The spatial Probit model—An application to the study of banking crises at the end of the 1990’s

2014 ◽  
Vol 415 ◽  
pp. 251-260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Amaral ◽  
Margarida Abreu ◽  
Victor Mendes
2013 ◽  
Vol 45 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-63 ◽  
Author(s):  
John B. Loomis ◽  
Julie M. Mueller

We present a demonstration of a Bayesian spatial probit model for a dichotomous choice contingent valuation method willingness-to-pay (WTP) questions. If voting behavior is spatially correlated, spatial interdependence exists within the data, and standard probit models will result in biased and inconsistent estimated nonbid coefficients. Adjusting sample WTP to population WTP requires unbiased estimates of the nonbid coefficients, and we find a $17 difference in population WTP per household in a standard vs. spatial model. We conclude that failure to correctly model spatial dependence can lead to differences in WTP estimates with potentially important policy ramifications.


2007 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 252-260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria De Iorio ◽  
Claudio J. Verzilli

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0261737
Author(s):  
Jong Wook Lee ◽  
So Young Sohn

Potential relationship among loan applicants can provide valuable information for evaluating default risk. However, most of the existing credit scoring models either ignore this relationship or consider a simple connection information. This study assesses the applicants’ relation in terms of their distance estimated based on their characteristics. This information is then utilized in a proposed spatial probit model to reflect the different degree of borrowers’ relation on the default prediction of loan applicant. We apply this method to peer-to-peer Lending Club Loan data. Empirical results show that the consideration of information on the spatial autocorrelation among loan applicants can provide high predictive power for defaults.


2009 ◽  
pp. 4-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Gref ◽  
K. Yudaeva

Problems in the financial sector were at the core of the current economic crisis. Therefore, economic recovery will only become sustainable after taking care of the major weaknesses in the financial sector. This conclusion is relevant both for the US and UK - the two countries where crisis has started, and for other economies which financial institutions turned out to be fragile in the face of the swings in the risk appetite. Russia is one of the countries where the crisis has revealed serious deficiency in the financial sector. Our study of 11 banking crises during the last 25-30 years shows that sustainable economic recovery and decrease in the dependence on commodity prices will be virtually impossible without cleaning of balance sheets and capitalization of the financial sector.


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