Short-Term Forecasting of Household Water Demand in the UK Using an Interpretable Machine Learning Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 147 (4) ◽  
pp. 04021004
Author(s):  
Maria Xenochristou ◽  
Chris Hutton ◽  
Jan Hofman ◽  
Zoran Kapelan
2019 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 02001 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vasily Derbentsev ◽  
Natalia Datsenko ◽  
Olga Stepanenko ◽  
Vitaly Bezkorovainyi

This paper describes the construction of the short-term forecasting model of cryptocurrencies’ prices using machine learning approach. The modified model of Binary Auto Regressive Tree (BART) is adapted from the standard models of regression trees and the data of the time series. BART combines the classic algorithm classification and regression trees (C&RT) and autoregressive models ARIMA. Using the BART model, we made a short-term forecast (from 5 to 30 days) for the 3 most capitalized cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple. We found that the proposed approach was more accurate than the ARIMA-ARFIMA models in forecasting cryptocurrencies time series both in the periods of slow rising (falling) and in the periods of transition dynamics (change of trend).


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (9) ◽  
pp. 190741 ◽  
Author(s):  
Domicele Jonauskaite ◽  
Jörg Wicker ◽  
Christine Mohr ◽  
Nele Dael ◽  
Jelena Havelka ◽  
...  

The link between colour and emotion and its possible similarity across cultures are questions that have not been fully resolved. Online, 711 participants from China, Germany, Greece and the UK associated 12 colour terms with 20 discrete emotion terms in their native languages. We propose a machine learning approach to quantify (a) the consistency and specificity of colour–emotion associations and (b) the degree to which they are country-specific, on the basis of the accuracy of a statistical classifier in (a) decoding the colour term evaluated on a given trial from the 20 ratings of colour–emotion associations and (b) predicting the country of origin from the 240 individual colour–emotion associations, respectively. The classifier accuracies were significantly above chance level, demonstrating that emotion associations are to some extent colour-specific and that colour–emotion associations are to some extent country-specific. A second measure of country-specificity, the in-group advantage of the colour-decoding accuracy, was detectable but relatively small (6.1%), indicating that colour–emotion associations are both universal and culture-specific. Our results show that machine learning is a promising tool when analysing complex datasets from emotion research.


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