Automatic trace metal monitoring station use for early warning and short term events in polluted rivers: application to streams loaded by mining tailing

2010 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1898 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz Lourino-Cabana ◽  
Shafia Iftekhar ◽  
Gabriel Billon ◽  
Øyvind Mikkelsen ◽  
Baghdad Ouddane
2015 ◽  
Vol 62 (4) ◽  
pp. 493-510 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vesna Bucevska

The purpose of this paper is to develop an econometric model of early warning system (EWS) for predicting currency crises in EU candidate countries. Using actual quarterly panel data for three EU candidate countries (Croatia, Macedonia and Turkey) in the period January 2005 - June 2010, we estimate a binomial logit model, which accurately predicts potential episodes of outbreak of currency crisis. In addition, we find that real GDP growth rate, participation in an IMF loan program, current account and fiscal balance and short-term external indebtedness are the most significant common predictors of currency crises across EU candidate countries. These results imply implementing policy measures aimed at raising the growth potential of the domestic economies of EU candidate countries, monitoring their short-term external indebtedness, improving their external competitiveness, cutting public spending and increasing the confidence of residents and non-residents in their domestic banking sectors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 876 ◽  
pp. 114701
Author(s):  
Afonso F. João ◽  
Sílvia V.F. Castro ◽  
Rafael M. Cardoso ◽  
Raimundo R. Gamela ◽  
Diego P. Rocha ◽  
...  

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junmin Fang ◽  
Dechun Huang ◽  
Jingrong Xu

With the improvement of citizens’ risk perception ability and environmental protection awareness, social conflicts caused by environmental problems in large-scale construction projects are becoming more and more frequent. Traditional social risk prevention management has some defects in obtaining risk data, such as limited coverage, poor availability, and insufficient timeliness, which makes it impossible to realize effective early warning of social risks in the era of big data. This paper focuses on the three environments of diversification of stakeholders, risk media, and big data era. The evolution characteristics of the social risk of environmental damage of large-scale construction projects are analyzed from the four stages of incubation, outbreak, mitigation, and regression in essence. On this basis, a social risk early warning model is constructed, and the multicenter network governance mode of social risk of environmental damage in large-scale construction projects and practical social risk prevention strategies in different stages are put forward. Experiments show that the long short-term memory neural network model is effective and feasible for predicting the social risk trend of environmental damage of large-scale construction projects. Compared with other classical models, the long short-term memory model has the advantages of strong processing capability and high early warning accuracy for time-sensitive data and will have broad application prospects in the field of risk control research. By using the network governance framework and long short-term memory model, this paper studies the environmental mass events of large-scale construction projects on the risk early warning method, providing reference for the government to effectively prevent and control social risk of environmental damage of large-scale construction project in China.


2019 ◽  
Vol 177 (2) ◽  
pp. 763-785
Author(s):  
Emilia Nordström ◽  
Savka Dineva ◽  
Erling Nordlund

Abstract Back analysis for evaluation of the merits of the short-term seismic hazard indicators (precursors) used in the mines and their potential application for early warning was carried out for fourteen seismic events that potentially caused damage in Kiirunavaara Mine, Sweden, selected according to our designed criteria. Five short-term hazard indicators: Seismic Activity Rate (SAR), Cumulative Seismic Moment (CSM), Energy Index (EI), Cumulative Apparent Volume (CAV) and Seismic Apparent Stress Frequency (ASF) were tested. The behaviour of the indicators was studied using the parameters of all seismic events within a sphere around the hypocenter location of the analyzed seismic source within one month before the main (damaging) event. The size of the sphere equals the estimated radius of the analyzed seismic source (area of inelastic deformation). mXrap software (Australian Centre for Geomechanics) was used for data visualization, manipulation, analysis and extraction. The results from the main analysis showed a good agreement between the expected and actual behaviour of the SAR, CSM and CAV indicators. In overall, CSM and CAV ranked the highest positive/expected behaviour followed by SAR (Table 3). The EI and ASF ranked lowest and showed to be sensitive to the number of events within the source sphere. The rate of false warnings and missed warnings was also investigated for the 25 days-long period before the damaging events. A similar trend was observed as for the main analysed event. The results from this study can be used for further improvement of the short-term hazard estimations and early warning system in deep underground mines.


2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 1095-1106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heather P. Sim ◽  
Donald H. Burn ◽  
Bryan A. Tolson

Source water protection involves safeguarding water supplies from contamination and depletion. Despite best efforts, spills cannot always be prevented from entering a source water body. However, many spills can be prevented from entering a drinking water treatment plant if an early warning source water monitoring station is used. These stations provide downstream water utilities with advanced notification of spills so the utilities have time to implement their responses. This paper addresses the design of an early warning monitoring station for a riverine source of drinking water. Riverine water supplies face many threats related to accidental spills, which are inherently uncertain in nature. Therefore, designing a monitoring station for the detection of these events requires a probabilistic modelling approach. The design objectives include maximizing the probabilities of detection and of having a threshold amount of warning time. The methodology is applied to a water supply intake on the Grand River in southern Ontario.


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