Reliability based design optimization with approximate failure probability function in partitioned design space

2017 ◽  
Vol 167 ◽  
pp. 602-611 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang-Sheng Liu ◽  
Sai Hung Cheung
2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Jiang ◽  
Haobo Qiu ◽  
Xiaoke Li ◽  
Zhenzhong Chen ◽  
Liang Gao ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Hao Pan ◽  
Zhimin Xi ◽  
Ren-Jye Yang

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) has been widely used to design engineering products with minimum cost function while meeting defined reliability constraints. Although uncertainties, such as aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty, have been well considered in RBDO, they are mainly considered for model input parameters. Model uncertainty, i.e., the uncertainty of model bias which indicates the inherent model inadequacy for representing the real physical system, is typically overlooked in RBDO. This paper addresses model uncertainty characterization in a defined product design space and further integrates the model uncertainty into RBDO. In particular, a copula-based bias correction approach is proposed and results are demonstrated by two vehicle design case studies.


2009 ◽  
Vol 132 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tam H. Nguyen ◽  
Junho Song ◽  
Glaucio H. Paulino

This paper proposes a single-loop system reliability-based design optimization (SRBDO) approach using the recently developed matrix-based system reliability (MSR) method. A single-loop method was employed to eliminate the inner-loop of SRBDO that evaluates probabilistic constraints. The MSR method enables us to compute the system failure probability and its parameter sensitivities efficiently and accurately through convenient matrix calculations. The SRBDO/MSR approach proposed in this paper is applicable to general systems including series, parallel, cut-set, and link-set system events. After a brief overview on SRBDO algorithms and the MSR method, the SRBDO/MSR approach is introduced and demonstrated by three numerical examples. The first example deals with the optimal design of a combustion engine, in which the failure is described as a series system event. In the second example, the cross-sectional areas of the members of a statically indeterminate truss structure are determined for minimum total weight with a constraint on the probability of collapse. In the third example, the redistribution of the loads caused by member failures is considered for the truss system in the second example. The results based on different optimization approaches are compared for further investigation. Monte Carlo simulation is performed in each example to confirm the accuracy of the system failure probability computed by the MSR method.


2019 ◽  
Vol 141 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangjune Bae ◽  
Nam H. Kim ◽  
Seung-gyo Jang

This paper presents a tradeoff between shifting design and controlling sampling uncertainty in system reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) using the Bayesian network. The sampling uncertainty is caused by a finite number of samples used in calculating the reliability of a component, and it propagates to the system reliability. A conservative failure probability is utilized to consider sampling uncertainty. In this paper, the sensitivity of a conservative system failure probability is derived with respect to the design change and the number of samples in a component using Bayesian network along with global sensitivity analysis (GSA). In the sensitivity analysis, GSA is used for local sensitivity calculation. The numerical results show that sampling uncertainty can significantly affect the conservative system reliability and needs to be controlled to achieve the desired level of system reliability. Numerical examples show that both shifting design and reducing sampling uncertainty are crucial in the system RBDO.


Author(s):  
Po Ting Lin ◽  
Shu-Ping Lin

Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) algorithms have been developed to solve design optimization problems with existence of uncertainties. Traditionally, the original random design space is transformed to the standard normal design space, where the reliability index can be measured in a standardized unit. In the standard normal design space, the Modified Reliability Index Approach (MRIA) measured the minimum distance from the design point to the failure region to represent the reliability index; on the other hand, the Performance Measure Approach (PMA) performed inverse reliability analysis to evaluate the target function performance in a distance of reliability index away from the design point. MRIA was able to provide stable and accurate reliability analysis while PMA showed greater efficiency and was widely used in various engineering applications. However, the existing methods cannot properly perform reliability analysis in the standard normal design space if the transformation to the standard normal space does not exist or is difficult to determine. To this end, a new algorithm, Ensemble of Gaussian Reliability Analyses (EoGRA), was developed to estimate the failure probability using Gaussian-based Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) in the original design space. The probabilistic constraints were formulated based on each kernel reliability analysis for the optimization processes. This paper proposed an efficient way to estimate the constraint gradient and linearly approximate the probabilistic constraints with fewer function evaluations. Some numerical examples with various random distributions are studied to investigate the numerical performances of the proposed method. The results showed EoGRA is capable of finding correct solutions in some problems that cannot be solved by traditional methods.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document