scholarly journals Nonlinear mean-field dynamo and prediction of solar activity

2018 ◽  
Vol 84 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Safiullin ◽  
N. Kleeorin ◽  
S. Porshnev ◽  
I. Rogachevskii ◽  
A. Ruzmaikin

We apply a nonlinear mean-field dynamo model which includes a budget equation for the dynamics of Wolf numbers to predict solar activity. This dynamo model takes into account the algebraic and dynamic nonlinearities of the$\unicode[STIX]{x1D6FC}$effect, where the equation for the dynamic nonlinearity is derived from the conservation law for the magnetic helicity. The budget equation for the evolution of the Wolf number is based on a formation mechanism of sunspots related to the negative effective magnetic pressure instability. This instability redistributes the magnetic flux produced by the mean-field dynamo. To predict solar activity on the time scale of one month we use a method based on a combination of the numerical solution of the nonlinear mean-field dynamo equations and the artificial neural network. A comparison of the results of the prediction of the solar activity with the observed Wolf numbers demonstrates a good agreement between the forecast and observations.

2020 ◽  
Vol 495 (1) ◽  
pp. 238-248
Author(s):  
N Kleeorin ◽  
N Safiullin ◽  
K Kuzanyan ◽  
I Rogachevskii ◽  
A Tlatov ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT A theory of the mean tilt of sunspot bipolar regions (the angle between a line connecting the leading and following sunspots and the solar equator) is developed. A mechanism of formation of the mean tilt is related to the effect of the Coriolis force on meso-scale motions of super-granular convection and large-scale meridional circulation. The balance between the Coriolis force and the Lorentz force (the magnetic tension) determines an additional contribution caused by the large-scale magnetic field to the mean tilt of the sunspot bipolar regions at low latitudes. The latitudinal dependence of the solar differential rotation affects the mean tilt, which can explain deviations from Joy’s law for the sunspot bipolar regions at high latitudes. The theoretical results obtained and the results from numerical simulations based on the non-linear mean-field dynamo theory, which takes into account conservation of the total magnetic helicity and the budget equation for the evolution of the Wolf number density, are in agreement with observational data of the mean tilt of sunspot bipolar regions over individual solar cycles 15–24.


Solar Physics ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 254 (2) ◽  
pp. 345-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. G. Usoskin ◽  
D. Sokoloff ◽  
D. Moss

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Yu. Reshetnyak

2019 ◽  
Vol 491 (3) ◽  
pp. 3870-3883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhijit B Bendre ◽  
Kandaswamy Subramanian ◽  
Detlef Elstner ◽  
Oliver Gressel

ABSTRACT Coherent magnetic fields in disc galaxies are thought to be generated by a large-scale (or mean-field) dynamo operating in their interstellar medium. A key driver of mean magnetic field growth is the turbulent electromotive force (EMF), which represents the influence of correlated small-scale (or fluctuating) velocity and magnetic fields on the mean field. The EMF is usually expressed as a linear expansion in the mean magnetic field and its derivatives, with the dynamo tensors as expansion coefficients. Here, we adopt the singular value decomposition (SVD) method to directly measure these turbulent transport coefficients in a simulation of the turbulent interstellar medium that realizes a large-scale dynamo. Specifically, the SVD is used to least-square fit the time series data of the EMF with that of the mean field and its derivatives, to determine these coefficients. We demonstrate that the spatial profiles of the EMF reconstructed from the SVD coefficients match well with that taken directly from the simulation. Also, as a direct test, we use the coefficients to simulate a 1D mean-field dynamo model and find an overall similarity in the evolution of the mean magnetic field between the dynamo model and the direct simulation. We also compare the results with those which arise using simple regression and the ones obtained previously using the test-field method, to find reasonable qualitative agreement. Overall, the SVD method provides an effective post-processing tool to determine turbulent transport coefficients from simulations.


1990 ◽  
Vol 140 ◽  
pp. 113-114
Author(s):  
G. Rüdiger

Besides the mean flow the alpha is the other input quantity for any mean-field dynamo model. It describes the generation of turbulent electromotive force <u × B> from a large-scale field <B> for a given turbulence. The necessary helicity of the turbulence results from the joint action of Coriolis force and density stratification. The standard estimate of 1 km/s for alpha in galaxies is a surely well-established approximation. One of the essentials, however, remains open. Due to the extremely anisotropic structure of disks the tensorial character of alpha can no longer be ignored. In stellar applications anisotropy in the α-tensor leads to a preferred excitation of non-axisymmetric magnetic fields. That is true for α2 -dynamos if the alpha parallel to the rotation axis, α||, is much smaller than that in the equatorial plane, α⊥. The idea is that also for disk-like configurations a similar behaviour makes the existence of the observed large-scale non-axisymmetric magnetic BSS modes understandable within the frame of the mean-field dynamo theory.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (S294) ◽  
pp. 375-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. V. Pipin

AbstractWe give a short introduction to the subject and review advances in understanding the basic ingredients of the mean-field dynamo theory. The discussion includes the recent analytic and numerical work in developments for the mean electromotive force of the turbulent flows and magnetic field, the nonlinear effects of the magnetic helicity, the non-local generation effects in the dynamo. We give an example of the mean-field solar dynamo model that incorporates the fairly complete expressions for the mean-electromotive force, the subsurface shear layer and the conservation of the total helicity. The model is used to shed light on the issues in the solar dynamo and on the future development of this field of research.


2012 ◽  
Vol 8 (S294) ◽  
pp. 595-596
Author(s):  
V. V. Pipin ◽  
D. D. Sokoloff ◽  
I. G. Usoskin

AbstractThe long-term variability of the sunspot cycle, as recorded by the Wolf numbers, are imprinted in different kinds of statistical relations which relate the cycle amplitudes, duration and shapes. This subject always gets a special attention because it is important for the solar activity forecast. We discuss statistical properties of the mean-field dynamo model with the fluctuating α-effect. Also, we estimate dynamical properties of the model for the long and short time-scale and compare it with the dynamics of the sunspot numbers data sets.


2021 ◽  
Vol 132 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-93
Author(s):  
M. A. Kuznetsov ◽  
A. B. Drovosekov ◽  
A. A. Fraerman

Abstract The magnetocaloric effect in nanosystems based on exchange-coupled ferromagnets with different Curie temperatures is calculated within the mean-field theory. Good agreement between the results of the mean-field theory and the Landau theory, valid near the critical phase transition temperature, is demonstrated for a flat-layered Fe/Gd/Fe structure. We show that a high magnetic cooling efficiency in this system is attainable in principle and prove the validity of the Maxwell relation, enabling an experimental verification of the predictions made. The theory developed for flat-layered structures is generalized to a granular medium.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document