A translog cost model of the bulk shipping industry

1987 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 311-321 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. R. Tolofari ◽  
K. J. Button ◽  
D. E. Pitfield
2006 ◽  
Vol 28 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 706-719 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joyashree Roy ◽  
Alan H. Sanstad ◽  
Jayant A. Sathaye ◽  
Raman Khaddaria

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joyashree Roy ◽  
Alan H. Sanstad ◽  
Jayant A. Sathaye ◽  
Raman Khaddaria

1986 ◽  
Vol 41 (5) ◽  
pp. 1153-1155 ◽  
Author(s):  
ASGHAR ZARDKOOHI ◽  
NANDA RANGAN ◽  
JAMES KOLARI
Keyword(s):  

2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin Greenwood ◽  
Samuel G. Hanson

Abstract We study the link between investment boom and bust cycles and returns on capital in the dry bulk shipping industry. We show that high current ship earnings are associated with high used ship prices and heightened industry investment in new ships, but forecast low future returns. We propose and estimate a behavioral model of industry cycles that can account for the evidence. In our model, firms overextrapolate exogenous demand shocks and partially neglect the endogenous investment response of their competitors. As a result, firms overpay for ships and overinvest in booms and are disappointed by the subsequent low returns. Formal estimation of the model suggests that modest expectational errors can result in dramatic excess volatility in prices and investment.


Author(s):  
Biresh K. Sahoo ◽  
Dieter Gstach

Two alternative estimation models, i.e., a translog cost function and data envelopment analysis (DEA) based on a cost model are compared and contrasted in revealing scale economies in the Indian commercial banking sector. The empirical results indicate that while the translog cost model exhibits increasing returns to scale for all the ownership groups, the DEA model reveals economies of scale only for foreign banks, diseconomies of scale for nationalized banks, and both economies and diseconomies of scale for private banks. The divergence of the results obtained from these two estimation models should concern model builders. From an empirical perspective the definition of scale economies through a constant input mix is very restrictive. The DEA cost model is much more flexible in this respect: It neither requires the restrictive assumptions that the unit factor prices are always available with certainty, nor that these prices are exogenous to the firms. However, the very volatile nature of the banking industry might question the validity of the empirical estimates in this deterministic setting. Therefore, further research is required to examine the bank performance behavior using both SFA and chance constrained DEA for the comparison in a stochastic setting.


Author(s):  
Biresh K. Sahoo ◽  
Dieter Gstach

Two alternative estimation models, i.e., a translog cost function and data envelopment analysis (DEA) based on a cost model are compared and contrasted in revealing scale economies in the Indian commercial banking sector. The empirical results indicate that while the translog cost model exhibits increasing returns to scale for all the ownership groups, the DEA model reveals economies of scale only for foreign banks, diseconomies of scale for nationalized banks, and both economies and diseconomies of scale for private banks. The divergence of the results obtained from these two estimation models should concern model builders. From an empirical perspective the definition of scale economies through a constant input mix is very restrictive. The DEA cost model is much more flexible in this respect: It neither requires the restrictive assumptions that the unit factor prices are always available with certainty, nor that these prices are exogenous to the firms. However, the very volatile nature of the banking industry might question the validity of the empirical estimates in this deterministic setting. Therefore, further research is required to examine the bank performance behavior using both SFA and chance constrained DEA for the comparison in a stochastic setting.


Author(s):  
Yijie Wu ◽  
Jingbo Yin ◽  
Pan Sheng

The shipping industry plays an essential role in world trade. For shipping companies, having an accurate view of the markets and grasp of the interactions between the freight market, second-hand ship market, and the newbuild ship markets is essential. The shipping market cycles are divided into four periods (trough, recovery, peak, and recession) based upon shipping cycle theory. The current shipping markets have been stuck in the trough period since the financial crisis in 2008. This paper investigates the recovery period and causality relationship between the freight rate, second-hand price, and new-build ship price, in the dry bulk shipping market and applies the Granger causality test at each stage of the cycle based on quantitative analysis. The results show that the recovery period and causality relationship can be identified only during the trough and peak periods. When comparing the results for the trough period before and after the financial crisis, we find similarities between the two periods, leading us to conclude that the shipping cycle rules still apply.


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