scholarly journals Societal Adaptation to Decadal Climate Variability in the United States

Eos ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 88 (43) ◽  
pp. 444
Author(s):  
Norman J. Rosenberg ◽  
Vikram M. Mehta ◽  
J. Rolf Olsen ◽  
Hans von Storch ◽  
Robert G. Varady ◽  
...  
Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 318
Author(s):  
Lauren A. Rhodes ◽  
Bruce A. McCarl

Ocean-related decadal climate variability (ODCV) has the potential to influence regional climates and, in turn, crop yields. ODCV event forecasts with associated climate and crop yield implication information can provide farmers with the opportunity to alter their crop mixes and input usage to adapt to the forecast conditions. We investigate the value of ODCV information and the nature of adaptations. This is done by estimating the changes in welfare under differing information scenarios using a nonlinear dynamic optimization model. We find evidence that both perfect forecasts and the use of forecasts permitting a conditional probability of future phase combinations can significantly increase agriculture consumer and producer welfare. This is a new result that is an estimate of the US national value of releasing ODCV forecasts and accompanying yield information.


2001 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 638-655 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Seager ◽  
Yochanan Kushnir ◽  
Ping Chang ◽  
Naomi Naik ◽  
Jennifer Miller ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (22) ◽  
pp. 8695-8709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yushi Morioka ◽  
Francois Engelbrecht ◽  
Swadhin K. Behera

Abstract Potential sources of decadal climate variability over southern Africa are examined by conducting in-depth analysis of available datasets and coupled general circulation model (CGCM) experiments. The observational data in recent decades show a bidecadal variability noticeable in the southern African rainfall with its positive phase of peak during 1999/2000. It is found that the rainfall variability is related to anomalous moisture advection from the southwestern Indian Ocean, where the anomalous sea level pressure (SLP) develops. The SLP anomaly is accompanied by anomalous sea surface temperature (SST). Both SLP and SST anomalies slowly propagate eastward from the South Atlantic to the southwestern Indian Ocean. The analysis of mixed layer temperature tendency reveals that the SST anomaly in the southwestern Indian Ocean is mainly due to eastward advection of the SST anomaly by the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. The eastward propagation of SLP and SST anomalies are also confirmed in the 270-yr outputs of the CGCM control experiment. However, in a sensitivity experiment where the SST anomalies in the South Atlantic are suppressed by the model climatology, the eastward propagation of the SLP anomaly from the South Atlantic disappears. These results suggest that the local air–sea coupling in the South Atlantic may be important for the eastward propagation of the SLP anomaly from the South Atlantic to the southwestern Indian Ocean. Although remote influences from the tropical Pacific and Antarctica were widely discussed, this study provides new evidence for the potential role of local air–sea coupling in the South Atlantic for the decadal climate variability over southern Africa.


2001 ◽  
Vol 18 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 219-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. D'Arrigo ◽  
R. Villalba ◽  
G. Wiles

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