An effective way for Taiwanese stock price prediction: Boosting the performance with machine learning techniques

Author(s):  
Hai T. Nguyen ◽  
Toan B. Tran ◽  
Phuong H. D. Bui
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 152-158
Author(s):  
Shubha Singh ◽  
Sreedevi Gutta ◽  
Ahmad Hadaegh

The Trend of stock price prediction is becoming more popular than ever. Share market is difficult to predict due to its volatile nature. There are no rules to follow to predict what will happen with the stock in the future. To predict accurately is a huge challenge since the market trend always keep changing depending on many factors. The objective is to apply machine learning techniques to predict stocks and maximize the profit. In this work, we have shown that with the help of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the process of prediction can be improved. While doing the literature review, we realized that the most effective machine learning tool for this research include: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Genetic Algorithms (GA). All categories have common and unique findings and limitations. We collected data for about 10 years and used Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Network-based machine learning models to analyze and predict the stock price. The Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is useful to preserve the time-series features for improving profits. The financial data High and Close are used as input for the model.


Author(s):  
Manavi Mishra ◽  
Manjushree Patil ◽  
Geetanjali Raut ◽  
Tushar Chaudhari

Stock returns are very fluctuating in nature. They rely upon various factors like previous stock prices, current market trends, financial news, etc. To feature their annual income, people have now started watching stock investments as a remunerative option. There are many tools available to investors using technical analysis to form decisions. With expert guidance and intelligent planning, we will almost double our annual income through stock returns. These days, social media has become a mirror. It reflects people’s thoughts and opinions on any particular event or news. Sentiments of the general public associated with an organization can have an upshot on its stock prices. This paper surveys various machine learning techniques and algorithms employed to boost the accuracy of stock price prediction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 84-99
Author(s):  
Li-Pang Chen

In this paper, we investigate analysis and prediction of the time-dependent data. We focus our attention on four different stocks are selected from Yahoo Finance historical database. To build up models and predict the future stock price, we consider three different machine learning techniques including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). By treating close price, open price, daily low, daily high, adjusted close price, and volume of trades as predictors in machine learning methods, it can be shown that the prediction accuracy is improved.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Jaydip Sen

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. On one hand, we have proponents of the Efficient Market Hypothesis who claim that stock prices cannot be predicted, on the other hand, there are propositions illustrating that, if appropriately modelled, stock prices can be predicted with a high level of accuracy. There is also a gamut of literature on technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and profit from it. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, over a period of four years: 2015 – 2018. Based on the NIFTY data during 2015 – 2018, we build various predictive models using machine learning approaches, and then use those models to predict the “Close” value of NIFTY 50 for the year 2019, with a forecast horizon of one week, i.e., five days. For predicting the NIFTY index movement patterns, we use a number of classification methods, while for forecasting the actual “Close” values of NIFTY index, various regression models are built. We, then, augment our predictive power of the models by building a deep learning-based regression model using Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with a walk-forward validation. The CNN model is fine-tuned for its parameters so that the validation loss stabilizes with increasing number of iterations, and the training and validation accuracies converge. We exploit the power of CNN in forecasting the future NIFTY index values using three approaches which differ in number of variables used in forecasting, number of sub-models used in the overall models and, size of the input data for training the models. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all classification and regression models. The results clearly indicate that CNN-based multivariate forecasting model is the most effective and accurate in predicting the movement of NIFTY index values with a weekly forecast horizon.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Abhishek Dutta

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the <i>efficient market hypothesis</i> believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. Researchers have also worked on technical analysis of stocks with a goal of identifying patterns in the stock price movements using advanced data mining techniques. In this work, we propose an approach of hybrid modeling for stock price prediction building different machine learning and deep learning-based models. For the purpose of our study, we have used NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, during the period December 29, 2014 till July 31, 2020. We have built eight regression models using the training data that consisted of NIFTY 50 index records from December 29, 2014 till December 28, 2018. Using these regression models, we predicted the <i>open</i> values of NIFTY 50 for the period December 31, 2018 till July 31, 2020. We, then, augment the predictive power of our forecasting framework by building four deep learning-based regression models using long-and short-term memory (LSTM) networks with a novel approach of walk-forward validation. Using the grid-searching technique, the hyperparameters of the LSTM models are optimized so that it is ensured that validation losses stabilize with the increasing number of epochs, and the convergence of the validation accuracy is achieved. We exploit the power of LSTM regression models in forecasting the future NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values using four different models that differ in their architecture and in the structure of their input data. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the regression models. The results clearly indicate that the LSTM-based univariate model that uses one-week prior data as input for predicting the next week's <i>open</i> value of the NIFTY 50 time series is the most accurate model.


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