Monitoring the rapid changes in mangrove vegetation of coastal urban environment using polynomial trend analysis of temporal satellite data

2021 ◽  
pp. 101871
Author(s):  
Anand S. Sahadevan ◽  
Christeena Joseph ◽  
Girish Gopinath ◽  
Ratheesh Ramakrishnan ◽  
Praveen Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Urban Environment ◽  
Trend Analysis ◽  
Satellite Data ◽  
Polynomial Trend ◽  
Rapid Changes ◽  
Mangrove Vegetation

scholarly journals Peramalan Jumlah Populasi Sapi Potong di Kalimantan Selatan Menggunakan Metode Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing dan Trend Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 41
Author(s):  
Jaka Darma Jaya
Keyword(s):  
Trend Analysis ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Exponential Smoothing ◽  
Mean Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Absolute Percentage Error ◽  
Polynomial Trend ◽  
Squared Error

Perkembangan produksi daging sapi di Indonesia selama 30 tahun terakhir secara umum cenderung meningkat. Kebutuhan daging sapi di Indonesia masih belum bisa dicukupi oleh supply domestik, sehingga diperlukan impor daging sapi dari luar negeri.  Diperlukan kajian tentang proyeksi ketersediaan populasi sapi potong di masa mendatang agar diambil kebijakan yang tepat dalam menjaga stabilitas dan keterpenuhan supply daging nasional.  Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melakukan peramalan jumlah populasi sapi potong menggunakan 3 (tiga) metode peramalan yaitu metode moving average, exponential smoothing dan trend analysis.  Hasil peramalan ini selanjutnya diukur akurasinya menggunakan MAD (Mean Absolud Deviation), MSE (Mean Squared Error) dan MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error).  Proyeksi populasi sapi potong pada tahun 2019 (periode berikutnya) menggunakan 3 metode peramalan adalah: 195.100 (moving average); 218.225 (exponential smooting) dan 262.899 (trend analysis). Pengukuran akurasi menggunakan MAD, MSE dan MAPE menunjukkan bahwa metode peramalan jumlah populasi sapi potong yang paling akurat adalah peramalan menggunakan metode polynomial trend analysis (MAD 14.716,12;  MSE 327.282.084,17; dan MAPE 0,09) karena memiliki tingkat kesalahan yang lebih kecil dibandingkan hasil peramalan menggunakan metode moving average dan exponential smoothing.

scholarly journals The application of Landsat imageries and mangrove vegetation index for monitoring mangrove community in Segara Anakan Lagoon, Cilacap, Central Java

2021 ◽  
Vol 944 (1) ◽  
pp. 012039
Author(s):  
B Prayudha ◽  
V Siregar ◽  
Y I Ulumuddin ◽  
Suyadi ◽  
L B Prasetyo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Satellite Data ◽  
Vegetation Index ◽  
Life Form ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Google Earth ◽  
Landsat Images ◽  
Mangrove Tree ◽  
Mangrove Vegetation ◽  
Multi Temporal ◽  
Segara Anakan Lagoon

Abstract The only place for estuarine-mangroves in Java Island, Segara Anakan Lagoon, experiences the vast decline of mangrove cover. Satellite remote sensing has a critical role in monitoring that change as it allows to record vast areas over time. However, most studies tend to utilize satellite data to investigate the change of mangrove areas into other land-use types rather than identify the mangrove community’s shifting. This study utilized the mangrove vegetation index (MVI) for monitoring the changes of mangrove communities at the life-form level using satellite data. The study used multi-temporal Landsat images as it has historical systematic archive data. The threshold value of the index for each class is defined by referring to the field data. The class referred to the life-form classification consisting of mangrove trees, Nypa, and understorey. The image analysis was conducted using Google Earth Engine (GEE), while R software was used for determining threshold values through statistical analysis. The result shows that the MVI can differentiate between some life forms of mangroves, with the overall accuracy reaching 78.79% and a kappa coefficient of 0.729. Further, the multi-temporal maps showed the decline of mangrove tree areas, which the understorey and Nypa community have replaced.

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