A Catastrophe Model for Water Bloom Prediction: A Case Study of China's Lake Chaohu

2007 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 914-921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Yun-Feng ◽  
Yin Fu-Cai ◽  
Lu Gen-Fa
2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (14) ◽  
pp. 5673-5694 ◽  
Author(s):  
Danfeng Sun ◽  
Ping Zhang ◽  
Qiangqiang Sun ◽  
Wanbei Jiang
Keyword(s):  

Open Physics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1085-1093
Author(s):  
Yang Xu ◽  
Duojia Zhang ◽  
Ahmad Jalal Khan Chowdhury

Abstract An abrupt increase in urban road traffic flow caused by incidental congestion is considered. The residual traffic capacity varies in different lanes after an accident, and the influence of accident duration on traffic flow is taken into account. The swallowtail catastrophe model was built based on catastrophe theory. The critical state of traffic congestion under incidental congestion was analyzed using this model, and a traffic flow control scheme is proposed with the goal of maximizing the traffic capacity. Finally, the operational state of traffic flow under different scenarios is analyzed through case study and the feasibility of the model is validated.


Author(s):  
Jing Li ◽  
Yuchao Zhang ◽  
Ronghua Ma ◽  
Hongtao Duan ◽  
Steven Loiselle ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Karagiorgos ◽  
Sven Halldin ◽  
Jan Haas ◽  
Daniel Knos ◽  
Barbara Blumenthal ◽  
...  

<p>In Europe, flash floods are one of the most significant natural hazards, causing serious risk to life and destruction of buildings and infrastructure. The intense rain causing those floods has a few different names, however, with very similar meaning. The term chosen in this study, ‘cloudburst’, was introduced by Woolley (1946) as “…a torrential downpour of rain which by its spottiness and relatively high intensity suggests the bursting and discharge of the whole cloud at once”. While these events play an important role in the ongoing flood risk management discussion, they are under-represented among flood models.</p><p>The main aim of this study is to demonstrate an approach by showing how methods and techniques can be integrated together to construct a catastrophe model for flash flooding of Jönköping municipality in Sweden. The model is developed in the framework of the ‘Oasis Loss Modelling Framework’ platform, jointly with end-users from the public sector and the insurance industry. Calibration and validation of the model were conducted by comparisons against three historical cloudburst events and corresponding insurance-claim data.</p><p>The analysis has shown that it is possible to get acceptable results from a cloudburst catastrophe model using only rainfall data, and not surface-water level as driving variable. The approach presented opens up for such loss modelling in places where complex hydraulic modelling cannot be done because of lacking data or skill of responsible staff. The Swedish case study indicates that the framework presented can be considered as an important decision making tool, by establishing an area for collaboration between academia; insurance businesses; and local authorities, to reduce long-term disaster risk in Sweden.</p><p> </p><p>Woolley, Ralf R., "Cloudburst Floods in Utah 1850-1938" (1946). Elusive Documents. Paper 55.</p>


2014 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 102-129
Author(s):  
ALBERTO MARTÍN ÁLVAREZ ◽  
EUDALD CORTINA ORERO

AbstractUsing interviews with former militants and previously unpublished documents, this article traces the genesis and internal dynamics of the Ejército Revolucionario del Pueblo (People's Revolutionary Army, ERP) in El Salvador during the early years of its existence (1970–6). This period was marked by the inability of the ERP to maintain internal coherence or any consensus on revolutionary strategy, which led to a series of splits and internal fights over control of the organisation. The evidence marshalled in this case study sheds new light on the origins of the armed Salvadorean Left and thus contributes to a wider understanding of the processes of formation and internal dynamics of armed left-wing groups that emerged from the 1960s onwards in Latin America.


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