How do the new shipping routes affect Asian liquefied natural gas markets and economy? Case of the Northern Sea Route and Panama Canal expansion

2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 543-566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ryuichi Shibasaki ◽  
Takashi Usami ◽  
Masahiko Furuichi ◽  
Hiroyuki Teranishi ◽  
Hironori Kato
2021 ◽  
Vol 58 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-63
Author(s):  
J. Savickis ◽  
L. Zemite ◽  
L. Jansons ◽  
N. Zeltins ◽  
I. Bode ◽  
...  

Abstract In the early 2010s, only 23 countries had access to the liquefied natural gas (hereinafter – LNG). Import terminals, despite attractive short-term economics, took long time to build, and rigid supply contracts made truly global use of LNG rather complicated. Concerns about geo-political risks also stunted demand growth from existing supply sources, even when new LNG export routes and sources became available. Current natural gas market is very different, both in terms of market participants and accessibility and diversity of services. In 2019, the number of LNG importing countries reached 43. Rising competition among suppliers and increasing liquidity of markets themselves created favourable conditions to diversify contract duration, size, and flexibility. In addition, development of floating storage and regasification unit (hereinafter – FSRU) technology provided LNG suppliers with a quick response option to sudden demand fluctuations in regional and local natural gas markets [1]. Moreover, LNG is one of the major options not only for bringing the natural gas to regions where its pipeline supply infrastructure is historically absent, limited or underdeveloped, but also for diversification of the natural gas supply routes and sources in regions with sufficient state of pipeline delivery possibilities. And it concerns smaller natural gas markets, like the Baltic States and Finland as well. Accordingly, prospects for use of LNG there in both mid and long-term perspective must be carefully evaluated, especially in regards to emerging bunkering business in the Baltic Sea aquatory and energy transition in Finland, replacing coal base-load generation with other, more sustainable and environmentally friendly alternatives.


Energy Policy ◽  
1996 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
John H Herbert ◽  
Erik Kreil

Author(s):  
Luis Carral ◽  
Javier Tarrío-Saavedra ◽  
Diego Crespo-Pereira ◽  
Marina Fernández-Campoamor ◽  
Rodolfo Sabonge

The appearance of new gas extraction technologies has led to surplus production in the United States (Gulf of Mexico). At the same time, energy consumption in Asia has increased significantly and Japan has introduced important changes to its post-Fukushima energy policies. Taken together, these factors have resulted in an imbalance in production and consumption between the Atlantic and Pacific Maritime Areas. Over the same period of time, the Panama Canal expansion opened, permitting transit by liquefied natural gas vessels for the first time. These developments are reflected in the current order book for liquefied natural gas carriers, which is composed entirely of ships in the new Neopanamax category. The canal transit fees and new propulsion systems for these ships—dual fuel diesel electric and electronically controlled gas injection—significantly impact the price of cargo at the destination. This study conducts a sensitivity analysis of the variables for transportation costs in order to determine the expanded Canal’s competitive position. In addition, the study uses a Monte Carlo simulation to obtain the most representative values for total cost based on factors such as the type of propulsion and fuel as well as the distance traveled. The analysis clearly demonstrates the competitiveness of exporting liquefied natural gas via the Panama Canal from terminals in the Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean to consumers in Asia, as well as the competitiveness of the canal itself versus alternative routes. With respect to propulsion systems, the study demonstrates the greater competitive advantage of electronically controlled gas injection propulsion.


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