Stock Price Prediction Method Based on Cluster of Trend Vectors

Author(s):  
Zhong Tao ◽  
Peng Qinke
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-72
Author(s):  
Xuan Ji ◽  
Jiachen Wang ◽  
Zhijun Yan

Purpose Stock price prediction is a hot topic and traditional prediction methods are usually based on statistical and econometric models. However, these models are difficult to deal with nonstationary time series data. With the rapid development of the internet and the increasing popularity of social media, online news and comments often reflect investors’ emotions and attitudes toward stocks, which contains a lot of important information for predicting stock price. This paper aims to develop a stock price prediction method by taking full advantage of social media data. Design/methodology/approach This study proposes a new prediction method based on deep learning technology, which integrates traditional stock financial index variables and social media text features as inputs of the prediction model. This study uses Doc2Vec to build long text feature vectors from social media and then reduce the dimensions of the text feature vectors by stacked auto-encoder to balance the dimensions between text feature variables and stock financial index variables. Meanwhile, based on wavelet transform, the time series data of stock price is decomposed to eliminate the random noise caused by stock market fluctuation. Finally, this study uses long short-term memory model to predict the stock price. Findings The experiment results show that the method performs better than all three benchmark models in all kinds of evaluation indicators and can effectively predict stock price. Originality/value In this paper, this study proposes a new stock price prediction model that incorporates traditional financial features and social media text features which are derived from social media based on deep learning technology.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Xin Huang ◽  
Huilin Song

Investor sentiment has been widely used in the research of the stock market, and how to accurately measure investor sentiment is still being explored. With the rise of social media, investor sentiment is no longer only influenced by macroeconomic data and news media, but also guided by We-Media and fragmented information. We take the data of China A-shares from January 2020 to December 2020 as the research object and propose a stock price prediction method that combines investor sentiment with multisource information. Firstly, the sentiment of macroeconomic data, brokerage research reports, news, and We-Media is calculated, respectively, and then the investor sentiment vector combining multisource information is obtained by the multilayer perceptron. Finally, the LSTM model is used to represent the stock time series characteristics. The results show that (1) the proposed algorithm is superior to the benchmark algorithm in terms of accuracy and F1-score, (2) investor sentiment vector can effectively measure the investment sentiment of stocks, and (3) compared with vector concatenation, multilayer perceptron can better represent investor sentiment.


Author(s):  
Vijay Kumar Dwivedi ◽  
Manoj Madhava Gore

Background: Stock price prediction is a challenging task. The social, economic, political, and various other factors cause frequent abrupt changes in the stock price. This article proposes a historical data-based ensemble system to predict the closing stock price with higher accuracy and consistency over the existing stock price prediction systems. Objective: The primary objective of this article is to predict the closing price of a stock for the next trading in more accurate and consistent manner over the existing methods employed for the stock price prediction. Method: The proposed system combines various machine learning-based prediction models employing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression regularization technique to enhance the accuracy of stock price prediction system as compared to any one of the base prediction models. Results: The analysis of results for all the eleven stocks (listed under Information Technology sector on the Bombay Stock Exchange, India) reveals that the proposed system performs best (on all defined metrics of the proposed system) for training datasets and test datasets comprising of all the stocks considered in the proposed system. Conclusion: The proposed ensemble model consistently predicts stock price with a high degree of accuracy over the existing methods used for the prediction.


Author(s):  
Marwa Sharaf ◽  
Ezz El-Din Hemdan ◽  
Ayman El-Sayed ◽  
Nirmeen A. El-Bahnasawy

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