scholarly journals PMD3 OUTCOMES OF AN INTERVENTION TO IMPROVE HOSPITAL ANTIBIOTIC PRESCRIBING: INTERRUPTED TIME SERIES ANALYSIS WITH SEGMENTED REGRESSION

2003 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 792
Author(s):  
F Ansari ◽  
K Gray ◽  
D Nathwani ◽  
G Phillips ◽  
S Ogston ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Segmented Regression ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Improve Hospital

scholarly journals Successful improvement of antibiotic prescribing at Primary Care in Andalusia following the implementation of an antimicrobial guide through multifaceted interventions: An interrupted time-series analysis

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (5) ◽  
pp. e0233062
Author(s):  
Rocío Fernández-Urrusuno ◽  
Carmen Marina Meseguer Barros ◽  
Regina Sandra Benavente Cantalejo ◽  
Elena Hevia ◽  
Carmen Serrano Martino ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Multifaceted Interventions

scholarly journals Ramadan is not associated with increased infection risk in Pakistani and Bangladeshi populations: Findings from controlled interrupted time series analysis of UK primary care data

PLoS ONE ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. e0262530
Author(s):  
Munerah Almulhem ◽  
Rasiah Thayakaran ◽  
Shahjehan Hanif ◽  
Tiffany Gooden ◽  
Neil Thomas ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Prescribing Patterns ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Prescription Data ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Electronic Health Record Data ◽  
Series Analysis

Background The effect of fasting on immunity is unclear. Prolonged fasting is thought to increase the risk of infection due to dehydration. This study describes antibiotic prescribing patterns before, during, and after Ramadan in a primary care setting within the Pakistani and Bangladeshi populations in the UK, most of whom are Muslims, compared to those who do not observe Ramadan. Method Retrospective controlled interrupted time series analysis of electronic health record data from primary care practices. The study consists of two groups: Pakistanis/Bangladeshis and white populations. For each group, we constructed a series of aggregated, daily prescription data from 2007 to 2017 for the 30 days preceding, during, and after Ramadan, respectively. Findings Controlling for the rate in the white population, there was no evidence of increased antibiotic prescription in the Pakistani/Bangladeshi population during Ramadan, as compared to before Ramadan (IRR: 0.994; 95% CI: 0.988–1.001, p = 0.082) or after Ramadan (IRR: 1.006; 95% CI: 0.999–1.013, p = 0.082). Interpretation In this large, population-based study, we did not find any evidence to suggest that fasting was associated with an increased susceptibility to infection.

scholarly journals The impact of COVID-19 on outpatient antibiotic prescriptions in Ontario, Canada; An interrupted time series analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taito Kitano ◽  
Kevin A Brown ◽  
Nick Daneman ◽  
Derek R MacFadden ◽  
Bradley J Langford ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Respiratory Infections ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Relative Reduction ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
The Impact

Abstract Background The COVID-19 pandemic has potentially impacted outpatient antibiotic prescribing. Investigating this impact may identify stewardship opportunities in the ongoing COVID-19 period and beyond. Methods We conducted an interrupted time series analysis on outpatient antibiotic prescriptions and antibiotic prescriptions/patient visits in Ontario, Canada between January 2017 and December 2020 to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on population-level antibiotic prescribing by prescriber’s specialty, patient demographics and conditions. Results In the evaluated COVID-19 period (March-December 2020), there was a 31.2% [95% CI: 27.0%–35.1%] relative reduction in total antibiotic prescriptions. Total outpatient antibiotic prescriptions decreased during the COVID-19 period by 37.1% [32.5%–41.3%] among family physicians, 30.7% [25.8%–35.2%] among sub-specialist physicians, 12.1% [4.4%–19.2%] among dentists and 25.7% [21.4%–29.8%] among other prescribers. Antibiotics indicated for respiratory infections decreased by 43.7% [38.4–48.6%]. Total patient visits and visits for respiratory infections decreased by 10.7% [5.4%–15.6%] and 49.9% [43.1%%–55.9%]). Total antibiotic prescriptions/1,000 visits decreased by 27.5% [21.5%–33.0%], while antibiotics indicated for respiratory infections/1,000 visits with respiratory infections only decreased by 6.8% [2.7%–10.8%]. Conclusion The reduction in outpatient antibiotic prescribing during the COVID-19 pandemic was driven by less antibiotic prescribing for respiratory indications and largely explained by decreased visits for respiratory infections.

scholarly journals Antimicrobial stewardship during the COVID-19 epidemic: population-based cohort study and interrupted time series analysis in the United Kingdom

2021 ◽  
pp. BJGP.2020.1051
Author(s):  
Emma Rezel-Potts ◽  
Veline L'Esperance ◽  
Martin Gullifiord
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Antimicrobial Stewardship ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Tract Infections

Background. The COVID-19 pandemic has altered the context for antimicrobial stewardship in primary care. Aim: To assess the effect of the pandemic on antibiotic prescribing, accounting for changes in consultations for respiratory and urinary tract infections (RTIs/UTIs). Design and Setting: Population-based cohort study using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) (January 2017 to September 2020). Method: Interrupted time series analysis evaluated changes in antibiotic prescribing and RTI/UTI consultations adjusting for age, gender, season and secular trends. We assessed the proportion of COVID-19 episodes associated with antibiotic prescribing. Results: There were 253,655 registered patients in 2017 and 232,218 in 2020 with 559,461 antibiotic prescriptions, 216,110 RTI consultations and 36,402 UTI consultations. Compared to pre-pandemic months, March 2020 was associated with higher prescribing (adjusted rate ratio 1.13; 95% confidence interval 1.11 to 1.16). Prescribing fell below predicted rates between April and August 2020, reaching a minimum in May (0.73, 0.71 to 0.75). Pandemic months were associated with lower rates of RTI/UTI consultations, particularly in April for RTIs (0.23; 0.22 to 0.25). There were small reductions in the proportion of RTI consultations with antibiotic prescribed and no reduction for UTIs. Among 25,889 COVID-19 patients, 2,942 (11%) had antibiotics within a COVID-19 episode. Conclusion: Pandemic months were initially associated with increased antibiotic prescribing which then fell below expected levels during the national lockdown. Findings are reassuring that antibiotic stewardship priorities have not been neglected due to COVID-19. Research is required into the effects of reduced RTI/UTI consultations on incidence of serious bacterial infection.

scholarly journals COVID-19 and Antibiotic Prescribing in Pediatric Primary Care

PEDIATRICS ◽  
2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauren Dutcher ◽  
Yun Li ◽  
Giyoung Lee ◽  
Robert Grundmeier ◽  
Keith W. Hamilton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Primary Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
The United States ◽  
Pediatric Primary Care ◽  
Antibiotic Prescribing ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
The Impact

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: With the onset of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, pediatric ambulatory encounter volume and antibiotic prescribing both decreased; however, the durability of these reductions in pediatric primary care in the United States has not been assessed. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and associated public health measures on antibiotic prescribing in 27 pediatric primary care practices. Encounters from January 1, 2018, through June 30, 2021, were included. The primary outcome was monthly antibiotic prescriptions per 1000 patients. Interrupted time series analysis was performed. RESULTS: There were 69 327 total antibiotic prescriptions from April through December in 2019 and 18 935 antibiotic prescriptions during the same months in 2020, a 72.7% reduction. The reduction in prescriptions at visits for respiratory tract infection (RTI) accounted for 87.3% of this decrease. Using interrupted time series analysis, overall antibiotic prescriptions decreased from 31.6 to 6.4 prescriptions per 1000 patients in April 2020 (difference of −25.2 prescriptions per 1000 patients; 95% CI: −32.9 to −17.5). This was followed by a nonsignificant monthly increase in antibiotic prescriptions, with prescribing beginning to rebound from April to June 2021. Encounter volume also immediately decreased, and while overall encounter volume quickly started to recover, RTI encounter volume returned more slowly. CONCLUSIONS: Reductions in antibiotic prescribing in pediatric primary care during the COVID-19 pandemic were sustained, only beginning to rise in 2021, primarily driven by reductions in RTI encounters. Reductions in viral RTI transmission likely played a substantial role in reduced RTI visits and antibiotic prescriptions.

scholarly journals Does admission prevalence change after reconfiguration of inpatient services? An interrupted time series analysis of the impact of reconfiguration in five centres

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanne Martin ◽  
Edwin Amalraj Raja ◽  
Steve Turner
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Emergency Admission ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Emergency Admissions ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Inpatient Services ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Admission Prevalence

Abstract Background Service reconfiguration of inpatient services in a hospital includes complete and partial closure of all emergency inpatient facilities. The “natural experiment” of service reconfiguration may give insight into drivers for emergency admissions to hospital. This study addressed the question does the prevalence of emergency admission to hospital for children change after reconfiguration of inpatient services? Methods There were five service reconfigurations in Scottish hospitals between 2004 and 2018 where emergency admissions to one “reconfigured” hospital were halted (permanently or temporarily) and directed to a second “adjacent” hospital. The number of emergency admissions (standardised to /1000 children in the regional population) per month to the “reconfigured” and “adjacent” hospitals was obtained for five years prior to reconfiguration and up to five years afterwards. An interrupted time series analysis considered the association between reconfiguration and admissions across pairs comprised of “reconfigured” and “adjacent” hospitals, with adjustment for seasonality and an overall rising trend in admissions. Results Of the five episodes of reconfiguration, two were immediate closure, two involved closure only to overnight admissions and one with overnight closure for a period and then closure. In “reconfigured” hospitals there was an average fall of 117 admissions/month [95% CI 78, 156] in the year after reconfiguration compared to the year before, and in “adjacent” hospitals admissions rose by 82/month [32, 131]. Across paired reconfigured and adjacent hospitals, in the months post reconfiguration, the overall number of admissions to one hospital pair slowed, in another pair admissions accelerated, and admission prevalence was unchanged in three pairs. After reconfiguration in one hospital, there was a rise in admissions to a third hospital which was closer than the named “adjacent” hospital. Conclusions There are diverse outcomes for the number of emergency admissions post reconfiguration of inpatient facilities. Factors including resources placed in the community after local reconfiguration, distance to the “adjacent” hospital and local deprivation may be important drivers for admission pathways after reconfiguration. Policy makers considering reconfiguration might consider a number of factors which may be important determinants of admissions post reconfiguration.

Recession and risk of suicide in Denmark during the 2009 global financial crisis: an ecological register-based study

2021 ◽  
pp. 140349482110132
Author(s):  
Agnieszka Konieczna ◽  
Sarah Grube Jakobsen ◽  
Christina Petrea Larsen ◽  
Erik Christiansen
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Time Series Analysis ◽  
Suicide Rate ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Interrupted Time Series ◽  
Interrupted Time Series Analysis ◽  
Series Analysis ◽  
Prevention Programmes ◽  
The Impact

Aim: The aim of this study is to analyse the potential impact from the financial crisis (onset in 2009) on suicide rates in Denmark. The hypothesis is that the global financial crisis raised unemployment which leads to raising the suicide rate in Denmark and that the impact is most prominent in men. Method: This study used an ecological study design, including register data from 2001 until 2016 on unemployment, suicide, gender and calendar time which was analysed using Poisson regression models and interrupted time series analysis. Results: The correlation between unemployment and suicide rates was positive in the period and statistically significant for all, but at a moderate level. A dichotomised version of time (calendar year) showed a significant reduction in the suicide rate for women (incidence rate ratio 0.87, P=0.002). Interrupted time series analysis showed a significant decreasing trend for the overall suicide rate and for men in the pre-recession period, which in both cases stagnated after the onset of recession in 2009. The difference between the genders’ suicide rate changed significantly at the onset of recession, as the rate for men increased and the rate for women decreased. Discussion: The Danish social welfare model might have prevented social disintegration and suicide among unemployed, and suicide prevention programmes might have prevented deaths among unemployed and mentally ill individuals. Conclusions: We found some indications for gender-specific differences from the impact of the financial crises on the suicide rate. We recommend that men should be specifically targeted for appropriate prevention programmes during periods of economic downturn.

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