Revisiting the relationship between oil prices, exchange rate, and stock prices: An application of quantile ARDL model

2022 ◽  
Vol 75 ◽  
pp. 102543
Author(s):  
Shabir Mohsin Hashmi ◽  
Bisharat Hussain Chang ◽  
Liangfang Huang ◽  
Emmanuel Uche
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilda Novita Sari ◽  
Ariusni Ariusni

Abstract: The purpose of this research is to be able to determine the effect of world oil prices on economic growth in Indonesia by applying the exchange rate moderating variable and the BI rate as a connecting variable. Descriptive and associative research is a type of research that is used with data collection techniques through a trusted official agency website that is classified in the quarterly time series secondary data. The data year in this study was from 2006 to 2018. Data analysis was carried out through descriptive and inductive analysis with a Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) data analysis tool accompanied by a classic assumption test and a t test. Estimation results show that there are two research results; firstly, that the exchange rate has an effect on moderating the relationship between world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia, secondly, that the BI rate has no influence connecting world oil prices and economic growth in Indonesia. Keywords: World oil prices, economic growth, exchange rates, BI rate, Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA).


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-129
Author(s):  
Desi Ratjaya Ningsih ◽  
Nur Aida Arifah Tara ◽  
Muhdin Muhdin

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) is a description of information regarding the movements of all stock prices that affect capital market conditions and produce a trend. There are three factors that mainly influence the IHSG, namely inflation, BI interest rates, and the rupiah exchange rate. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between inflation, BI interest rates, rupiah exchange rate and the IHSG in the period of 2016-2020. The method in this research used quantitative methods. The results showed that inflation and BI interest rates have a negative and insignificant effect on the IHSG, while the Rupiah exchange rate has a significant negative effect on the IHSG.Keywords :IHSG, Inflasi, Suku Bunga BI, Nilai Tukar Rupiah


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 ◽  
pp. 266-275 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nancy Areli Bermudez Delgado ◽  
Estefanía Bermudez Delgado ◽  
Eduardo Saucedo

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 165-170
Author(s):  
Melike Kurtaran Celik ◽  
Zekiye Aktas ◽  
Ahmet Kurtaran ◽  
Ayten Turan Kurtaran

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. 193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tran Mong Uyen Ngan

The relationship between foreign exchange rate and stock price is one popular topic that is interested by not only board managers of banks but also stock investors. By using data about foreign exchange rate between Vietnam Dong (VND) and United State Dollar (USD), stock prices data of nine commercial joint stock banks in Vietnam from the first day of 2013 to the last day of 2015, this paper try to answer the question “Does foreign exchange rate impact on stock price and vice verse?”. Applying Dickey Fuller test and Var Granger Causality test for the time series data, the results show that there is an impact of foreign exchange rate on stock price. Although the fluctuation in foreign exchange rate VND/USD causes the change in stock prices of commercial joint stock banks in Vietnam, however, the vector of this impact is not clearly. On the opposite way, the change in stock price does not cause the change in foreign exchange rate, this relation is one-way relation.


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