurate, laying a solid basis for reliability assessment of complex ICSs.


2010 ◽  
Vol 207 (1) ◽  
pp. 269-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhi-Jie Zhou ◽  
Chang-Hua Hu ◽  
Dong-Ling Xu ◽  
Mao-Yin Chen ◽  
Dong-Hua Zhou

Author(s):  
Nune Ravi Sankar ◽  
Bantwal S. Prabhu

Abstract A methodology combining the benefits of matrix FMEA and fuzzy logic is presented in this paper. The matrix approach is improved to develop a pictorial representation retaining all relevant qualitative and quantitative information of a several FMEA element relationships, which can be described as many-to-many. For example, one failure mode may result in several effects, and one effect may result from several failure modes. The methodology presented also extends the risk prioritization beyond the conventional Risk Priority Number (RPN) method. Fuzzy logic is used for prioritizing failures for corrective actions in FMEA. In RPN method, the criticality assessment is based on the severity, frequency of occurrence and detectability of failure. However, these parameters are here represented as members of a fuzzy set, combined by matching them against rules in a rule base, evaluated with min-max inferencing, and then defuzzified to assess the riskness of the failure. The fundamental problem with RPN technique is that it attempts to quantify risk without adequately quantifying the factors that contribute to risk. In particular cases, RPNs can be misleading. This deficiency can be eliminated by introducing the new technique to calculate criticality rank based on fuzzy logic. The methodology presented is demonstrated by application to an illustrative example.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Bin Xu ◽  
Zheng Liu ◽  
Yu-Wang Chen ◽  
Dong-Ling Xu ◽  
Cheng-Lin Wen

A belief rule-based (BRB) system provides a generic nonlinear modeling and inference mechanism. It is capable of modeling complex causal relationships by utilizing both quantitative information and qualitative knowledge. In this paper, a BRB system is firstly developed to model the highly nonlinear relationship between circuit component parameters and the performance of the circuit by utilizing available knowledge from circuit simulations and circuit designers. By using rule inference in the BRB system and clustering analysis, the acceptability regions of the component parameters can be separated from the value domains of the component parameters. Using the established nonlinear relationship represented by the BRB system, an optimization method is then proposed to seek the optimal feasibility region in the acceptability regions so that the volume of the tolerance region of the component parameters can be maximized. The effectiveness of the proposed methodology is demonstrated through two typical numerical examples of the nonlinear performance functions with nonconvex and disconnected acceptability regions and high-dimensional input parameters and a real-world application in the parameter design of a track circuit for Chinese high-speed railway.


IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Bincheng Wen ◽  
Mingqing Xiao ◽  
Guanghao Wang ◽  
Zhao Yang ◽  
Jianfeng Li ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
pp. 113558
Author(s):  
You Cao ◽  
Zhijie Zhou ◽  
Changhua Hu ◽  
Shuaiwen Tang ◽  
Jie Wang

2021 ◽  
Vol 64 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhijie Zhou ◽  
You Cao ◽  
Guanyu Hu ◽  
Youmin Zhang ◽  
Shuaiwen Tang ◽  
...  

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