RELIABILITY STUDIES OF BIVARIATE BIRNBAUM–SAUNDERS DISTRIBUTION

2015 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-276 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramesh C. Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Failure Rate ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Hazard Rates ◽  
Series System ◽  
Conditional Distributions ◽  
Association Measure ◽  
Hazard Gradient

In this paper, we study the bivariate Birnbaum–Saunders (BVBS) distribution from a reliability point of view. The monotonicity of the hazard rates of the univariate as well as the conditional distributions is discussed. Clayton's association measure is obtained in terms of the hazard gradient and its value in the case of the BVBS distribution is derived. The probability distributions, in the case of series and parallel systems, are derived and the monotonicity of the failure rate, in the case of series system, is discussed.

ON VARIABILITY OF SERIES AND PARALLEL SYSTEMS WITH HETEROGENEOUS COMPONENTS

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 626-645
Author(s):  
Yiying Zhang ◽  
Weiyong Ding ◽  
Peng Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Hazard Rates ◽  
Series System ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Lifetime Distributions ◽  
Scale Parameters ◽  
Convex Transform Order ◽  
Series Systems ◽  
Parallel Series

AbstractThis paper studies the variability of both series and parallel systems comprised of heterogeneous (and dependent) components. Sufficient conditions are established for the star and dispersive orderings between the lifetimes of parallel [series] systems consisting of dependent components having multiple-outlier proportional hazard rates and Archimedean [Archimedean survival] copulas. We also prove that, without any restriction on the scale parameters, the lifetime of a parallel or series system with independent heterogeneous scaled components is larger than that with independent homogeneous scaled components in the sense of the convex transform order. These results generalize some corresponding ones in the literature to the case of dependent scenarios or general settings of components lifetime distributions.

Stochastic comparisons of series and parallel systems with independent heterogeneous Gumbel and truncated Gumbel components

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Fatih Kızılaslan
Keyword(s):  
Likelihood Ratio ◽  
Hazard Rate ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Parallel System ◽  
Series System ◽  
Stochastic Comparisons ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reversed Hazard Rate ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the stochastic comparisons of the parallel system with independent heterogeneous Gumbel components and series and parallel systems with independent heterogeneous truncated Gumbel components in terms of various stochastic orderings.Design/methodology/approachThe obtained results in this paper are obtained by using the vector majorization methods and results. First, the components of series and parallel systems are heterogeneous and having Gumbel or truncated Gumbel distributions. Second, multiple-outlier truncated Gumbel models are discussed for these systems. Then, the relationship between the systems having Gumbel components and Weibull components are considered. Finally, Monte Carlo simulations are performed to illustrate some obtained results.FindingsThe reversed hazard rate and likelihood ratio orderings are obtained for the parallel system of Gumbel components. Using these results, similar new results are derived for the series system of Weibull components. Stochastic comparisons for the series and parallel systems having truncated Gumbel components are established in terms of hazard rate, likelihood ratio and reversed hazard rate orderings. Some new results are also derived for the series and parallel systems of upper-truncated Weibull components.Originality/valueTo the best of our knowledge thus far, stochastic comparisons of series and parallel systems with Gumbel or truncated Gumble components have not been considered in the literature. Moreover, new results for Weibull and upper-truncated Weibull components are presented based on Gumbel case results.

scholarly journals BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR THE TANGENT PORTFOLIO

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (08) ◽  
pp. 1850054 ◽  
Author(s):  
DAVID BAUDER ◽  
TARAS BODNAR ◽  
STEPAN MAZUR ◽  
YAREMA OKHRIN
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Inference ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Posterior Distributions ◽  
Conditional Distributions ◽  
Linear Combinations ◽  
Conjugate Priors ◽  
Mean And Variance ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Stochastic Representations ◽  
Mean Vector

In this paper, we consider the estimation of the weights of tangent portfolios from the Bayesian point of view assuming normal conditional distributions of the logarithmic returns. For diffuse and conjugate priors for the mean vector and the covariance matrix, we derive stochastic representations for the posterior distributions of the weights of tangent portfolio and their linear combinations. Separately, we provide the mean and variance of the posterior distributions, which are of key importance for portfolio selection. The analytic results are evaluated within a simulation study, where the precision of coverage intervals is assessed.

scholarly journals A Brief Review of Generalized Entropies

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 813 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Amigó ◽  
Sámuel Balogh ◽  
Sergio Hernández
Keyword(s):  
Diffusion Processes ◽  
Complex Dynamics ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Scaling Exponent ◽  
Scaling Exponents ◽  
Physical Systems ◽  
New Phenomena ◽  
Generalized Entropies

Entropy appears in many contexts (thermodynamics, statistical mechanics, information theory, measure-preserving dynamical systems, topological dynamics, etc.) as a measure of different properties (energy that cannot produce work, disorder, uncertainty, randomness, complexity, etc.). In this review, we focus on the so-called generalized entropies, which from a mathematical point of view are nonnegative functions defined on probability distributions that satisfy the first three Shannon–Khinchin axioms: continuity, maximality and expansibility. While these three axioms are expected to be satisfied by all macroscopic physical systems, the fourth axiom (separability or strong additivity) is in general violated by non-ergodic systems with long range forces, this having been the main reason for exploring weaker axiomatic settings. Currently, non-additive generalized entropies are being used also to study new phenomena in complex dynamics (multifractality), quantum systems (entanglement), soft sciences, and more. Besides going through the axiomatic framework, we review the characterization of generalized entropies via two scaling exponents introduced by Hanel and Thurner. In turn, the first of these exponents is related to the diffusion scaling exponent of diffusion processes, as we also discuss. Applications are addressed as the description of the main generalized entropies advances.

REDEFINING FAILURE RATE FUNCTION FOR DISCRETE DISTRIBUTIONS

2002 ◽  
Vol 09 (03) ◽  
pp. 275-285 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. XIE ◽  
O. GAUDOIN ◽  
C. BRACQUEMOND
Keyword(s):  
Failure Rate ◽  
Rate Function ◽  
Monotonicity Property ◽  
Discrete Distributions ◽  
The Other ◽  
Continuous Case ◽  
Discrete Version ◽  
Series System ◽  
Failure Rate Function ◽  
Definition Of

For discrete distribution with reliability function R(k), k = 1, 2,…,[R(k - 1) - R(k)]/R(k - 1) has been used as the definition of the failure rate function in the literature. However, this is different from that of the continuous case. This discrete version has the interpretation of a probability while it is known that a failure rate is not a probability in the continuous case. This discrete failure rate is bounded, and hence cannot be convex, e.g., it cannot grow linearly. It is not additive for series system while the additivity for series system is a common understanding in practice. In the paper, another definition of discrete failure rate function as In[R(k - 1)/R(k)] is introduced, and the above-mentioned problems are resolved. On the other hand, it is shown that the two failure rate definitions have the same monotonicity property. That is, if one is increasing/decreasing, the other is also increasing/decreasing. For other aging concepts, the new failure rate definition is more appropriate. The failure rate functions according to this definition are given for a number of useful discrete reliability functions.

scholarly journals MARSplines method as a tool for failure frequency modelling

2018 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 00086
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Kutyłowska
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Failure Rate ◽  
Basis Function ◽  
Adaptive Algorithm ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Water Utility ◽  
Failure Frequency ◽  
Rate Prediction ◽  
Operational Data

The paper presents the results of failure rate prediction using adaptive algorithm MARSplines. This method could be defined as segmental and multiple linear regression. The range of segments defines the range of applicability of that methodology. On the basis of operational data received from Water Utility two separate models were created for distribution pipes and house connections. The calculations were carried out in the programme Statistica 13.1. Maximal number of basis function was equalled to 30; so-called pruning was used. Interaction level equalled to 1, the penalty for adding basis function amounted to 2, and the threshold – 0.0005. GCV error equalled to 0.0018 and 0.0253 as well as 0.0738 and 0.1058 for distribution pipes and house connections in learning and prognosis process, respectively. The prediction results in validation step were not satisfactory in relation to distribution pipes, because constant value of failure rate was observed. Concerning house connections, the forecasting was slightly better, but still the overestimation seems to be unacceptable from engineering point of view.

scholarly journals Optimal compromise between incompatible conditional probability distributions, with application to Objective Bayesian Kriging

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 ◽  
pp. 271-309
Author(s):  
Joseph Muré
Keyword(s):  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Gibbs Sampler ◽  
Prediction Interval ◽  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Joint Probability ◽  
Joint Probability Distribution ◽  
Conditional Distributions ◽  
Stationary Probability Distribution ◽  
Gibbs Sampling Algorithm ◽  
Correlation Parameters

Models are often defined through conditional rather than joint distributions, but it can be difficult to check whether the conditional distributions are compatible, i.e. whether there exists a joint probability distribution which generates them. When they are compatible, a Gibbs sampler can be used to sample from this joint distribution. When they are not, the Gibbs sampling algorithm may still be applied, resulting in a “pseudo-Gibbs sampler”. We show its stationary probability distribution to be the optimal compromise between the conditional distributions, in the sense that it minimizes a mean squared misfit between them and its own conditional distributions. This allows us to perform Objective Bayesian analysis of correlation parameters in Kriging models by using univariate conditional Jeffreys-rule posterior distributions instead of the widely used multivariate Jeffreys-rule posterior. This strategy makes the full-Bayesian procedure tractable. Numerical examples show it has near-optimal frequentist performance in terms of prediction interval coverage.

A note on quasi-stationary distributions of birth–death processes and the SIS logistic epidemic

2003 ◽  
Vol 40 (3) ◽  
pp. 821-825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Damian Clancy ◽  
Philip K. Pollett
Keyword(s):  
Probability Distributions ◽  
Explicit Representation ◽  
Death Process ◽  
Conditional Distributions ◽  
Stationary Distributions ◽  
Absorbing State ◽  
Likelihood Ratio Ordering ◽  
Positive Integers ◽  
Quasi Stationary Distribution ◽  
Birth Death

For Markov processes on the positive integers with the origin as an absorbing state, Ferrari, Kesten, Martínez and Picco studied the existence of quasi-stationary and limiting conditional distributions by characterizing quasi-stationary distributions as fixed points of a transformation Φ on the space of probability distributions on {1, 2, …}. In the case of a birth–death process, the components of Φ(ν) can be written down explicitly for any given distribution ν. Using this explicit representation, we will show that Φ preserves likelihood ratio ordering between distributions. A conjecture of Kryscio and Lefèvre concerning the quasi-stationary distribution of the SIS logistic epidemic follows as a corollary.

STOCHASTIC COMPARISONS OF PARALLEL SYSTEMS WHEN COMPONENTS HAVE PROPORTIONAL HAZARD RATES

2007 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 597-609 ◽  
Author(s):  
Subhash Kochar ◽  
Maochao Xu
Keyword(s):  
Survival Function ◽  
Parallel Systems ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Hazard Rates ◽  
Proportional Hazard ◽  
Likelihood Ratio Order ◽  
Stochastic Comparisons ◽  
Population Survival ◽  
Sample Range ◽  
Hazard Rate Ordering

Let X1, … , Xn be independent random variables with Xi having survival function Fλi, i = 1, … , n, and let Y1, … ,Yn be a random sample with common population survival distribution F, where c = ∑i=1nλi/n. Let Xn:n and Yn:n denote the lifetimes of the parallel systems consisting of these components, respectively. It is shown that Xn:n is greater than Yn:n in terms of likelihood ratio order. It is also proved that the sample range Xn:n − X1:n is larger than Yn:n − Y1:n according to reverse hazard rate ordering. These two results strengthen and generalize the results in Dykstra, Kochar, and Rojo [6] and Kochar and Rojo [11], respectively.

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